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BamaATL

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Posts posted by BamaATL

  1. 5 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

    Russia literally doesn’t have any bullets in the chamber except for the nuclear threat at this point.  They ain’t gonna nuke everyone so what is there to threaten now? Only Western restraint kept us from fucking their shit up in the cyber realm before now, so even they won’t work.  Whatever we do back will be worse. It’s basically escalation dominance all the way up to nuclear. 

    To this end, I do have to wonder if areas like Kaliningrad and Siberia, which both have separatist movements (albeit complicated) may choose to attempt pursue succession to get away from the toxic stench from European Russia proper.  For Kaliningrad to integrate into Baltic Europe would seem to be very attractive as a small independent country.  Granted, they would have to stage some sort of small coup there, but I would have to think that will be at the very least worth it to avoid being tied into the Russian economy, or lack there of.  If you are a Siberian citizen, the only thing preventing you from being wealthy (given the mineral deposits) is being tied to European Russia.  They Russian army has thus far proven to be unable to function with out rail, so sabotaging the rail from Europe would be crippling and again a coup of sorts would need to occur.  I'd say there is ample reason to suspect the Siberians might try this.  

     

    So in essence, Putin's bullshit could easily not only fail entirely, but could also have the residual result of Russia losing all of Asia their only true warm water port, albeit not connected.  

    That Putin, he's a darn genius.  

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  2. 4 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Holy fuck the BMP-2 is claustrophobic as fuck. And there were fuel tanks built into the back doors/hatches.  They get hit, you've got to go through burning fuel to get out.

    @RDCanecutter you may appreciate this.

    Inside a Bradley for comparison

    web1_bradleyvehicles_072916rb_004_675230

     

    Group coffins, all armor at this point.  Might as well be signing up for your own cremation.  Hopefully you get 10% off for a group rate.  

  3. 6 minutes ago, Skipper said:

    See Biden cautioned regarding forthcoming cyber attacks.  Anyone seeing any additional intel on what is prompting the warnings?  We've known it's a risk but seems like increased risk if the President is discussing it.

    basically he said he expects it because of a Putin temper tantrum 

  4. 9 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Anybody want to take a guess as to why the Russian Cosmonauts showed up to the ISS wearing these outfits?  They claim they just had a lot of yellow fabric and needed to use it up.

    6wn5uearw7o81.jpg?width=960&crop=smart&a

     

    Obviously the suits were created in advance of the invasion (probably), and somebody said all three went to the same university and it was the school colors, but I would argue that they would have been ordered to wear other uniforms given what's going on.  

    It's interesting.  Putin has probably made a phone call or two over it.

    Nothing quite like teabagging Putin from orbit.  

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  5. 17 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

    This is interesting - talking about the PR/propaganda war being waged, and how the Russian propaganda may not be aimed at the West, but instead BRICS.

    Implications include that Russia really did think this would be over quick, and when it bogged down, they began getting the social media machinery to really churning, hence the 6-7 day delay.

    This is really interesting.  Their appeal to China, and India makes some sense to me (targeting countries with strongmen).  Of course they are going to target their own people, so nothing surprising there.  South Africa and Brazil seem almost baffling to me.  I suppose Brazil because they have a strongman leader?  I suppose South Africa and Brazil because they are both newish emerging economic powers?  The problem with that, at least to me is, is that Russia is neither emerging (centuries old albeit with different eras of governmental type) nor are they really an economic power, and certainly not emerging.  Why would they think that could be relatable to those two countries?

  6. 2 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    Truth.  And I've actually used that as an analogy for young lawyers who show up fresh out of law school (like a fresh Lt. out of West Point).  You may think you know something.  You're bright, and we like your potential.  But if you want to learn, and perform well from the get-go, listen to your sergeants -- legal assistants, veteran secretaries, etc.

    So much of good leadership and performance is humility, and trusting people BELOW you on the totem pole.  Russian soldiers in the field don't follow that.  Putin doesn't follow it.  And it shows.

    When I was sixteen I knew everything, apparently I've been getting dumber the more experience I have.  

