My fear has always been that those people will vote for the abortion referendum and then, thinking that they've protected abortion rights in their state, feel able to vote for Trump for president.
I don't agree with that.
For you, an outrage that occurs in March 2023 is the same as an outrage that occurs in September 2024. But you are . . . and I say this with love . . . a huge fucking nerd. You pay attention to Trump and politics, as evidenced by your posts on this board. But most of the world doesn't. Most of the world in March 2023 was watching the last season of Succession or going on Spring Break or doing any number of other things that normal people do that have absolutely nothing to do with Donald Trump. And to the extent they were aware of it at all, it was just background noise. It blended in with all the other things that they think they hate about politics or politicians.
But as we get close to a presidential election, people who don't ordinarily care about politics or politicians start to pay attention. So things that would otherwise be relatively minor take on an outsized importance.
Had this happened in March 2023, I'd completely agree with you. Nobody in March 2023 was weighing how they'll vote in two months. But today, it weighs on a decision that is imminent. And that gives it a whole different character.
You are right that a significant majority of Trump's supporters are irredeemable. They'll not be convinced by anything. But there are some--and maybe not even very many, but some--for whom this is going to be meaningful and will impact whether they vote and, if they do vote, for whom.