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Horn of Gabriel

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Everything posted by Horn of Gabriel

  1. Mississippi State is a SEC cellar dweller and great candidate to examine for relegation. This article shows that MSUs FY2024 revenue was $127MM against expenses of $134MM (deficit due to a COVID loan repayment). Football created $43.7MM. This number is ticket sales, sponsorships, concessions, etc. The SEC TV deal sent MSU $52.5MM, a number expected to grow significantly in coming years. Currently MSU fields teams in Men's: Football, Basketball, Baseball, Golf, Tennis and Track and Field, plus Women's Basketball, Cross Country, Soccer, Softball, Tennis, Track and Field, and Volleyball. All sports other than football ran a deficit. Let's say MSU gets relegated to the Big12, or something like it. Last year the Big 12 distributed $470MM to it's member schools. They did an unequal split for the new members that will equalize in coming years but if you average it, that's $29.4MM per school - and that's before the SEC revenues really kick into high gear when they add another game or play-in tournament for the CFP. That gap is not going to shrink. If you take just the football TV revenue alone, MSU would lose $23MM/year. The reality would be much worse than that, because a moribund MSU fan base is not showing up for a football team that just got relegated and is now hosting a home schedule of Baylor and West Virginia. Their ticket revenues would crater as well, let's be generous as say that they only dip by 30%, which is half of the dip that Premier League teams take when relegated (even including parachute payments). That's a loss of another ~$14.5MM. The original AD budget of $127MM is now down to $89.5MM. What gets cut? MSU is relatively poor, they don't have a Boone Pickens to make up the gap. Student fees can only cover so much. And don't forget Title IX, you can't just cut women's sports. They'd scrap everything except football, baseball and (maybe) men's BB and the bare minimum women's sports they'd be required to keep. Even then, all those sports would take huge cuts. Are these solvable problems? Sure, and soccer shows the way: ADs could negotiate relegation clauses in contracts, the NCAA could figure out the player employment legal jumble and work with the players to create a CBA that would allow for buying/selling player contracts, that same currently non-existent player's union could work with the NCAA to create conditions for transfer so that a relegated team doesn't immediately lose all of its players to the portal, conferences could setup parachute payments, etc. If there's a will there's a way. The problem is there is no will. Nobody is beating down Sankey's or any commissioner's door for relegation/promotion. In fact, it would be actively opposed by any team in the SEC or B1G today for obvious reasons. So yeah, relegation is a total and complete fantasy in college football.
  2. This has been impossible since the OU v NCAA tv decision in the early 80’s and probably before even then. If you’re Texas…heck if you’re TTech, your whole athletic department is funded off football. Football is funded by TV money. Can you imagine being the AD whose budget goes from $70MM to $35MM or from $25MM to $4MM because the football team got relegated? At that point not only are you gone, you probably have to cut almost all sports. Promotion/relegation is a message board fantasy.
  3. Apparently people w/ DVT are prone to more in the future. But there is medication to help...who knows, if on a scale of 1-10 a sprain is a 1 and Greg Oden's knee/foot issues are a 10, this is probably a 5?
  4. As has been shown time and time again, people root for those cinderella's, and they may pick them in a bracket...but they don't watch those games. Unless it's super close and they tune into the last 2 minutes, maybe. Having the SD State Aztecs make the F4 was not great for ratings. Ratings drive money, and money drives both realignment and the CFP structure. Why is anyone surprised by any of this?
  5. That's awesome. Very happy for him and for your family! What is his plan with RTF? Production? Director, editor? It is a tough road right now. I did RTF(graduated 2000) and only know a handful of people who actually went into the industry. One of my best friends was actually very successful, and went from PA, to 2nd 2nd AD, to 2nd AD to 1st AD and even a few director gigs. But he also was never able to build a family (6 months in one city, 9 months in the next city will do that), and nowadays he says for the studios it's not a question of "if" they produce overseas, it's "which overseas country are we filming in that is the cheapest?" The US production market has gotten priced out and he hasn't had a production gig in 2 years - especially since post-COVID the streaming services overproduced a ton of content that they're just now getting through releasing.
  6. That's better bye week timing.
  7. I think Rodney Terry should be available soon, Spurs should give him a call. ...ducks
  8. Yeah I haven't ever seen him interviewed until now. Very eloquent guy, team focused over individual stats. Exactly the type of fit you want to see. GSG
  9. Looks like the trade isn't finalized yet b/c Chicago has to make room and waive or trade 2 players. Likely earliest to see Fox will be Friday vs. Charlotte.
  10. I feel like we are always good for one last blast of winter. Sometimes it comes mid-February other times even March. But it will come.
  11. ok so that comment wasn't actually intended as Sochan slander. I have plenty of other comments for that. I know I've seen small ball lineups this year and last where Sochan slid down to guard the five? Not arguing that we're not getting better in this trade (we are, a lot), but there are still obvious holes to plug. A team with Barnes-Bassey-Mamu as their bigs in the playoffs...not great.
  12. We're not done. With Collins gone our centers are Mamu and...? Who else guards the other team's 5? Sochan? Don't want Wemby taking that abuse.
  13. Is this going to be one of those trades where both teams end up worse? Who plays defense on the Lakers now? Who runs offense for the Mavs?
  14. Yep, he's got the Tom Herman 1000 yard stare part down pat. Don't worry we'll soon have a stroked out 75 year old Pop back to run experiments like Sochan PG and lineups that we'll never see again as we "learn what Wemby is comfortable with." Our defense will improve marginally and we'll fight for that 10th playin spot and wait for those draft picks to pay off. Sometime around Wemby's 8th or 9th season, barring injury, we'll think about contending again.
  15. Fucking this right here. Every other blue blood has had an extended walk in the desert. We've had multiple. Bama had down years, even OU and USC. Nebraska is shit now. But fucking Ohio State is always ALWAYS at the top. They are so due for about five disaster coaching hires in a row and I will bask in the glory of their shittiness when it finally shows up.
  16. Supposedly Brigham Young sent a bill to the U.S. Government for the care of those kids after they were re-homed back to their families. There's regular hubris, and then there is "I'm a prophet of God" hubris.
  17. I know, right?!! They also never showed anyone shit in the entire series! Do they really expect us to believe that people didn't shit in the wild west?? Totally unrealistic and required too much suspension of disbelief, 1/10 would not recommend.
  18. Nary a post about the coaches putting Worthy in a situation where he couldn't succeed, like you know catching with a busted hand. For QE, it was the coaches who failed to set him up for success, and the OL who failed him the running game, and the WR who didn't bail him out. For X, it was lack of effort.
  19. Yes to the first part, no to the 2nd. His elite talent is accuracy on screen throw placement and the intermediate throw up to 25-30 yards. He's never been a long ball guy and he doesn't have a Favre arm to loft it 65 yards in the air. Even back to HS the long bombs he connected on were largely jump balls.
  20. Niblack needs to block better. Same could be said for Helm and he improved although was still poor. If Niblack can make a similar leap to Helm in the offseason he could be great.
  21. We have skilled players in the o-line but we lack nasty players. I want some nasty.
  22. What double sucks about this loss and multiplies it is that ND is really beatable. I believe we would be favored by 8-10 vs them.
  23. Will never happen, too much $$$ in those games.
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