  7. 1 minute ago, phdhorn said:

    Just heard Ret. Gen Jack Keane (who is for me the absolute best analyst in the universe on military stuff/this thing) say that he expects a little more Russian success for a few reasons.  All of their offenses have been stopped and Ukraine has done a mutherfuggin' brilliant job of cutting supply lines etc.  But he says that the best-led and equipped Russian troops and hardware are making their way from Moscow (they're so good they defend the city) into Belarus and the border to start ramping up the offensive again, and this time it might be more difficult for Ukraine to stop.  They've also been shelling pretty heavily in the west near Lviv where Ukrainian jet repair/maintenance facilities are - if they can't knock 'em all down they'll try to mess up their ability to regroup.  He expects a pretty savage movement within the next few days.  Plus if Mariupol falls, which is most likely, the land bridge to the Crimea and the naval strength is bridged, essentially giving the eastern sliver of Ukraine to Russia.  One strength Russia does have is that they have a pinpoint view of the entire sky as their sophisticated equipment/tech for their radar/air geo of course is back in Russia.  He expects the fighting to escalate esp. if Ukraine gets resupplied with missles and the like.

    Doesn't sound hopeful, but looks like now's the time to go full throat to Moscow if their elite forces have to be peeled off to supplement their septic tank of a military operation so far.

    There's no call for insulting septic tanks.  But yeah, not great news.

  8. 3 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

    I think you're missing the point. 

    Respectfully, I disagree.  Sweden and Finland have both decided not to join NATO, they've had ample opportunity to do so. Now that they see the danger, and want to join 70 years after the fact, why should we let them?  They've had us absorb the cost for 70 years, and now all of a sudden they want in.  Nope, pay the freight, its why they had relative utopias, they weren't paying their way into to security, just reliant on us to do it for them.  I see no reason to give them a pass for this.

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  9. 2 minutes ago, BachelorTrek said:

    According to this source:

    Its main control system was, at least "briefly" situated in "a deep hardened underground bunker in the shape of a sphere, very deep and very hardened, probably the most secure place of all time in the Cold War," a David Hoffman, a longtime journalist and author of the 2009 book Dead Hand: The Untold Story of the Cold War Arms Race and Its Dangerous Legacy, explained in a podcast in 2015. Duty officers at their posts inside this structure would wait out their shifts watching for three lights to come on. 

    One would come on when they had received their "predelegation" of authority. The next would confirm a complete "decapitation" of senior Soviet leadership. The last one would become illuminated after confirmation of an incoming nuclear strike. If all three became lit, they would begin initiating the ICBM launches via a secure communications network that included ballistic missile-like rockets carrying transmitters to broadcast launch codes remotely to personnel in silo complexes down below. An actual fully-automated doomsday system was reportedly also considered, but ultimately rejected.

     

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    The first 2 lights would never come on in a leaderless scenario.

    In a coup, Putin's command would be cut off first before he knows. Why bother otherwise? No "predelegation" occurs.  No Light #1

    Also in a coup, their won't be a "decapitation" of senior ruskie leadership, because 1) there will be no nuke strike to "decapitate" them and 2) the senior ruskie leadership will be in on/conducting the coup.  No Light #2

    Plus, No incoming ICBMs.  No Light #3

    Do you honestly believe that this system hasn't be modified to serve Putin's Russia?  You are talking about Soviet shit.  

  10. 2 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

    And NATO

     

    Nice thought ambassador, but no it doesn't come close to fulfilling NATO standards when it comes to military investment and capability.  If for no other reason Finland hasn't made an investment to NATO for 70 years, so while you may have made an internal military investment, you've made none towards NATO, and your internal investment doesn't mean shit to us now, when it's become clear that you couldn't stand alone.   This is bad used car salesmanship.  So you ducked the cost for 70 years and now you want in.  Sure I want Finland on our side, but this is a hugely bullshit argument.  Their dodge on this for 70 years disqualifies them from automatic membership in my opinion.  You want in, pay a fair share, not from now when you need it, but retroactively.  

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