Gandalfish

In before someone starts an argument about “buck” vs. “butt” naked.

I thought Trump already said he was going to be “in charge of missile defense”

1. Texas 49-17 vs. Florida. Score = 100.0 (QBR 90.0 +10 for win) 2. Texas 20-10 vs. Arkansas Score = 72.0 (QBR 62.0 +10 for win) 3. We watch the Texas vs. Kentucky game. Sum Ewers QBR +10 for a team win -10 for a team loss. 4. We watch the Texas vs. Aggy game. Sum Ewers QBR +10 for a team win -10 for a team loss. 5. We watch the next Texas game of the season (Bowl game, SEC Championship, or First round playoff). Sum Ewers QBR +10 for a team win -10 for a team loss -30 if this is a bowl game +10 if it's the SEC championship. So Quinn is pacing MOST LIKELY NOT A PUSSY, with an average score of 86.0 so far. The arguments go on...

From unincorporated Harris county. T E X A S !!

Texas 42 Piggy 20 WR total yards 316

There is no mechanism in NATO to eject member states. I’m pretty sure all current nations would have to approve the change if they wanted to add this option. Very doubtful countries like Turkey and Hungary would approve something like this.

Heigh Giyz, wutz gowen on in dis thred?

I don't know much of anything about Quinn personally. This was answering the question "Why wouldn't he be doing that?" It's a plausible answer, even if not accurate.

To keep his Sooner girlfriend happy?

Honest question, how shitty is your life that this is what it takes to enjoy your wins?

Surly.

Almost nailed the score, well done!

1. Texas 49-17 vs. Florida. Score = 100.0 (QBR 90.0 +10 for win) 2. We watch the Texas vs. Arkansas game. Sum Ewers QBR +10 for a team win -10 for a team loss. 3. We watch the Texas vs. Kentucky game. Sum Ewers QBR +10 for a team win -10 for a team loss. 4. We watch the Texas vs. Aggy game. Sum Ewers QBR +10 for a team win -10 for a team loss. 5. We watch the next Texas game of the season (Bowl game, SEC Championship, or First round playoff). Sum Ewers QBR +10 for a team win -10 for a team loss -30 if this is a bowl game +10 if it's the SEC championship. There is still a lot of football to be played, but on pace to be a BOSS 🤘

From unincorporated Harris County. F I G H T !!

💯

Y’all enjoy. I gave my tickets to my brother and my nephew. Hopefully my nephew enjoys the experience and ends up playing for us someday. Kid has a hell of an arm, and great instincts. 🤘

Also worthy of inclusion in the list. I’d file it under “Degradation of Democracy” and give it a 60% chance of happening on such a large scale.

This is a good point. if I were to insert it into my list, I’d probably make it broader and just call it “Cronyism”. Putting unqualified people in charge of things isn’t good. The chances of this happening are 100%. However the machine of government, our institutions and society have a lot of inertia. I feel like the cronies will absolutely annoy Democrats and give us all something to rage about. I put the odds of them actualizing really damaging change at about (20%)

I was trying to respond civilly to someone that engaged with one of my posts. I think "A relatively bloodless toppling of the Iranian government" is highly unlikely to occur. But if somehow a repressive and regionally toxic regime were to fall, and that fall involved relatively few casualties, I'd say that would be a large net positive for the region and the world.

Hey, I hope it happens. A relatively bloodless toppling of the Iranian government would be amazing. To be fair, my post was summing up my fears not my hopes. Maybe in another few days I'll feel capable of summing up my hopes.

I was actually kind of trying to tie in to the Quinn Ewers thread (🙃) *In before negative rep*

Sorry, let me keep the the thread's form. Ehem... You're a pussy, or a commie, or a fascist. Probably all three.

