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Posts posted by BamaATL
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3 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:
That will definitely be happening.
Wrong! No fundraising grift attached to the statement.
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10 minutes ago, Superhero said:
Forever too soon.
I'm confused, are you saying if Prigozhin gets hurt they have no chance?
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Looks like Drumpf will be learning about document procedures with Sally Decker in Statesville Prison.
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It's sort of surprising he didn't issue an executive order to have Carl's Jr take over the cafeterias at all Federal Prisons while he had the chance.
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Given his desire to be the biggest and bestest Prez of all time, I really do think he's chasing down Taft at 340lbs. He's got it in sight now. One extra KFC bucket a week will put him over the top.
Side note, I imagine he sweats Big Mac sauce.
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2 minutes ago, Nivek said:
Missiles so fast they are caught on a dash cam. Missiles so powerful they can shut down 2 lanes of traffic in one direction for about 2 minutes.
If you have to yell at the top of your lungs that you have the best words, maybe you don't? If you run around telling people how unstoppable your missiles are......
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You think Farmer's has seen it and covered it?
That J.K. Simmons is full of shit man
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44 minutes ago, statsman said:Question- suppose you are in the decision making cohort for Ukraine. You have a stable front. You have AD, but keeping missiles stocked is a constant fight. You have IFVs that you did not have before. You have the HIMARs that made such a difference last fall. You now have modern tanks.
In two months you will have F-16s ready to go.
Why would you launch a counteroffensive now, instead of waiting two months? This may be the deciding battle for the war. Why wouldn’t you wait until you can launch a true combined arms attack, such as your opponent has not seen before? With a little luck, you might even get air superiority, of a fashion.
The window is limited because of raspustista, the mud. My understanding is that in late Septemberish/early October it returns. That would mean that if you were to wait 4 months for the planes that no one has agreed to yet (just training thus far, though I am sure that will come later) you'd have only a few weeks before you'd have to wait for a freeze. Even if you got accelerated training of 2 months, and planes, and weapons platforms to go with the planes, you'd have only a brief period to accomplish anything. There is a political element to this (which I wish didn't exist, but hey, welcome to the real world), and the Western allies will need to begin to see a return of sorts. Because of all this, I don't think the Ukrainians can afford to wait.
Personally, I think the F16s are looked at as end game sort of stuff by the West, additionally security assistance while going thru the full NATO acceptance. I could be wrong on this. Also, if they were going to wait, I don't believe they'd be tipping their hand to a degree by using things like the Storm Shadow for shaping operations. I've long thought they will really start very late night on a Friday or Saturday, when the Russian officers are most likely to be on an overnight drunk; not to mention the night vision advantage they have.
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2 minutes ago, statsman said:
Drones hitting civilian housing in Moscow is not good. What’s going on? It could be:
1. Ukrainian tit for tat.
2. Ukrainian drones meant for military targets going off course3. Partisans of Ukraine going rogue
4. Russian false flag
Given the distance to Moscow,from Ukraine, and the (crude) drone tech, my guess is #3 or #4. If it’s #3, they need to get those guys under control.
It's certainly not a good look if the Ukrainians suddenly started hitting civilian targets. I'd understand the impulse, but given that they are dependent on western opinion and aid for this, I don't think they'd do it, at least on purpose. Putin, on the other hand, has a history attacking his own people to serve his own needs and foster public sentiment. My guess would be 4, for the purposes of full mobilization would be the most likely scenario. It's interesting he withdrew from an arm's treaty yesterday, and today this happens.
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Another possibility
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Interesting, I have no idea to the truth of this, but it would stand to reason a bit
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2 minutes ago, Armybrat said:
I was talking about the Russian dogs.
Well, they won't be eating chicken from the looks of it
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12 minutes ago, statsman said:This thread pumps up Ukraine, but it isn’t hostile to contrary information. I’ve made plenty of posts expressing pessimism about Ukraine’s supply of armament, reliability of allies (including the US) and questioning tactics. I haven’t had blowback because I don’t quote Russian sources and it’s clear my negativity comes from a desire to see Ukraine win.
