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Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
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Everything posted by Js1

  1. Very likely these are early votes, but the nationwide trend has been early votes will be redder and E-Day will be bluer. So will the margins increase? Was Ann Selzer the true harbinger of the election???
  2. Franklin County, KY is also doing quite well compared to 2020, but still early (40% in) Lexington burb.
  3. Reminder to wait until 90%+ of the vote is in. It’s likely all early and Indiana won’t release E-Day until all polls close in the state. But if the early is redder than 200 and E-Day bluer….
  4. https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/11/05/compare-2020-2024-presidential-results/ Good map showing swings Indiana with blue so far, which makes me think Selzer found something about Trump's midwest support. Kentucky ain't midwest, sorry. It's southern.
  5. Also I am getting really scared about being deified/crowned. I'm anti-monarchist and not religious. Don't put me in a weird spot.
  6. Trump down 10% from 2020 so far in Fort Wayne, IN
  7. Gonna just rapid fire random things: Steuben County, IN - 50% in Trump 4 points behind 2020 so far. Dubois County, IN - 63% in Harris cut into this margin by 2 points
  8. She's doing 1-3 points better than Biden in the redneck counties that report early (so far). My initial fear was Trump juicing up his margins somehow and it shows early, but if he loses 1-3 points in these counties, I will be fucking relieved. But it is still early!
  9. Harris doing like 6 points better in Sullivan County, Indiana than Biden 2020. 2 points better than Biden in Whitley County, KY 1 point better in Kenton County, KY 3 points better in laurel County, KY All still early, but good signs?
  10. He’s like Nancy Pelosi, they are plugged in with more people in the know than we ever could imagine
  11. Js1

    Texas Women's Soccer

    Good. Should beat the 11th best SEC team by 3 goals
  12. Did CNN say their exits show 17% of republicans are voting for Harris?
  13. Come on, these people are human too and under extreme stress, pressure and scrutiny.
  14. Exits are unreliable, BUT they show Trump's favorability with white voters down 8% from 2020
  15. IOWA might be bluer than Florida this year. Seriously.
  16. Ahhhhhhhhh i said this morning that O'Malley-Dillon was referencing Florida the other day - do not read too much into Florida's results, bc it's now just red NY. How FL votes is not going to affect how any of the 7 swing states vote.
  17. Texas has better early voting than Pennsylvania In PA, you can't cast an in-person "vote," you cast an in-person absentee/mail ballot. And it's like 1 place in each county you can do it, so in places like Philly, it's not worth it. Might as well wait until there's 100+ precincts open on E-Day You have to re-register for a new mail ballot every single election
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