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BamaATL

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Posts posted by BamaATL

  1. 16 minutes ago, SL Xpress said:

    The prisoner swap I really want to see in the near future is the Kursk Nuclear power plant for Zaporizhzhia. 

    I'm sure the Russians would take that in a heartbeat, they'd continue to surround the now cold Zaporizhzhia plant that is damaged, for a hot Kursk plant that they are dependent upon.  So yeah, this ain't in the cards.  

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  2. 1 minute ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Where the hell is Russian close air support?  How are they not flinging every aircraft they have at this? How are they not flying hundred or troops in by helicopter and dropping them off ahead of advancing Ukrainians?

    It’s almost as if the Ukrainians have some form of air superiority….

    Combine that with the munitions destruction at the two fields this week, I think there are 2 things going on.

    1.  The Russians are terrified of hand held anti-air, i.e. they can't fly into active range

    2.  The Ukrainians, with this foreknowledge, destroyed much of the Russian glide bomb capability in the region.  

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  3. 3 minutes ago, ABSR said:

    Second person saying this but I can’t find anything online t indicating this.  Not saying not true, but can you provide a link?   They have taken the station, but all reports I saw it was not destroyed by them.    Ukraine has launched strikes at other LNG stations and damaged or destroyed them.

    Only unconfirmed rumors at this point.  I would imagine that if this were in fact true, there would be pictures of it at this point.  Also, considering that it is generally agreed upon by both sides that Ukraine currently has control of the area, there isn't a reason to yet destroy that, rather you could turn it off.  Is it wired to be blown up, if the Ukrainians have to leave, my bet would be absolutely.  

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  4. 35 minutes ago, ABSR said:

    I think controlling the LNG station is nice and they could threaten destruction, but I don’t think they will as the supply is to NATO nations and I believe the pipeline runs through Ukraine held territory so in theory they could have already destroyed it if they wanted.

    The NP plant makes more sense, not that they would destroy it, but if they shut off distribution that would be huge.  And not something Russia could indiscriminately bomb unless they intend to make a huge catastrophe and blame Ukraine.  Doesn’t make sense to logical people…but Russia.

    What this gives them is the ability to threaten or stop rail and road supplies to a large area of Russian held territory and create massive logistics failures which would eventually impact Russian combat capabilities and create weakness in other areas they could exploit.

    From PR standpoint it is great too, and even if it does not achieve great long term military success, it has the possible effect similar to the Tet offensive in the Vietnam war.

    They blew up the LNG station 3 days ago, so that part of the deal is done.  

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  5. 8 minutes ago, Nivek said:

    There is a reason for the development of pincer moves and how movement in general can contribute to the effectiveness of strategy.   I haven't read Sun Tzu in a long time, but I would caution on the rigidity of that thinking.  Sure there are examples of the Lost Battalion (WWI) and the Alamo which give credence to his claim, but the Battles of Marathon, Cannae, Hattin, Kiev (1941) all show significant success of this strategy.    

    I like the timing of this as well, we only have about 6 weeks until raspustista (the mud), if the Ukrainians can cut supply to the North, the Russians will starve.  

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  6. So just out of curiosity I looked up the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant's production and distribution.  It's responsible for power production for at least 19 regions and Oblasts to some varying degree.  It's capacity is 3,000 MWs.  I highly doubt that Russia has a smart grid of any real sort, and certainly not to deal with this sort of scenario, but just a thought, capturing this station as an objective makes more sense to me, because essentially speaking, they'd cripple Kursk, and Belgorod.  They'd have a real hard time operating trains, ect.  

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  7. 2 minutes ago, Grande Mart said:

    Of course, the Soviet army included the Ukrainians, as well as the Baltic States. I’m starting to wonder if the majority of the badasses in the Soviet Union came from the non Russian parts

    When it comes to engineers, I've know plenty of Ukrainian ones.  

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