My criticism of Mullet is that he presents a negative point and doesn’t complete the thought. He says that Russia is getting more missile through than Ukraine admits to and…what? What’s the conclusion to draw from that?You have points I don't always agree with for sure, but at least there is effort into them and it's not straight contrarian for the sake of being contrarian. I'm quite certain I have thoughts not everyone will agree with either, and I'll be the first to admit that I'm not always right, in fact far from it. At the end of the day, when someone takes the opposite side strictly for the sake of it people can immediately get a sense of the disingenuous nature of it. I think the vast majority of people here, right, wrong, indifferent are least attempting to express their genuine thoughts. With Mullet, I don't get that sense at all, and it's very transparent in my opinion.
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46 minutes ago, Mullet Free said:
At what?
Quoting Ukrainian accounts that directly contradict regarded DT thread narratives?
So you really think they are attacking hospitals and apartment buildings because they are doing well? It might be because they are the biggest buildings in town when they hit them. I'm sure occasionally they hit something of value militarily but it sure isn't often. The electrical grid I understand, it made some sense, and bear in mind they likely had maps and drawings of most of its locations from the Soviet days (not real intel, just old info). I guess they haven't hit supply trains coming into Ukraine because they are just performing good will gestures. I suppose they like the challenge of Himars, or are looking forward to facing at least 9 brigades of western combined arms. I guess that is possible, they have consistently shown themselves to be grossly incompetent, but maybe it's not that, maybe they just want a bigger challenge.
I think they are going to get to see. While all that might be true, I'm guessing its far more likely that they don't have a fucking clue where the Ukrainians really are beyond the front lines and city based intel.
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17 minutes ago, Schulz2.0 said:Bypassing sanctions through front companies in countries like Turkey, Armenia, etc.
I've read estimates that they can produce 70ish missiles a month, while they still we estimated to have a few hundred previously stockpiled. This tracks but also doesn't consider that some of these strikes are from the KH family for tactical warheads with ballast installed instead of warheads, which we know they are also using.
What is remarkable, is even with their dwindling supply and limited ability to produce more, they still don't target military targets. This is incredibly stupid considering that somewhere the Ukrainians are mashing formations and these could be used to target them in lieu of civilians. This says a couple of important things, 1 The Russian intel systems must be utter shit, I mean way worse than anyone thought to include satellite surveillance. The Ukrainian work to hide their movements I"m sure are good, but what it really indicates is just how shitty the Russian abilities are and that they are generations upon generations behind in our satellite technology. 2. It shows that a politician of a singular mentality is in control and not a seasoned military professional. Putin knows only one way to try to get his way when things go to shit, and that's terrorism. A real strategic thinker wouldn't waste resources in this way.
Lastly, and most importantly, these continued strikes prove the need for the extermination of the existing system of government in Russia. Patton was an asshole 75 years ago, but it didn't mean he wasn't right, and he still is.
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I don't think they limped away
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So are they really incels now?
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51 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:
I hope he dies today.
I hope he gets to a celly with an MS13 leader in ADX Florence due to overcrowding.
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16 minutes ago, SmokeyTheBear said:
So we are getting Saban?!
No
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35 minutes ago, Schulz2.0 said:
Retards on Twitter are of course using the McDonald's video as evidence that the war is a hoax.
One might argue that long lines at McDonald's is proof of the hardships of war, just saying.
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25 minutes ago, Bevo said:
What happens if Lukashenko dies?
If Lukashenko is already dead then in theory fresh elections should be held and a new president elected; however, that is unlikely to happen.
Belarus was thrown into uproar after Lukashenko massively falsified the results of the August 2020 elections, returning himself to office with a massive landslide. The few independent results from the voting reported by rebel polling stations# suggest that the wife of an opposition candidate, Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, actually won by a landslide. The country erupted into mass demonstrations within hours of the official result being announced and the head of the Central Election Committee fled the country in fear of her life. Tikhanovskaya fled into exile a few days later after being threatened with arrest by Belarus’ KGB. Her husband, Sergei Tikhanovsky, has been in jail ever since.
