Jump to content

phdhorn

Legacy Members
  • Posts

    6434
  • Joined

Everything posted by phdhorn

  1. Uh.. well... me? Whipped up a little Smokey for my son's wedding. Not playing live, but this. Lots of fun doing. Nothing to this kid like the lower register of the tenor. It's a special place. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1NX7e1rFqM6rg4jtm79E6-JUTclQtvyVs/view?usp=sharing
  2. Well, models have really amped up on the amount of rain especially Monday and after. More tomorrow if I have time and feel like it. We're going to get a good amount of rain. Yes, yes we are. No, we are. Yes, we are.
  3. My wife's Apple RSU's are starting to turn into PU's. Fortunately she has a bunch that were granted very low. But now it looks like a pipe dream that Apple can even get back to $160 by the end of the summer (it was over $175 just 3 weeks ago). I can easily see $120 down the short-term pike.
  4. My son's getting married on Saturday so I hope the rain holds off until evening which it's supposed to. Everything's indoors, but just make it after 6:00. Current forecast is right around dinner time, peaking after dark.
  5. Thx for posting, I could have figured University had something like that. But I would like to see a more aggressive effort too provide for students. I know when my son attended orientation in '17 they didn't have it, would they have something like it by now? And again, the IFC should at the very least have something like that and aggressively publish it. Yeah, right, I know but whatever.
  6. The Dean of Students andor the Texas IFC should publish lists of documented infractions (both legally, and of University sanctions) against every fraternity and sorority at least in the last 25 years, if not the entire history and distribute it at freshman orientation. That might help.
  7. Yeah someone sent me a vid they took of one last year:
  8. So is the smoke from New Mexico fires. Another good round this afternoon.
  9. We're moving (as usual) into a late May pattern of rainier (didn't say "really rainy") weather. The big high that parked over us in May (not unusual for that, except the degree of heat of course was a never-before) is finally moving SE and E. Will we have summer weather which means the high will shortly re-strengthen and sit on us again? Too early to tell, but not for at least another week. With the high gone, the lows will swing south and although probably not drench us, put some rain here/there, enough to green things up. I said it before, and I'll say it again - the weather in the spring doesn't necessarily foretell the weather in the summer. I have no idea how bad the summer will be (nor really does anyone else except maybe the CPC, and they can only use past data to roll the dice). Last year we had a dry spring and then June went nuts into August, one of the cooler/rainier summers in the past 25 years or so. I don't expect that this year. In fact it could get bad, well duh. But don't know. Hopefully if any rain can re-wet and re-cool the ground and keep June temps moderate. (Thankfully this beatdown high hit while the stuff was still green, mitigating the temps, that why we "surprisingly" haven't hit 100° yet, despite numerous predictions by now - and we won't probably until Friday, which is almost certain - then the cool-off). Yeah this has the potential to shape up like a 2011 inferno summer, no doubt (though there were differences between now and 2011 springs). But I remain cautiously optimistic that it might not be so bad. And if it is, maybe those frickin' Calis will move out. That would be the best thing to happen from this. Stay tuned.
  10. Here's a bit of good news: Retail spending continued to increase in April. My guess is that people saved $$$ from the pandemic and now have opportunities to spend on stuff that they couldn't when padlocked into their homes. But I dunno. This is a tricky number, as the prices weren't adjusted for inflation, so reflect increased prices. But it's still stubbornly hanging on. One possible bad sign is that gas spending decreased 3% from March. Energy, especially gas, is often the first sign of a spending slowdown. But again, it's kind of a mixed bag. Anyway that's the one stat that's a little not to be expected - at some point high prices will drive spending down - but not yet: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/17/retail-sales-april-2022-up-0point9percent-vs-1point0percent-estimate.html
  11. Каждую минуту рождается лох! (cf. P.T. Barnum for translation reference)
  12. Meanwhile on Mars, the clearly-defined mining tunnel which the Martians dug to mine out the Pluridium to power their giant death ray weapons and space ships, foretells the horrific invasion that's coming. They're even holding Congressional hearings on it this week!
  13. Never happened...
  14. Once they legitimized Bernie Brewer, they fell down that slippery slope of crime.
  15. I think it's pretty simple (which probably means I don't understand it). But the May report will tell us where we are, more towards an accurate triangulation of degree and possible length of inflation. I expect May's report to be more like March's, a stabby increase in the YOY and trend. I think this mostly because energy and food prices clearly shot up from April's reprieve (esp. gas/diesel). Plus the Europe natural gas situation with Russia made it go way up, which of course will reflect down the line in global markets. If May's report is markedly worse, I think we're Stagflated and in deep, sticky shit for 4-5 more months. If it withstood the battering it seems to have gotten, then I think a strong case could be made that barring some unforeseen force acting upon the economy in the summer, we might be heading down towards 5 or even 4 percent, which to me would begin to show up in prices by mid-summer. That May crop report is a biggie/extra-influential for the rest of '22:
  16. You know things are shit when you have a "good day" with the Dow "only" losing < 200 pts. And like ninelives, shit, I would kill my grandmother for only a few hundreds $ lost the last 4 months. This is relevant and you oldies will understand it:
  17. No it's not. Unless you're Derka and have no life.
  18. Busted. Gotdammit my phone sometimes puts two year old "news" in my feed. Well, Roger Moore's still dead, if that helps. FML.
  19. Roger Moore. 89. Peace. Rest in peace.
  20. Expected "respite" hit as prices in April kind of farted to near break-even. But as said, a little worse than predicted (always "surprisingly" isn't it? LoFkingL). So the hammer peen was less pointy in April but still hit hard. Upward pressures though have seemed to increase dramatically this month, so my guess is a larger climb next month. In any event, it ain't goin' nowhere better (downward) for most of the rest of the year. Gas esp. diesel (hoo-boy) prices out front shoulda told ya. They can chainlink-trigger a lot of CPI hikes, and probably are, this month.
  21. Well, this is the inflation thread. 1,800 ft in 1990 equals 3,700 ft now. I think the inch was 30% smaller in 1990 as well.
  22. She gone. Sad I guess. I don't know.
×
×
  • Create New...