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Vegas64

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Everything posted by Vegas64

  1. TIL: Katie Ledecky (GOAT olympic swimmer) is related to the owner of the NHL's New York Islanders (uncle).
  2. To be fair the surplus was 9 months before the currency swap (and to be the most fair, without the currency swap and $20/$40bn bailout, maybe he loses in a landslide), but as it stands today he almost tripled his seats which is like if Texas were to beat Vandy by 20-- hard to imagine before it happens, but it could happen!
  3. Exactly this. His 'phase 1' already delivered Argentina's first full-year surplus in 123 years and crushed monthly inflation from ~25% to ~2%, all by slashing things Argentina can't really afford (subsidies, costly public works, and a big public sector). And while poverty is still high, the latest stats show it’s falling (though critics argue the numbers cloud a complex picture). His planned 'phase 2' reforms will be just as big and polarising, whether deregulating the labour market, simplifying the tax code, or privatising another ~20 state-owned firms. https://www.thetimes.com/world/latin-america/article/javier-milei-argentina-elections-2025-f3k6jbbf9
  4. My company tracks as a KPI our use of various (there are actually quite a few) AI applications we use. Engaging with them is compliance. It's definitely becoming a "measure what matters" metric for executives and the end result is allegedly to help employees be more productive and save time and energy on low skill, high manual tasks, but let's see.
  5. right the suicide had nothing to do with this/football/pedo. the boy came home sullen, went upstairs, and the parent found him hanging in what appears to be a super tragic and sad case of teenage depression, hurt and sorrow and overwhelming emotions etc. so while unrelated, still a double whammy of back to back painful episodes for the community and Celina seems to be going through it right now. have a lot of friends who sold in frisco @ 3-4x what they bought in for and bought in cash mansions with olympic sized pools out there with a lot of acreage but that town in general has seen exponential growth.
  6. The analysis I was reading was that a referendum on Millei's policies woudl be to endure all the pain of the austerity and not have the stomach/patience to see it out for the "potential" gain. The worst of both worlds, in other words, and with the $20bn lifeline, it bought time to prove out the thesis I guess.
  7. So do we drop out of the top 25 with that win?
  8. I bought 106 shares on prediction marker for like .06 because why not we could come back (I think it was 38-28). The win isn’t amazing but it’s a nice $100 bonus too
  9. I guess so. The way I am left feeling after the other night is that with the bare minimum table stakes management you would expect from everyone except the handful of poverty mismanaged franchies (and Nico), Wemby is completely a variable that cannot be accounted for in a way I think we have rarely, if ever, seen. I could be taken in by the moment and being a recency bias victim here, but it feels like Wemby and a nice player and 3 JAGs should be favorites every year for the next 10 if a) he stays healthy and b) no other genetic freak mutant all-stars come into the league that can meet or beat what wet bananas brings to the game. edit to add, I have heard pundits describe it as like when Wilt was playing and there was nobody in his stratosphere comparisons type projections.
  10. Was talking about this today. He's a cheat code. If the Spurs can't win a bucket full of championships in his run then it's because Wemby was injured.
  11. I didn't give much credence to the NBA rigging the Draft for us to get Flagg after trading Doncic away for AD and a bucket of balls, but with all this gambling stuff and the fact that the executives all knew, I'm starting to think it's not really a conspiracy theory anymore and more of an open secret.
  12. Gotcha, not the baliwick I was thinking/had some inroads to, but will keep an ear out for ya!
  13. lol ok. cool, hook em, my friend!
  14. haha, it's just one thing after another with this guy. "flood the zone" has a new meaning with trump and maga, it's a constant barrage meant to wear us down to an exhuasted nub. It's actually hard to keep up and if it wasnt't for your website I'm not sure how I would. It's almost a part time job to keep up with this idiot.
  15. Dear God. I get the outrage. This has all been insane but this is a fever pitch. This buffoon..... Yep. He's a fascist ego maniac. I know, water is wet.
