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Js1

Certifiably Surly - no CR
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Everything posted by Js1

  1. It's so stupid that these frat boys don't want to get laid.
  2. It felt closer than it was because the polling average nationally was Obama +0.7. The final 9 polls were 3 ties, 2 Romney leads (+1), 4 Obama leads (+3, +1, +1, +3)
  3. I don't remember where I saw it, but actual Palestinians living in Gaza prefer Harris. So maybe those tantum-throwing fools should consider what their people actually going through atrocities want instead.
  4. Screaming about PA being rigged on Truth Social and a bunch of people on the right like Charlie Kirk screaming about women bigly outvoting men in the rust belt does not scream "wrapped up" to me Trump wants big crowds, he wants to project strength, he wants to act like he's winning so when he doesn't, he can raise $500 million for lawsuits and pocket 85% of it. He will transfer all the leftover money + whatever he raises for lawsuits into his bank account, the FEC will open an inquiry about it and wrap it up in 2032. He'll be dead by then.
  5. And Bozo mentioned it before, and I agree, that 2012 was just as bad a polling error as 2016/2020, but it was in Romney's favor, and Obama won easily. 2012 was legit a tossup by the pollsters/pundits heading into Election Day (except Silver, which of course, made him famous). And I think that's exactly what happens this year.
  6. Yep. All these things that took down Hillary in 2016 aren't there for Harris
  7. Oh come on - He was the fresh face and people were naive enough to think he'd be constrained by the gravity of the office and the establishment Hillary was *reviled,* not just by the right and a big chunk of independents, but by a big chunk of her own party She fucked up left and right, whether it was real, like her emails, hiding her pneumonia issue, ignoring the blue wall, or imagined, like Benghazi 20 year smear campaign - she was still dealing with shit from the 90s being brought up the right wing hate machine every day She cratered with WWC voters and the suburban/college educated shift had not yet happened
  8. I mean, we have talked at length about where he finds new voters - newly registered young women? not a chance newly registered young men? maybe, but there was a poll showing Gen Z men are supporting Harris almost at the same levels of Gen Z women, so unless he's tapped into a pool of Tate-pilled alpha bros.... newly registered black women? LOL I said it yesterday - unless he has absolutely found this giant source of untapped voters who barely ever or have never shown up to vote, *and turns them out,* he's going to have to win a lot more Dems than she is winning Republicans (unlikely), stem the bleeding of suburban college educated whites (not a chance), pick off minority voters at a substantial rate (not based on polling, he's not) and win independents. But the vast majority of newly registered independents are young voters and voters of color and the swingier, established indies are suburban women. He also cannot bleed any support in WWC men/women. I mean, he won them 67-32. If he only wins them 65-34, he's in trouble in the blue wall. Or hope that turnout craters, but we are likely on pace for 2008/2020 turnout and not 2016 turnout.
  9. Plus he just wants a big crowd somewhere that Harris is not going to also appear the same or next day with a bigger crowd. It's all ego He has his big rally in Salem, VA on Saturday - not a battleground part of VA, but he is going to draw all the yokels from rural VA, WV and eastern Kentucky to the Klan Rally.
  10. I guess we should just quit and let it happen.
  11. The whole Thanos thing hits different, knowing he was just trying to impress Aubrey Plaza lol
  12. Nothing more American than a deep fried sandwich covered in powered sugar and dipped in jam
  13. Don’t question it. Glad they came around at the last minute
  14. A no-college educated white people problem. Because Harris is going to win college educated whites
  15. Too late something Biden said to change anyone’s mind. This is not basket of deplorables that was 2 months before Election Day. 75m people have voted
  16. I am not infallible but I also am not gonna live my life like a big defeatist baby. We need less Briskets in the world
  17. Beats the panic about every poll that comes out
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