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Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
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Everything posted by Js1

  1. Trump campaign: Low energy Empty rallies Rushing out memos and polls from junk pollsters to offset Selzer, or even fake polls (Ryan Fournier) "Please vote or I'm in big trouble" Relying on the lowest propensity voters (young men) to show up and save him Already calling it rigged, Dems cheating, etc. Already having campaign leaks shifting blame Insiders in the GOP already blasting warning bells about women/senior women abandoning Trump No ground game Harris campaign: Big (dick) energy Packed rallies in swing states No leaking, no backstabbing (yet) Know they have the highest propensity voters banked already (older women, young women, college educated voters, black voters) Pure confidence from the likes of Nancy Pelosi, David Plouffe, etc. No one sounding the warnings about lack of enthusiasm, ground game, etc. (no 2016 Debbie Dingell sounding the alarms) Such a huge ground game, they've had to turn away people
  2. Pretty sure this guy got delisted on 538. I wouldn’t bank on it
  3. Ralston working on his predictions. He must be waiting for the weekend mail dump before he posts it. Otherwise, I’m not sure why he’d wait if he thinks Trump wins
  4. Like Helio, guaranteeing the opposite of what he says will happen
  5. John Samuelsen, who also does the same data analysis as Ralston, thinks NV will be a very small Harris win will highly depend on what’s left, who shows up on Tuesday and how the indies go
  6. Debbie Dingell on MSNBC and is very positive about Michigan. She was one of the first sounding the alarms about Michigan in 16
  7. SoCal, sponsored by Red Eagle, rushed out a Trump +7 Iowa poll The damage control is amazing. They know Selzer doesn’t miss
  8. Yeah, already planning on at least picking it up for dinner Wednesday
  9. Well we gacked away first place with 3 straight losses.
  10. Wish we could find time tomorrow to send Barack and Tim
  11. Yes. Very likely we will know NC, GA and maybe MI/PA tuesday night. Or the trends will be obvious enough that while the media may not call it, Wasserman might see enough
  12. I totally buy that map. Including the shading
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