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Dahobbs

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Everything posted by Dahobbs

  1. Shocker, non-answer. https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69777799/59/abrego-garcia-v-noem/
  2. Yup. Exactly my point.
  3. 1
  4. There was no reason to disturb the judge's original order. It just delayed getting him home/ the fight that is going to happen anyway. The lukewarm language was almost certainly to allow them to get it to 9-0. It doesn't actually require the government get him back. It just requires the government to maybe try, sort of. If the government does anything but get him back, you'll eventually have an order from the judge that requires them to take some concrete step that the government will deny based upon separation of powers. That's when the real fireworks will start. Again, celebrating this is way premature. Celebrate when the government actually gets him home.
  5. Celebrating an unsigned decision that doesn't really require anything and adds the language the government wanted regarding due deference to the executive branch's responsibility for foreign diplomacy seems a bit premature. It was a weak a decision that largely punted on the things that mattered. I hope he gets home. I hope the government actually tries to get him home. I'm not holding my breath on that. The correct action would have been to not take the issue up at all and leave the original order in place.
  6. I don't think he is saying $60 oil will cause the layoffs. Look at the title of the thread.
  7. My investment strategy hasn't changed. Hold and add over time. I tried to be more active during COVID, but I would have been marginally better off just holding. I do adjust how much invest automatically each month. Right now, more is going to cash savings to leave dry powder. If I were a more active investor and had the time to actually manage things, if probably make a play on the volatility that I expect we see over the next few years. But for the most part I think a bunch of transactions, outside of strategic rebalancing, just results in churn for churn's sake.
  8. Subsidizing or providing tax benefits for domestic production would be a more direct and targeted away to solve those sorts of strategic issues. Unpredictable application of tariffs will not encourage investment into domestic industry. They can be here today and gone tomorrow.
  9. Maybe, but the volatility isn't done yet. We went through this same song and dance with Canada and Mexico. Tariffs announced. Tariffs paused. Nothing really happens. More, bigger, better, tariffs announced after the pause. Expect more of the same unless someone has managed to grab the wheel.
  10. What do you think will happen in the new trade deals? What is the benefit that you will think will come from them? What, in your opinion, was the problem with them in the first place?
  11. Thinking that a trade deficit being reduced is necessarily a good thing is part of the idiocy. I'm not taking a bet if that is what you mean by our trade deals "getting better" because it is based on a fundamental misunderstanding of trade and the global economy. The US excelled at producing a good that was highly valued, the dollar. Everyone wanted it. They would give us nice things for it. Now they don't want it as much, so they'll give us less stuff for it. That technically will result in a more balanced import/export stat line, but it isn't a good thing.
  12. No, they will not. That's ridiculous. Things that were already true or already happening will get get announced as if they are new. Some new things that have no practical significance or no realistic chance of actually happening (e.g., Apple investing hundreds of billions in the US) will get announced. And that market overall will be worse than it would have been if none of this had happened.
  13. 1) My car loses internet connection all the time. Never had an issue with the car shutting down. 2) Because it would be dead simple to remove the ability of the car to call back to homebase. There are enough of these cars out there, some in remote locations, that if this were an issue, it would have been discovered by now. 3) I'm 99% certain there are statements out there by the company that the cars don't brick if they lose connection, but I'm too lazy to go look them up right now. But yes, you're right. I can't definitively know there isn't some call home dependency that will brick the car if it can't connect within a few years (see Sony PS3). But I think the chances of that being the case are pretty close to 0.
  14. To the extent this is a serious question, the answer is no. The cars don't brick. Functions like maps and stuff wouldn't work, but the cars would otherwise work fine.
  15. Batter loved that pitch.
  16. Let's get a hit.
  17. Losing some focus now.
  18. Mendoza breaking out of his slump?
  19. Jason getting beat up a bit. Surprising. Nice catch to get out of it.
  20. I thought Farmer had his first home run
  21. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA. Y'all some funny fucks thinking there is actually any real thought or plan here. Our best hope is some paper negotiations and announcements happen that let us pretend to be a "winner" and the market only loses 15% of its value over this shit. The idea that any long term strategic goal (other than the complete demolition of our economy) will be attained is complete fucking fantasy. And I sure as shit ain't listening to the guy who gave us the most awkward "trader" story just a few pages ago and who compared a trade deficit to fucking household finances.
  22. So long rally. It was nice seeing you.
  23. Where is the law that states you will be returned? While I'm loathe to say it, I actually think the administration has a pretty good point on the whole the judicial branch can't force the executive branch to engage in foreign diplomacy thing. Roberts et al. are going to bite pretty hard on that. And that is why the habeas opinion is so fucking bad.
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