  16. Reasonable minds can disagree because the story is being written as we speak. The absolute and assuredness some people (AI doomers is the term I've used because that is the actual term being used out in society where people touch grass between meetings, not just a word I'm making up to disparage you fine folks here like Brisket), is what I'm pushing back on. I'm not trying to "both sides" this as if it's some moral political argument. And I do think that despite what you think you know and what your lived experience is, which I'm sure is considerable and meaningful, you are still in the shallow ends of all this stuff just like the rest of us who have our own professional and personal experiences. Nobody knows with any certainity how this is going to play out but my personal opinion is that a good guess is to draw on history which suggests that this at a minimum a) there is no stopping the AI revolution at this point no matter how much handwringing and magna cartas are written by influential people b) there will be technological progress c) wealth creation for the some d) interesting fundamental changes in everyone's personal and professional lives and e) we will adapt and move on without unaliving ourselves as a people group. There are real challenges and concerns as you mentioned with power generation, natural resources, costs, and yes bubbles, but the tracks are being laid for the next 100 years IMO. And I've said it before but I think there are literal trillion dollar companies of the next 10 years who are not even incorporated yet today who will take advantage of the opportunities.
  17. I've seen a lot of AI slop around what the East Wing "project" is going to look like or what is affected, but saw this and it seems to be the most neutral, factual view (from atop) so thought I'd share as it was helpful to me:
  18. That is CRAZY not just for all the reasons already stated, but also because of the popularity and trending 996 work schedule lately which seems to suggest the exact opposite? I wonder what his angle is....
  19. Of course I don't, nobody really does! That's also kind of the fun of living through such a disruption, it's such a fast moving and dynamic landscape we are living through that what you thought you knew yesterday could be wrong 6 months from now, and there is so much opportunity. Maybe I'm just a glass half full kind of guy as a predisposition though.
  20. say what? I'm not defending them, I'm calling them ineffectual dorks who don't know ball. That's the worst insult imagniable where I'm from. But also, sorry if that interpretation ruined your party. This is literally how coup's happen.
  21. All I'm saying is the constant AI doom and gloom and ruining life and society, especially from old people and people of my generation, is giving the Mexican Fishing story, as the kids say. And I get it. At a certain age and disposition, I don't have the energy for the disruption. I'm old and tired and on the downside of the slope along with all the other old fogies on here, and I'm overrotating a little here today to be provocative, but the point is let's add some balance to the conversation. AI isn't going to usher in utopia, but it's also not going to be the fall of mankind. The doom feels unneccesary and even lazy at this point. No matter what you believe, I think we all agree that AI is out of the tube and there is no way backwards. Boom, bust or otherwise.
  22. Which is why, it's been argued, we are the leaders....
  23. I wonder how much of that (the staying in your big house once empty nest) is a cultural shift. Used to be, once my kids are 18+, in college or college educated, they go out and get a job and have an apt or house with roommates, go live a life. It's not much different than the spartan life you lived as a broke colelge student, but it's a little better and it's a life. Earn some money, gain some skills, go out, go on dates, etc. but be 100% independent. The only time your kids moved back in with you was if something really bad happened and it was kinda shameful. That or there are some fundamental issues like with disabilities or handicaps that precluded the ease of a normal life. Now it seems like a cultural norm to have your kids stay with you longer, the coddling mother saying "just live here and save some money", while you go to school or work your first couple of entry jobs to pay your dues. It's not uncommon for able-bodied adults to live at home until their 30's these days, which kinda blows my mind, but I get that it's harder than ever for kids to live without roommates in desirable cities and locations so it's not longer the burn outs and losers who live at home, but good kids who need more time and help. And I wonder how many parents don't sell their big house because they are taking a "wait and see" approach to see if their kid will be able to muster it or if they need the extra rooms for the boomerang in case they need some more time and help.
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