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Posts posted by BamaATL
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2 minutes ago, KYHorn said:
This section (far left on the map, not in green) was definitely untenable.
Well, Putin did say he wanted "buffer zones", between Ukrainian bridge destruction and now Russian, looks like he will get it.
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Another bridge down in Kursk
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1 minute ago, The Dog said:
Yeah the question is does Ukraine have what they need to spring the trap?
My guess is that just with FPV drones the Russians are fish in a barrel there. While not listed on that map, those fields of fire are by my estimation artillery ranges. So it comes down to ammo.
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22 minutes ago, The Dog said:
Someone who knows better - thoughts?
This is Donetsk btw.
Gee wiz, that looks like a lot of fields of fire for the Russians to advance into, but hey, WSJ.
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10 minutes ago, General Specific said:
I know we count down to football kickoff here on the Surl. I do wonder if Ukraine has a countdown to winter in mind. The muddy season is soon right?Generally starts around mid September, and then pretty much everything is impassable until late November/middle December, once the freeze sets. That all nicely coincides with the advance in Kursk, it won't be long before both sides have no choice but to dig in there. The bridge over the Seym River serves to only help this. Ukraine is at least going to hold this area into next year.
At the end of the day, if a diplomatic solution is to come post the US election, having a chip to trade is smart. At this point, all things being equal, would you trade Kursk for Zaporizhzhia?
All told though, I think the Russian blogger is correct, this isn't a one punch move, there is a second punch coming, I'm just not sure where. If anything, the Ukrainians continue to show everyone they are full of surprises.
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3 hours ago, LurkingHorn said:Pretty sobering article from the WSJ this morning.
NEAR KRASNOHORIVKA, Ukraine—As Ukrainian troops poured into Russia’s Kursk region last week, five Russian assault troops on motorbikes were zipping toward Ukraine’s front line hundreds of miles to the east.
Two of the bikers were gunned down. Another turned back and fled. But the last two escaped into the trees, looking for a place to hunker down and await reinforcements.
This is one of the tactics Russia is using to take advantage of its vastly larger number of troops in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine, Russia’s primary target and the site of intensified assaults this week despite Ukraine’s incursion into Russia. Ukraine’s threadbare troops are struggling to hold them back.
Ukraine’s Kursk operation has embarrassed Russian President Vladimir Putin and given Kyiv the tactical initiative in one area for the first time in nearly a year. But it transferred troops and weapons from its already-creaking front lines to pull it off, a gamble that risks making a bad situation worse.
“We don’t have enough people to do our job properly,” said the commander of the 21st Battalion of the Separate Presidential Brigade, which faced the Russian assault last week at the edge of the contested town of Krasnohorivka.
Russian forces have gained territory at a faster rate this summer than at any point since the first weeks of the war and are now pushing toward the logistical hub of Pokrovsk. For Ukraine, losing Pokrovsk would sever a vital artery supplying troops fighting to the northeast, including in the city of Chasiv Yar, which lies on heights that hold the key to controlling the region. On Thursday, officials in Pokrovsk began urging civilians to evacuate.
I'm not so sure the WSJ is the best source of info on this. Yes, trading land in Donetsk isn't ultimately a good thing, nor is the appearance of a retreat, however, if you read between the lines there are a lot of potential advantages here.
Pulling the Russians forward and out of entrenched positions actually makes them more vulnerable than before. It stretches their already piss poor logistics. Plus rather than being in concrete bunkers, they find themselves sitting in desolate fields, which by the way they destroyed with their artillery (no cover). In this war, if you find yourself standing in an open field, there is a good chance you have but minutes to live. Plus, the ground they are trading quite frankly is destroyed and mined. There is a great chance the Russians will blow themselves up with their own minefields.
Yes they are trading ground, but it's being done in a tactical manner. To put it in football terms, you are actively encouraging the Russians to out kick their own coverage. It should come as no surprise the WSJ found a military member willing to question the strategy, however, one must also concede that there is a good chance this is subterfuge.
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Reports of explosions in Kerch, apparently the ferry landing. Taking that out of commission would, even if temporary would make the bridge the only viable entry point to Crimea at the moment.
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6 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:
And I think the part going into her "bikini line" ends in an arrow that says "enter here." And it should probably be preceded with "Abandon hope all ye who."
It's the Sarlacc pit of vaginas
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I'm just gonna point out that the Beetleguese release is only a couple of weeks out.
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19 minutes ago, Macanudo said:
Happy endings don't happen by themselves.
