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Dahobbs

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Everything posted by Dahobbs

  1. Dahobbs
    None of this is real, you realize that, right? It is just random ass guesses at what they think the voting makeup is.
  2. Dahobbs
    He should actually just literally shit on @Stros121.
  3. Dahobbs
    Easy. None of these polls are true random samples of the population because, among other reasons, low response rates. They have to correct this issue by trying to mold the model to match what they expect the actual voting population to look like. If those assumptions are wrong, then their conclusions are wrong. And given that their assumptions are largely wild ass guesses, their conclusions are often wrong.
  4. Dahobbs
    To be clear, he was personally calling you garbage.
  5. Dahobbs
    I'm confused by this group's focus, the suggestion it is a good group, and the quoted message. These seem incongruent to me.
  6. Dahobbs
    But we are experts on fuck about shit.
  7. Dahobbs
    Oh, so you're saying maybe TargetEarly doesn't actually have accurate real time data? I'm shocked. Just shocked.
  8. Dahobbs
    It really isn't necessarily bad. As I said, the story here is the increase in EV turnout for GOP, not a decrease for Dems. The issue is whether that increase in GOP turnout will come at the expense of election day turnout (it will).
  9. Dahobbs
    It's pretty clear from that. The story here isn't lowered Democrat early vote, it is increased Rep early vote. Democrat early vote so far surpasses 2022 early vote by 20% with still a week to go. If that number gets to 30%, you're looking at a Democratic turnout that would match 2020 based upon the 2022 early vote and election date pattern. Putting it another way, in 2022 you see Dem early voting was 50.7% of 2020. Total votes in 2022 were lower than 2020, but only at 77.6% of 2020, not 50%. Democratic votes clearly shifted to election day as did Republican votes (2022 ev was 47% of 2020 early vote). The ratio looks off for 2024 because of the increase in GOP early voters, not a decrease in Dem early voters.
  10. Dahobbs
    in 2018 it was roughly even between Dem and Rep.
  11. Dahobbs
    Really, you find it puzzling why Democratic early voting patterns in the midst of a pandemic might be different today? Interesting, yes. Puzzling? Come on.
  12. Dahobbs
    What are your sources?
  13. Dahobbs
    Technically, they are.
  14. Dahobbs
    You're such a fucking tool about this.
  15. Dahobbs
    Quinn had moved to the left by the time he tripped over himself, so you're technically correct. Look at where Quinn is standing: Now look where Cam is standing half a beat later: The defender has pushed Cam right into where Quinn was standing in his drop back. If Quinn is still there, Cam is stepping on his feet and the defender's right arm can easily swipe at him. He had to move. He just moved the wrong way. Staying still absolutely results in a sack. It's wrong to say Quinn played it correctly. But it is also wrong to say he was not in danger of being sacked.
  16. Dahobbs
    It doesn't matter if Cam reestablished the block given that he reestablished it where the defender could easily swipe down on Quinn with his right arm. We've seen plenty of times this year where a defender makes that play. Now, Quinn's reaction was bad. He should have taken a step back and to the right rather than making things worse by going left, but that doesn't change the fact that he was absolutely in danger of being sacked if he stayed where he was.
  17. Dahobbs
    Yes. Yes he was. Cam was beat to the inside. If Quinn doesn't move, that defender likely gets an arm on him. He is literally standing right next to Quinn's drop back point right after Quinn scrambles/stumbles away.
  18. Dahobbs
    Uh, what? It's Quinn's job to know his right tackle is going to get dominated off the line? Nothing you said has anything to do with that play.
  19. Dahobbs
    Right, but he isn't talking about MAGA. He is talking about everyone else.
  20. Dahobbs
    Sushi has never been right about anything. His whole posting history is him being stupendously wrong.
  21. Dahobbs
    That's not possible based on the numbers above unless Biden also lost a significant portion of the Democratic vote.
  22. Dahobbs
    He missed wide open targets against OU. He was much better against Vandy. He was clearly rusty against OU. Again, he was way down the list of our problems on offense on Saturday.
  23. Dahobbs
    Even shifting that 5 to the right, it would still signal deep deep trouble for Trump.
  24. Dahobbs
    If it's what you say it is, I love it.
  25. Dahobbs
    I will fight you.

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