i’m the first to admit that my poli-sci degree from Florida does not give me any better opinion on a race in 2024 after these 40-odd years than yours - but I have been a political junkie all of my life, and it strikes me that the never ending buzz about Trump attacking people and Vance attacking people, and all of the emotional energy that goes with Trump’s version of grievance politics is so fucking tiring to any normal person, that the continued Trump drama will encourage people to vote for Harris. Just so they don’t have to listen to this shit every day for four years.
Given that Trump feels this attack mode is the only way for him to campaign, and as polls are trending down, his Pavlovian response will be to get even uglier and more emotional. Forget all of the policy position stuff, I am here to say Trump will lose because - overall - people just don’t want to listen to his constant shit slinging anymore. They want happy smiling chirpy Harris to tell them things are going to be fine, and are in fact fine right now, but we are working on the things that aren’t and we will work with Republicans and listen to their ideas.
I think voters - more than anything - want a break from the anger and the drama. It’s as simple as that. During the recent Biden doldrums we were not getting the full on shit slinging Gibbon that is Trump. Some people forgot how it was when he was president. Like PTS, people are remembering the constant negativity and insulting attacks on everyone who disagrees with Trump.
I think the PTS is being triggered and will result in a Harris win.