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Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
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Everything posted by Js1

  1. Js1
    I feel like she always polls those too but they won’t be released until Sunday or Monday. But we’ll see.
  2. Js1
    Already a lot of “Not sure whether to believe this, her methodology doesn’t work in a low response era” as if she didn’t nail 2020 and 2022.
  3. Js1
    Yep, even a 2018-style miss for Selzer is still an awful result for Trump.
  4. Js1
    NYT/Siena dropping their last polls of the cycle tomorrow morning. So I’m sure everyone will freak out because they’ve been very pro-Trump But Selzer’s track record destroys them all
  5. Js1
  6. Js1
    Older women remember life pre-Roe. I think this is a huge demo that’s being under considered
  7. Js1
    Deb Fischer too.
  8. Js1
    And her final 2020 Senate poll was Ernst +4 and she won by 6
  9. Js1
    Even if every single undecided broke for Trump, he’d win 53-47 and +6 would still make me pretty confident about Tuesday Queen Ann, don’t do this to us. Not sure my confidence can go past 100%
  10. Js1
    She doesn’t make assumptions of the electorate makeup or put her own bias into polls. Post-2016 (I think?) she said, “I assumed nothing. My data told me.”
  11. Js1
    her track record means this poll is clearly showing a) late Movement to Harris, b) Trump Midwest slippage is real.
  12. Js1
    I said Trump 4-5 would be great news for Kamala. This? This I didn’t even expect. Was that Kansas +5 poll real?!??
  13. Js1
  14. Js1
    This might be an actual landslide - 2008 territory?
  15. Js1
    I would have easily believed 47-44 Trump and been jumping for joy THIS??
  16. Js1
  17. Js1
    Not Selzer so don’t care
  18. Js1
    Didn’t some guy on here say that?
  19. Js1
    https://decisiondeskhq.com
  20. Js1
    I can’t wait for the Selzer poll so we can freak out about something new today
  21. Js1
    Totally touchback
  22. Js1
    DDHQ is my go to. Usually call races earlier than the networks
  23. Js1
    Century Trilogy is really good, highly recommend.
  24. Js1
    Everything he writes is so good
  25. Js1
    Of course she won’t. She’s either funded by Russia to play spoiler or secretly funded by the RNC. She’s not in it for anything but to play spoiler - she doesn’t care what the global Green Party thinks of her.

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