The authorities will be unwilling to risk a repeat performance. Fresh elections would almost certainly ignite fresh protests, which were only quelled before by Belarus’ freezing winter in 2021 and brutal police repression once the crowds on the street every weekend became small enough to manage.
Lukashenko has already prepared the ground for one of his sons to take over by increasing the authority of the Security Council which his son chairs. Similar to the informal mechanisms used to choose successors in Central Asia, Lukashenko has merely institutionalised a similar confab of the elite and given it a legal base.
It remains to be seen if the Security Council will be allowed to take power or choose a successor, as Russian social media is already speculating that the Union State deal signed with Russia in 1999 could be rushed to completion and Belarus subsumed into Russia in some form. At the least the Kremlin will interfere and push its own preferred presidential candidate on Minsk to maintain the tight bonds between the two countries and increase its control at the same time.
Oh, I'm well aware of the history, and why this can't happen and won't happen. But that doesn't mean that Putin is. What we know is that this is a guy who is sitting in an information bubble of his own choosing. He doesn't read outside sources; he doesn't have but a small group that advises him, and by all accounts that group has only gotten smaller. He seems to collect people around him that only share his worldview (or reinforce it for their own personal gain). In short, his downfall will be his own hubris (call it vanity, ego, whatever you want), his self belief, deluded as it is, and this could be yet another example of this.
Long story short, if this is what he is up to, it's going to backfire spectacularly. While I think that's apparent to everyone who is basically paying attention; for Putin it may well be another big blind spot.
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1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:
If true and Belarus ends up in some turmoil, I don't think there is much Russia can do, if they can't even protect their own borders. If they shift forces over to try and keep a lid on Belarus, that helps Ukraine out, and opens the door for more Russians invading Russia actions.
This may just be legit poor health, so grain of salt with all this:
If Putin is behind this it would make some sense because at this point we all know how prone he is to magical thinking. His thought might well be that with Lukashenko out of the way, he can just take Belarus thru his will (remember I did say magical thinking) and simply absorb them into his new empire. He likely has people around him that would say this would work (I'm sure he can trot out a bullshit map or two in this scenario as well). With that in mind, his thought would be that he could immediately mobilize the Belarusian Army and open a new front in northern Ukraine. One that would prevent the Ukrainians from launching their offensive elsewhere.
Of course the reality is very different. If Putin were to attempt to seize Belarus in the wake of a Lukashenko death, I think there is a far better possibility of a full scale revolt in Minsk. I also don't think the Belarusian military would take orders from him. Given that Russia's military is bogged down in Ukraine, it's not as if Putin has the ability to take Belarus by force. Instead, if this is really what is going on, I'm sure he's getting told that Russian-Belarusian unification will be greeted with flowers, and that troops won't be necessary as the Belarusian military will immediate accept transfer for command. In the end, in this scenario, he could well lose what has until now been a friendly staging area for the war in Ukraine. To boot, if he already has been staging tactical nukes in Belarus, there is a chance these get taken in the midst of revolt.
All this having been said, we know Putin is a master strategist, and this sort of catastrophic thinking/planning is now part of his M.O. If there is a shitty choice to make, he will do it. So I can't dismiss this as a possibility.
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43 minutes ago, 686 said:
Graham has hates him some Russians. It’s interesting, I’d like to hear his mindset/backstory on it. He’s been all-in since the beginning.Well, there is a fairly obvious answer to that.
Apartment collapse in Iowa, 5 people unaccounted for but they want to demolish
in Daily Texan
Posted · Edited by BamaATL
I haven't worked in apartment construction or renovation for a while now, but I can tell you right now there is going to be a massive problem of building collapses in this country. All of the older buildings, pre 2000s didn't have open concepts, and what wound up happening is that every money manager pushed for older style apartments to be renovated to meet this conceptual standard and maximize market value accordingly. The problem is, they all pushed for it to be done on the cheap, non engineered, non permitted, etc. It doesn't take much of load bearing walls being compromised for you to have a big problem, worse, it might not be immediately noticeable, and the problem can seemingly sit dormant for years; but it's not dormant, its a time bomb.
I'm not saying that is what has happened here, but this is a big problem.
And I suppose its ok to blame Ken Paxton.