I don't think this team is making the playoffs. There won't be a single team in the west that's tanking, with the possible exception of Portland. And I'm not really sure about them. Don't get me wrong, I don't think the west is great by any means, but find me some easy wins in this conference:
Championship tier: Nuggets - defending champs with a core in their prime. They aren't going anywhere.
Window closing tier: Lakers, Clippers, Suns and Warriors are pot committed with aging rosters. Also, of those four, only the Warriors own their own first round pick in 2024 and that's only if it falls in the top 4. So even injuries won't push any of them into tank mode.
The time is now, maybe, tier: Grizz, Kings, Mavs, Wolves and Pelicans all have some sort of urgency to win now, too. The Pels and Grizz are close to being at tipping points with Zion and Ja. The Mavs went all in on fucking Kyrie and need to win to keep Doncic around. The Wolves mortgaged their future and have a budding star in Edwards on the clock. The Kings just made the playoffs for the first time in 100 years and decided to run it back and commit long term to their core. They gotta keep that beam lit.
Not rebuilding anymore tier: Thunder have a really young talented team hoping to take the next step. The Jazz are probably a notch behind the Thunder, but likewise have some talent. Maybe if things head south for them, they start to punt on the season? That leaves the Rockets, who don't own their pick either, so they have zero incentive to tank.
Likely to suck no matter what tier: Portland. They finally embraced the rebuild, but they aren't completely devoid of talent. There are some dogs on that team, too. Not dawgs, dogs. Like the kind with fleas. Portland is likely to be terrible unless Scoot is the real deal right away and they compete from day 1. I'm not seeing it.
And then you have the Spurs. They are going to be better than last year for the simple reason that they won't be actively tanking, but it may not show up as much in the win column. They still have some major holes in the roster (ahem... point guard). They are going to have to stay healthy themselves, and then hope for a lot of weird shit to happen to the other teams to even make the play-in. Should Wemby greatly exceed year one expectations, this is still an extraordinarily young roster that doesn't know how to win and close out games. Some of those lessons just have to be learned the hard way. This is going to be a season for growing pains, I'm afraid. But it should be fun as hell to watch them grow up.