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Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
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Everything posted by Js1

  1. And her final 2020 Senate poll was Ernst +4 and she won by 6
  2. Even if every single undecided broke for Trump, he’d win 53-47 and +6 would still make me pretty confident about Tuesday Queen Ann, don’t do this to us. Not sure my confidence can go past 100%
  3. She doesn’t make assumptions of the electorate makeup or put her own bias into polls. Post-2016 (I think?) she said, “I assumed nothing. My data told me.”
  4. her track record means this poll is clearly showing a) late Movement to Harris, b) Trump Midwest slippage is real.
  5. I said Trump 4-5 would be great news for Kamala. This? This I didn’t even expect. Was that Kansas +5 poll real?!??
  6. This might be an actual landslide - 2008 territory?
  7. I would have easily believed 47-44 Trump and been jumping for joy THIS??
  8. Didn’t some guy on here say that?
  9. I can’t wait for the Selzer poll so we can freak out about something new today
  10. DDHQ is my go to. Usually call races earlier than the networks
  11. Century Trilogy is really good, highly recommend.
  12. Of course she won’t. She’s either funded by Russia to play spoiler or secretly funded by the RNC. She’s not in it for anything but to play spoiler - she doesn’t care what the global Green Party thinks of her.
  13. I mean, Trumpworld is notoriously leaky and backstabby. But the 2 things Pancho posted reads like campaign staff are getting out in front of a loss to put it all on Trump. No one in the Harris campaign is gonna be blackballed from future campaigns (if they happen) if she loses. But there will be a lot of knives out for Trump campaign staff when he loses. He and the family will turn on LaCivita, Wiles, Lewandowski, etc. in an instant and they’ll be out of political jobs as long as Trump and MAGA have influence
  14. The NYT endorsed Harris a month ago. Just reiterating it I guess
  15. Ah yes, the weekend before the election when the losing campaign starting leaking to the press
  16. This team just isn’t gonna do shit
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