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Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
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Everything posted by Js1

  1. Js1
    Ralston is posting his predictions later today. No Clark mail drop upgrade overnight - so incomplete from Saturday and no Sunday data yet.
  2. Js1
  3. Js1
    If/when Trump loses, there's going to be so many books and post-mortems written about how the Trump campaign/Republican Party: Completely alienated women of all ages into voting for the Democrats Pushed college educated voters into the arms of the Democrats Nuked their support in the suburbs on a daily basis May have actually pissed off seniors enough to vote Dem with their attempts to go after senior benefits Tried to rely on the lowest propensity/mostly unregistered demographic of Rogan Bros/redpilled young men who are lazy and uninvolved
  4. Js1
    Oh please, the youth will show up tomorrow. Because they're lazy and procrastinate until the end. We want young women to vote, but the high propensity young men who will vote are voting for Harris. The Rogan Bros will see long lines tomorrow and just go back to sleep. The young women will stand in line as long as it takes.
  5. Js1
    Pennsylvania weekend firewall: D-R: 409k D-R + 70-30 indie split: 492k One final drop tomorrow of the mail should get it to 500k? Not built to be, but I did see a poll over the weekend from UNH that had ME-02 48-44 Trump.
  6. Js1
  7. Js1
    Yeah, it was a pretty classic "start laying the blame for the loss now" type of article. That's like, the last thing you want to do the weekend before the Election - it does not display confidence internally.
  8. Js1
    Amazing.
  9. Js1
    Trump campaign: Low energy Empty rallies Rushing out memos and polls from junk pollsters to offset Selzer, or even fake polls (Ryan Fournier) "Please vote or I'm in big trouble" Relying on the lowest propensity voters (young men) to show up and save him Already calling it rigged, Dems cheating, etc. Already having campaign leaks shifting blame Insiders in the GOP already blasting warning bells about women/senior women abandoning Trump No ground game Harris campaign: Big (dick) energy Packed rallies in swing states No leaking, no backstabbing (yet) Know they have the highest propensity voters banked already (older women, young women, college educated voters, black voters) Pure confidence from the likes of Nancy Pelosi, David Plouffe, etc. No one sounding the warnings about lack of enthusiasm, ground game, etc. (no 2016 Debbie Dingell sounding the alarms) Such a huge ground game, they've had to turn away people
  10. Js1
    Pretty sure this guy got delisted on 538. I wouldn’t bank on it
  11. Js1
  12. Js1
    Ralston working on his predictions. He must be waiting for the weekend mail dump before he posts it. Otherwise, I’m not sure why he’d wait if he thinks Trump wins
  13. Js1
    Lol such losers
  14. Js1
    2 or 3 works for me
  15. Js1
    Like Helio, guaranteeing the opposite of what he says will happen
  16. Js1
    John Samuelsen, who also does the same data analysis as Ralston, thinks NV will be a very small Harris win will highly depend on what’s left, who shows up on Tuesday and how the indies go
  17. Js1
    I been saying. 2022 all over again
  18. Js1
    They are so fucking aggy
  19. Js1
    wtf is squirrel gate?
  20. Js1
    Debbie Dingell on MSNBC and is very positive about Michigan. She was one of the first sounding the alarms about Michigan in 16
  21. Js1
    SoCal, sponsored by Red Eagle, rushed out a Trump +7 Iowa poll The damage control is amazing. They know Selzer doesn’t miss
  22. Js1
    Yeah, already planning on at least picking it up for dinner Wednesday
  23. Js1
    Brisket’s
  24. Js1
  25. Js1
    Well we gacked away first place with 3 straight losses.

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