BamaATL

That's the point. Call it psy-ops or whatever you want to. This is done to discourage people into thinking their vote doesn't matter, and it's targeted at Democratic voters.

You were talking to Jake Tapper?

This is correct, but we do have 2020 voting data on the areas in question. It ranges a bit, from about 525k to 630k of registered voters. As to understanding this data, it's something I've hardly looked at of yet (I've been mainly focused on stronghold areas, etc.) I'll look at taking a deeper dive over the weekend. I'm particularly interested in GA 7 (R) Rich McCormick (he's a psychopath maga dentist who may or may not have had an affair with MTG). In 2020 that was an R+11 district. I don't think we beat him, unfortunately, but I do think it tightens significantly, which would be telling.

I think you are pretty well spot on.

Every election, save primaries, are open, with no impediment at all for those not party affiliated. Primaries are closed here. That wasn't always the case, but has been for some time now. The result, less and less people feel the need to be tied to a party.

Well, that wouldn't really work here, for a couple of reasons. Party affiliation in Georgia has been steadily declining for years, and indy's are well on the rise. Part of that has to do with our laws, they are very Indy friendly. Additionally, we get no publicly released data early on party participation here. So what you'd be left with is data on which party is losing registrations more, while at the same time turnout is up. Basically, those two things don't mesh into anything that one can infer.

Just to be a little clearer, one candidate is driving enthusiastic turnout from a group(s) that previously haven't had to be accounted for. I'll let you guess who is who.

For all the the media and pollsters saying that there is more Republican EV participation than in the past, based on Georgia Data, that appears true. Except, that's not the full story, essentially speaking they are talking out of 2 sides of their mouths. Yes, EV likely Republican returns are in fact higher, as the data dump last night 6.3% of people that voted day of 2020 (likely Republican) have now voted early. But 6% of more participation doesn't remotely reflect the at least 25% bump in EV we are now projected to have here. Of course every state is different, so results may vary. However, the truth, at least as Georgia is concerned, is this, previous non voters and indy's are driving this; ie. previous voters with low engagement. Now not all of that vote will break the Harris way, but I'd bet more of it does than doesn't. I strongly suspect that this is going on everywhere. When this is all over, and the pollsters and media (which will do nothing but blame the pollsters) all have egg on their face, one of the things they will point to is over-representation of Republican voters, and under representation of low engagement of previous non participants.

Daily Georgia EV data dump takeaways: 1. 2.369 million votes now cast 2. Women out pace men by 272k or 55.5% to 44% (.4% growth from yesterday) 3. 2020 day of voters represent 149k or 6.3% of the total (.3% bump from yesterday) 4. 2020 non voters are 387k, young voters 18 - 29 outpace old ones 65+ by 35k A little something different today, turn out by Democratic Congressional districts: GA 2- 138k 25.6% GA 4 - 138k 26.5% GA 5 - 162k 26.1% GA 6 - 182k 36.8% GA 13 - 167k 27.3%

Did anyone invite Travis Scott?

I've got experience with that.

Anyone buying that we are behind in Georgia? Meanwhile, apparently the Orange treasonist apparently couldn't fill a 5000 seat building in Phoenix.

Amir Abdur Rahim, 43 and head coach of South Florida's basketball team. He also coached Kennesaw State to their first NCAA bid. His brother is Shareef Abdur Rahim, of NBA fame. Shareef was a few years older than me, but I remember seeing him play in high school, phenomenal. Obviously very young, and apparently some sort of medical complication. I remember hearing him on local radio after Kennesaw's success of getting the tournament and they won a game, I think against Georgetown. I remember him being quite likable during his interviews. I never put together the relationship with his brother and it was not brought up. Very sad thing, sorry to hear it.

My sex ed teacher was also our linebacker and strength and conditioning coach. Interestingly, when I look back upon it, he was surprisingly progressive on a lot of things, in particular on people being gay. As a coach, complete meathead, as a teacher, I have to actually give him credit.

I can only speak to here and recent. in 2020 women voted at a 53.1% clip compared to men, and right now its at 55.1% and climbing. However, men have tended to be more of a turnout on election day itself, but not statistically in a major way (think 1 - 2%). As we get more data back early, right now the percentage figures to grow, perhaps to as much as 57% at it's current daily rate. If that sort of math holds, 2% sort of difference over at least 5 million votes is in the neighborhood of 100k. Obviously, that would presume a 100% democratic vote, which isn't true. Could it be 75k?, Maybe, it likely depends on location for me to guess at (right now, that'd be my guess, but I need more data for a final post early vote guess. I'll have that next Thursday.

I'm biased given my viewpoint and pretty much an optimist. I'm hesitant to put out a number right now on the totals because even I find it too ridiculous to fathom when it comes to Georgia, but I'll say this, right now, the math points to a blowout here (relative terms). Things can obviously change, and they likely will, but Georgia looks incredibly good, and women are at the forefront. I'm interesting if this is tracking across the board, pretty much every state we are getting info on. I.E., are women outpacing men even more so than the past, because if so, it's extremely telling.

Duh, the Salem Witch Trials.

It's pretty telling when people use the personal possessive "my" when talking about "our" country. As if it's this guy's personal domain and fiefdom. Ugly fucking Americans, and language, even on a simple level like this is telling.

I'm a bit concerned about you, tbh. You used the word quality positively in the same sentence as Chili's and Applebees.

Rise and Shine, time for some hopium. Georgia over night data takeaways: 1. 2.16 million ballots cast (2020 early voting was 2.3 million, with a week to go, we are going to fly past that number). 2. Females have now cast 240k more votes than men. 55.4% to 44.1% 3. Day of election voters from 2020 represent 128k votes or 6% (likely Republican bump, but certainly doesn't explain turnout) 4. 2020 Non voters represent 344k, 18-29 103k, 65+ 75k 5. Fortress Atlanta Update: Clayton County - 48k or 23% Cobb County - 163k or 28% Dekalb County - 157k or 27% Fulton County - 250k or 28% Gwinnett County - 162k or 25% Very strong numbers, the likely bump in Republican early voting is pretty muted in comparison to other turnout, which is pretty much all favorable to Democrats. Yesterday both my wife and I got calls to get people to the polls (first time it's happened for either of us, we thought it'd be more, but we got them there).

The milk thing is bizarre to me, yes it spiked for a bit, but it's like $1..49 a gallon here. What the hell are these people talking about? Also, I'm sorry Mr. Rockefeller, but my Sears credit card has a limit, I can't afford the organic eggs. Regular eggs right now are $2 a dozen, $2.50 for 18. Again, what the hell are these people talking about?

I keep getting bombarded with his stupid ads claiming $7 per gallon gas (Exxon/Mobil execs probably cum in their pants seeing that). Today I filled up, at you guessed it, $2.49. This is hilariously stupid, because it's actually a lower price than pre Covid and pre inflation. In a parity sense, compared to his term and his economy, gas is at about $1.39 per gallon.

Hasek has also been extremely pro-Ukrainian, to the point of pushing to ban Russian NHLers that don't speak out against it (obviously that hasn't gained traction). Believe it or not, at least two have spoken out a bit, Panarin of the Rangers against Putin a few years ago - the GRU instantly created a story about him being some sort of abuser, and Zadarov of the Bruins who simply said he was against the war, and now he can't go home.

He's always been a cunt?

No clue as to veracity, but it's the first time I've seen a number of pilots