Ok real talk:
Just looking at total total team stats right quick: https://www.espn.com/college-football/stats/team
What stuck out to me is that Louisville's rush defense is ranked 12th in yards allowed per game at 96/pg, which is pretty fucking solid.
In the last 2 game FSU's qb Rodemaker is averaging about a 52% completion rate.
If Louisville can shut down the run, that will force FSU to beat them with Rodemaker and unless this dude balls out and plays the game of his life, I don't think that's going to happen.
EDIT:
Miami's rush defense is ranked 13th and held FSU to 57 total rushing yards. FSU still won, but this was w/Jordan Travis.
I think Louisville will be the most balanced team that FSU will play this season.
Also, I don't know shit about Louisville's qb, HOWEVER, their rushing offense is slightly better than Miami's and FSU gave up 151 yards rushing against Miami..so there's that too..
So that's all to say..I hope Louisville pulls off the upset.