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Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
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Everything posted by Js1

  1. Js1
    They picked a guy for governor who assaulted a reporter.
  2. Js1
    I don't even see them on 538, so no idea if they are legit or not.
  3. Js1
    I saw another one that was a tie and had Tester up including the full ballot (2 other candidates). He won his last 2 races due to a Libertarian on the ballot
  4. Js1
    Unproblematic king
  5. Js1
    Well that’s one bright spot that can’t be dimmed
  6. Js1
    "Trump is told" using "RCP averages" = telling him what he wants to hear That actually just raised my confidence level by 10% - they're relying on external data to project strength and not their own numbers.
  7. Js1
  8. Js1
    His campaign just demanded several counties in Colorado stop processing mail-in ballots. More loser talk from a losing campaign.
  9. Js1
    It's probably the most definitive I've ever heard her about a presidential race. Besides 2008 but we all knew Obama was going to win convincingly.
  10. Js1
    Nancy has access to more data than any of us could imagine. Across all 435 CDs
  11. Js1
    Now that is fine. Don’t compare 2024 EV with 2020 EV but I’d say that the type of voting will be similar to 2022 EV - far less mail, more GOP voting early, more Dems voting on Tuesday Remember that Dems lost the early vote in NV in 2022 but Masto won the senate race
  12. Js1
    Alternate reality Rogue One Commander Brisket:
  13. Js1
    Yep. The rank and file Dems are, as usual, wetting themselves. But the pundits and insiders? Nada. Nancy Pelosi says Harris is winning next week so
  14. Js1
    I know a lot of Dems who voted this year against Trump by voting for Haley.
  15. Js1
    Reality setting in? Reaction to Trump and the GOP freaking out about PA and the women % of the early vote? I mean, maybe everyone on the internet has been reading my posts.
  16. Js1
    The odds of a GOP blowout are slowly coming down. Which means money/betting markets seem to be moving towards Kamala.
  17. Js1
    This. Or they nuke the biggest city in the state in the likely voter screen. "Oh look, Trump is winning PA! Because Philadelphia is a smoking crater and everyone there died. But he's also leading with women and young voters, by a lot!"
  18. Js1
    That can't be 100% quantified. We don't have party registration. And looking back at past primary participation is dumb - most of the time in TX, the GOP primary is the general election. Voters in TX just pick one to vote in at primary season - no registration, nada. Dems and indies vote in GOP primary in TX all the time.
  19. Js1
    Finally back up. Only when trying to go to Surly was I told my phone wasn't connected to the internet. But I was able to go to any other website.
  20. Js1
    This was what Danny Davis reported The Longhorns participated in a closed-door scrimmage with USC two weekends ago, and UT head coach Vic Schaefer reported Phelia and freshman guard Bryanna Preston looked good against the third-ranked Trojans. Schaefer said it was evident that USC, which opens its season Nov. 4, had been practicing longer than Texas before adding that "we showed some competitive spirit. At the same time, I also think it showed we've got some things to address."
  21. Js1
    The gays don't want to have sex with you, JD. Even though you kept hitting them up on Grindr
  22. Js1
    Even entertaining him winning the popular vote is a waste of your time. Don't waste your time on that, because it's too stupid to talk anyone down from.
  23. Js1
    Not happening.
  24. Js1
    Is anyone not able to access Surly on iphone? I have been having slowness issues all day and now it won't connect at all. No other website has problems for me.
  25. Js1
    I am legit starting to hate Vance more than Trump. By a lot

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