Giving handjobs for a reasonable price shouldn't come with the possibility of arrest, rather, a triple A rating withe Better Business Bureau and community nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize.
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Well this is the best recruiting video I've seen
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13 minutes ago, KYHorn said:
Damn
I think this would only be the 3rd of 4th loss of a HIMARs the entire duration of the conflict. Hate that it's happened at all, but that's pretty amazing considered how highly prized they are. I've read that in Ukraine they pop out, fire and immediately retreat to fortified underground bunkers, which is why they haven't been hit, in Kursk, that may not be as readily possible.
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13 minutes ago, ABSR said:
If you read this it actually says the commander was well liked by his men, but that he was shot and killed by other officers. So my guess is he didn't want to send his men into a meat grinder and he was executed for this position (Shot 11 times). The key is for the grunts to follow these officers lead and shoot and kill the "normal" Russian officers.
I feel pretty confident killing the commander that didn't get his guys killed won't be overly popular with the rank and file.
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Dr. Zhivago time would be nice.
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42 minutes ago, Armybrat said:
“Spa worker”?
Well, she ply's her wears and gives money to others in need of help, I'd say that make her a pretty decent person, hand jobs for money or not. Plus I wonder if anyone has a business card of hers?
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1 hour ago, Parliament said:
Where do thsie POW's go? To something monitored by the Red Cross or similar? Can we presume they're being fed and housed well? I hope. And word needs to get back to Russia how good it is to surrender.
I've read in the past that there are multiple places in western Ukraine used for POW camps, and I've seen footage of the camps. The POWs are well fed, taken care of medically, and clean. Andersonville, it ain't. They are shown footage of Russian behavior and crimes committed. Lastly they are given the opportunity to more or less defect and be removed from the exchange pool.
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8 hours ago, C-Man said:
I believe it's @BamaATL who thinks Kemp is dangerous as fuck.
I that would be unequivocally true, on both fronts.
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2 hours ago, Js1 said:
Let's hope that rings true, that'd be the House right there.
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8 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:
So what is the end game here? Hope Ukraine won't shoot them?
I don't know, you have to figure the Chechens will shoot them if they retreat. It's probably going to be a shit show. At least some of these guys are totally against this for the right reasons, and the reality is they are still going to die. That sucks, the world isn't always a fair place. I certainly feel bad for them.
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7 hours ago, mdmost said:
Sweet Christ, wokeness didn't kill country music. Corporations killed country music by making everyone cookie cutter and having them do nothing but namedrop products and things that showcase the American way of life like trucks, guns, beer, etc. It's selling nostalgia. No wonder it's popular with a certain set of people who vote for MAGA candidates.
I'm offended
You left out Applebees.
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2 hours ago, Underdog said:
Well shit...
Saw a History of Food episode that featured his story, it's a good one.
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Not great Bob
I hope these guys find their way to surrendering real quick.
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16 minutes ago, AUS-97HORN said:
Lithuania and Poland have both blocked all military access to that enclave. which works the other way as well, not allowing military to leave.
The only way they could be transferred is via an airplane route that requires them to fly out over the Baltic, follow an international air boundry route until they get to Russian airspace over St Pete. Or they have to take a boat from the harbor and sort of mirror the same water route as the planes do.
seems like it would take them more than 7 days to organize a military transfer to a boat that can handle that many troops, and of course their equipment and then sail to St Pete, offload and then make a run towards Kursk.
These are Russians after all, they dont take a dump without a plan... and the logistics say their planning sucks ass and is slow as fuck and would take 2+ weeks to be put into real world action,
Correct me if I'm wrong here, but aren't the trains running, and while they couldn't put equipment on them, they would be allowed to transport units thru those.
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So the Lithuanians are now claiming that Russia is pulling troops from Kaliningrad to reinforce Kursk. It's still highly unlikely, as that region is filled with hardcore Russians, but it would be freaking hilarious and great if a civil uprising begins there.
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Русский корабль - иди нахуй
in Daily Texan
Posted
It's starting to strongly look like Russia will retreat from everything south of the Seym in Kursk, this includes the Nuclear Plant. It occurred to me that if the Ukrainians take the plant, and turn it off, Belogorad will be largely without power. The would obviously affect a lot things, but the big one we may have missed was the ability to get fuel to the Russian units in Kharkiv. Basically, without the trains working effectively, no diesel gets to the front, or what little does isn't enough. If they can do this prior to winter, the Russian army in that area will be stuck, and not just starve from lack of food, but also lack of fuel.