Jump to content

Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    62820

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    111

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Js1

  1. Js1
    OH NO, someone took a quote out of context and ran with it? That didn't literally happen like 2 days ago.
  2. Js1
    That wasn't even all he said! He called Biden a stupid bastard and called Harris a sleaze bag. But Biden says a comedian is garbage and the media ran wild.
  3. Js1
    Nope, you also have to hope they turn out. Also speaking of "nailed it" - EPIC/MRA wo did the Harris +3 poll for Detroit Free Press also was bascially the only pollster who called the 2022 blowout for Whitmer - the final few polls were Whitmer +6, 5, 11, 2, 4. The +11 poll was EPIC/MRA and Whitmer won 54-44 So the Friday before E-Day, 2 of the pollsters that nailed PA-SEN and MI-GOV put out good polls for Harris. I will take it. But the true test is Sunday - Queen Selzer will speak.
  4. Js1
    So breaking that Marist poll for PA: The early vote/already voted from that poll is 63-35 Harris. The "yet to vote" is 54-44 Trump. You can tell the GOP has cannibalized some of their E-Day voters, while a significant number of Dems have shifted to E-Day voting, since 2020 E-Day was 65-35 Trump and the EV was 76-28 Biden. Democrats also have a few more days to push their EV margins up, since Thursday-Monday are all mail ballot returns, no "in-person voting" until Tuesday. GOP encouraged their voters to show up early, request a mail ballot and then immediately cast it, which is effectively what PA's early in-person voting is. Also Smithley points out Marist nailed the 2022 Senate topline in their final poll, when others were trying to push it to a tie/Oz lead.
  5. Js1
    Plus Allred. That’s what matters
  6. Js1
    Esp in NC and GA. Do I believe it? Ehh. Let's see.
  7. Js1
    11-18 is not great, but not bad. Jones is not a strong FT shooter. Booker should be better with the way she shoots. But game 0, not worried yet. Jones + Oldacre may end up being better than we all thought. Still not a great 3P% team, probably, but also I'm sure they were having some fun shooting 5 in the fourth Q. Jak, Carlton, Graves, Moore each taking 1 - guessing those were not what Vic drew up or called lol. Phelia didn't even take one and she shoots ~35% for her career. Only 6 turnovers and the expanded box score said UTT had 0 points off those 6 turnovers. Good. Texas scored 47 points off 36 forced turnovers
  8. Js1
    Survey USA has Jared Golden up 12, 53-41. Very good news that he is going to out-run Harris in this district (Trump +6) by a lot and doesn't even need RCV to win outright, if true. Maine ticket splitting - gotta love it. The poll also has Trump only up 5 here (49-44), which is a 1 point underperformance for what it is drawn (51.6-45.5)
  9. Js1
    Detroit Free Press is also Harris +3
  10. Js1
  11. Js1
    Cow bullshit?
  12. Js1
    Pffth
  13. Js1
    Also fucking LOL if he’s relying on McLaughlin for his polling. Eric Cantor says hi
  14. Js1
  15. Js1
  16. Js1
  17. Js1
    I took Wednesday off. I’m working day shift and night shift for yall on Tuesday
  18. Js1
    And Tim Walz - they’re fucking WEIRD
  19. Js1
    Montana is very retail politics. A big known brand can still win when not favored. *cough* Susan Collins*
  20. Js1
    They picked a guy for governor who assaulted a reporter.
  21. Js1
    I don't even see them on 538, so no idea if they are legit or not.
  22. Js1
    I saw another one that was a tie and had Tester up including the full ballot (2 other candidates). He won his last 2 races due to a Libertarian on the ballot
  23. Js1
    Unproblematic king
  24. Js1
    Well that’s one bright spot that can’t be dimmed
  25. Js1
    "Trump is told" using "RCP averages" = telling him what he wants to hear That actually just raised my confidence level by 10% - they're relying on external data to project strength and not their own numbers.

Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...