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Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
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Everything posted by Js1

  1. Also fucking LOL if he’s relying on McLaughlin for his polling. Eric Cantor says hi
  2. I took Wednesday off. I’m working day shift and night shift for yall on Tuesday
  3. Montana is very retail politics. A big known brand can still win when not favored. *cough* Susan Collins*
  4. They picked a guy for governor who assaulted a reporter.
  5. I don't even see them on 538, so no idea if they are legit or not.
  6. I saw another one that was a tie and had Tester up including the full ballot (2 other candidates). He won his last 2 races due to a Libertarian on the ballot
  7. Well that’s one bright spot that can’t be dimmed
  8. "Trump is told" using "RCP averages" = telling him what he wants to hear That actually just raised my confidence level by 10% - they're relying on external data to project strength and not their own numbers.
  9. His campaign just demanded several counties in Colorado stop processing mail-in ballots. More loser talk from a losing campaign.
  10. It's probably the most definitive I've ever heard her about a presidential race. Besides 2008 but we all knew Obama was going to win convincingly.
  11. Nancy has access to more data than any of us could imagine. Across all 435 CDs
  12. Now that is fine. Don’t compare 2024 EV with 2020 EV but I’d say that the type of voting will be similar to 2022 EV - far less mail, more GOP voting early, more Dems voting on Tuesday Remember that Dems lost the early vote in NV in 2022 but Masto won the senate race
  13. Yep. The rank and file Dems are, as usual, wetting themselves. But the pundits and insiders? Nada. Nancy Pelosi says Harris is winning next week so
  14. I know a lot of Dems who voted this year against Trump by voting for Haley.
  15. Reality setting in? Reaction to Trump and the GOP freaking out about PA and the women % of the early vote? I mean, maybe everyone on the internet has been reading my posts.
  16. The odds of a GOP blowout are slowly coming down. Which means money/betting markets seem to be moving towards Kamala.
  17. This. Or they nuke the biggest city in the state in the likely voter screen. "Oh look, Trump is winning PA! Because Philadelphia is a smoking crater and everyone there died. But he's also leading with women and young voters, by a lot!"
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