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thepop

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Everything posted by thepop

  1. You're telling me if a few states go the other way, the other candidate could win? Crazy.
  2. nah, this is different than the classic republican tag line of "democrats are evil", and if you can't see that after 4 years then I'm pretty sure nothing I say will convince you anyways.
  3. If i knew someone who is going to vote for trump, i would have cut them off by now.
  4. This guy on youtube took current averages and accounted for the 2016 election day shift between actual numbers and final polls. For example, Texas was +11.7 in 2016 in polls, actually won by +9. Currently Texas is +1.2, so the same 2.7 point shift would give Biden a win in Texas. His map accounting for that looks like this. Even if we take out Texas and call that a pipe dream, it's still favorable.
  5. People say pollsters have corrected their methods. I’ll take their word for it. Less undecideds too.
  6. It's easy to get caught up living in one of the cities, but I don't trust this state to turn blue just yet. It's one of those "i'll believe it when i see it" things. The old rural folks will turn up big like they always do. If there's any hope it's because of Beto's mass voter registration campaign and Trumps unpopularity.
  7. Midwest turning red could make it a wash (Wisconsin and Minnesota). Florida and Ohio are already lost too.
  8. We just got the quality USC poll which had +12 or something. As I have been saying, y’all have 2016 PTSD. For the record I think +6 will be the final margin.
  9. I’d love to go first day of early voting this year but I imagine it may be slightly busy. I’ll check that app that gives voting times
  10. CO doesn’t get a lot of senate polls but this one is in line with what we thought.
  11. The longhorn will be lit up, i was wrong about that. Not sure about Georgia style stadium lighting though.
  12. As I said, they’re going to vote the same. That was the end of conversation. Now back on track.
  13. I thought LJ was a silent already or was that someone else.
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