I talked to a couple of BYU fans about the Retzlaff situation. They said if the school thinks he's guilt of sexual assault, they will axe him without question. Whether you think it's because they believe in their honor code or just cynically trying to protect their image, they have zero tolerance for even a hint of that sort of thing.
But if the school is inclined to believe his defense, they expected something less than expulsion but more than a slap on the wrist. What's interesting is that they said the school would be more lenient with him about premarital sex because he's not a Mormon. If dude was LDS, his punishment would still be expulsion. But because he's Jewish, the school will view it as more of a breach of contract than a sin. Like, that BYU's admin wants non-LDS students and understands that their shit is a bit kooky to outsiders.
I will say, these fans thought it would be a three game suspension and that Retzlaff would just miss the non-con. So I'm not sure what to think about a 7-game suspension.