A Comprehensive List of my Fears/Anxieties Regarding Trump 2.0: These are organized based on my estimation of their probability. Foreign Policy - I fundamentally disagree with Trump on most all foreign policy issues, the chances of me being disappointed by the next 4 years of foreign policy are near 100%. (I will give credit to Trump for not being a Neocon war hawk) Ukraine - Ukraine will not exist as an independent country by 2026. Their only chance is Europe stepping up big, on their own. (98%) NATO - I don't think he could manage to withdraw us from NATO, but it's possible. I'm more concerned with just a general sabotaging of the alliance with the way he treats our democratic allies. (weakening NATO 95%, leaving NATO 10%) Authoritarians - Trump has well established his respect for leaders such as Putin, Orbán & Kim Jong Un. The US cozying to these regimes is bad news for the world (95%) Taiwan - As commander if chief, I don't see Trump deciding to support Taiwan if it came to invasion. I suspect there is a good chance this remains untested, as I'm not sure China has the stomach for that right now. (40%) The Middle East - I see Trump as a bit of a wild card here. This is a mess, and no president has ever done that great of a job with it. I just don't trust Trump's judgment. (I think there is a 90% chance he will really annoy me with his policy, and a 30% he really fucks something up) Climate Change - Donald Trump isn't responsible for Climate change, but he sure as hell isn't going to help matters. He's promising to get rid of climate regulations and I believe him. (99.9%) Racism - Trump's language encourages and empowers the worst racists in the country. If we've made 10 steps forward on the issues of racism in this country since the 1950's, prepare to take a few back. (99%) Economic Policy - Trump has never seemed super key on cutting benefits (unlike many of his Republican brethren) But he does love cutting taxes, most of those benefits will go the wealthy. (The chances of his annoying me with his Economic policy in some small/medium way are 95%) The Tariffs - He has said he will do this. Will he? Who knows. It's bad policy that will disproportionately affect the poorest Americans, and poorest people in general, globally. I'm not exactly a doomsayer on Tariffs. The entire Global Economy is a pretty resilient creature, it will bounce back. My point is, why shock it with bad policy? (This is hard to call, I say it has a 75% of happening in one form or another - probably smaller than feared) Mass deportations - He has said he will do this. Will he? Who knows. This would be a lot more difficult to actually pull off. I'm obviously against it from a humanitarian standpoint. However, I'm putting it in the economic policy category because if you actually managed to Deport 18 million people who are all either desperately seeking work, or working their asses of and spending nearly every penny they make on food, shelter and necessities, it would be disastrous for the US economy. Again, the US economy is pretty resilient, but why enact terrible policy and make everyone's lives worse? (Odds at 40%) Revenge Tour - He has issued lots of vague (some less vague) threats against various people or groups that have wronged him in some way over the years. There has been ominous talk about the "enemy within". He certainly has the power to "weaponize" the justice department. If you think the Justice department has already been "weaponized", does that make it ok? I think a lot of Democrats really go off the rails with this category of fears (Don't take that as an attack, your fears are valid). I suspect that the odds of some of this happening are near 100%. The question is the degree. I just don't think it will rise to the level many Democrats fear. Degradation of democracy - This is a man that actively fought the results of the 2020 election, has continued to call it stolen despite not having any credible evidence to support it. It's a mantra, a dogma. This is man that frequently makes a lot of "jokes" and cute comments about being a dictator or running for third terms. I personally liken his re-election to smearing shit on the face of democracy. It's extremely unpleasant, not good for you, but you'll likely survive and really just need to take a bath. Further corruption of the judicial system - They will continue to place extremely partisan judges, and I don't just mean conservative, I mean people that will "play ball" for Trump, and give him what he wants. Members of the cult of personality. It's possible a supreme court spot could open up, but not super likely they would be replacing a liberal justice. (100%) Gerrymandering - This is a fundamental flaw in our democracy. Both sides have taken advantage of it. I'd argue Republicans have used it more effectively in recent history. It is wrong for the party in power to manipulate how elections are done in order to maximize/extend their power. It will be full speed ahead again. (100%) Voter suppression - This can take all kinds of forms, some overt, most more subtle. (Subtle, less dramatic forms 100%. Extreme, overt suppression 25%) Actual structural changes to our government - This could take the form of passing anti-democratic laws, or executive order power-grabs that go uncontested by a Republican congress. The purpose of these would be to solidify Republican control of the government to be permanent. (10%) Boldly become a dictator - In this scenario, the US either no longer has elections or some kind of sham/one-party elections like Russia. I certainly understand why Democrats fear this. I think it's probably overblown. (1%)\ Anyway, that is the sum of my fears. It's not pretty, I'm not happy about it, but life goes on. I have shit to do.