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Rex Kramer

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Posts posted by Rex Kramer

  1. 57 minutes ago, LurkingHorn said:

    So if we have a choice to play the Clippers or the Wolves, who are you choosing? I really would prefer to play someone besides the Clippers in the first round. At this point, ending with the 6th seed might not be terrible if you can give guys more rest and end up with a better matchup in the first round. 

    Was thinking the same thing, particularly since we have out Gafford and Lively rotation down. 

    But it doesn’t matter because we’d beat either one of them. 

  2. 14 hours ago, BeardIP said:

    At this point the Mavs should be safe from a play-in game to rest. Luka will need it for a miracle playoff run.

    I disagree anyone needs rest. If we’re in a game where we’re up 18 to start the 4th, like yesterday, yeah, Luka only plays 35 minutes and that was probably too much.  We’ve been on awesome run but this team needs more time with each other, not less. 

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  3. 49 minutes ago, billfromlaketravis said:

    When WTI went negative, they refused to fill up the SPR because they viewed it as a bailout for the oil  companies. Yes, really.

    Just piss poor fiscal policy but it is the US government here, so we shouldn’t be surprised. 

    On one hand Trump absolutely would’ve been fried as bailing out the oil companies, and everyone would’ve forgotten that he’d fucked them 7-9 months prior. On the other, he’s never cared much about criticism and whatever excuse provided it was total mismanagement. 

  4. 2 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

    TLDR; do what my grandpa did: shoot nazis in the face.  It's the only fucking way they get the message.

    What about Illinois Nazis?

  5. 26 minutes ago, Armybrat said:

    What I’m saying is, dumping the SPR when the world is in the middle of a very dangerous widespread wartime crisis to score political points isn’t very smart. 
    IIRC, such was pointed out by some after Putin started his second invasion of Ukraine.

    A regional contained crisis. What Biden did was no less dumb than what Trump did, but actually smarter because Biden released at a much higher price point and has attempted to buy back.

    Regardless, both these idiots fail to consider the word “Strategic” PR when they’re executing their foolish tacts. 

  6. 26 minutes ago, Armybrat said:

    The world wasn’t in the middle of an extreme political & military crisis and there wasn’t the threat of a nuclear war then….

    The sell off in 2022 would be similar to FDR dumping a SPR in 1941.

    I’m confused by your post

  7. 4 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

    $30 and under should be an auto buy.

    Yes. I said don’t fuck with SPR. Absolutely buy when opportunities like that present themselves. We’ve all forgotten what a true supply crisis looks like. The manipulations by Trump in ‘19 and Biden in ‘22 are pure horse hockey. 

  8. 3 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:


    hey, they had to keep away covid

     

    the triggered comment was for politicians talking out both sides of their mouth while providing zero solutions 

    You don’t fuck with the SPR. Ever. Trump and Biden both used it as a tool to manipulate price. Trump released at $70 (!) and never bought back at $20-$30. Biden’s fucking around appears to be much smarter, but for the plan, he released WAY too much to little relief, and he’s about to find out. 

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  9. 29 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:


    sold at $95, replenishment at $75. seems like an ok move

     

    also … 


    triggered GIF

    What exactly has been replenished?  16%….lol. 

    I’m not triggered by this, like the TexAgs posters you sought out, I guess. Take the Republican out of this: we are VERY thin, heading toward a crisis, and we should all be concerned right now. 

    26 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:


    question, when futures hit $0, shouldn’t you fill it all up ? Or anything under $20 is an auto buy

     

    side note - imo we had clowns in place at the time

    I definitely agree we had clowns in place. Schulz is very much correct and we were all bitching about it at the time. I guess the ‘20 Energy Dept was drinking bleach. 

     

    21 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

    So when shown there has been 3x as much oil brought back, along with an explanation of why it isn’t being bought back as quickly to not shock prices upwards, we get some some lib statement about peak oil. 
    We should all be happy this ruins congress’s plan of selling off oil at a later date to create more government programs.

    I’m so confused by how peak oil is a lib statement?  For the record, I think Biden / Granholm ought to keep doing what they’re doing, but they’re going SO slowly they’ll never replenish what they released, and if they do, it’ll exceed a weighted average $95. 

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  10. 13 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:
    March 15,2024
     
    The administration has so far bought back about 29.61 million barrels of domestically-produced crude oil, since the 2022 sales, it says. The DOE says it has also sped up the return of nearly 4 million barrels to the SPR from loans to oil companies.
    The pace of the buybacks has been slowed by planned maintenance at two of the four SPR sites, department officials have said.
    Quick buybacks of much larger volumes could also risk pushing up oil and gasoline prices ahead of the Nov. 5 presidential election, analysts have said. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said on Feb. 21 the U.S. was being careful not to do anything to remove supply from the market when prices might be high.
     
     
    The U.S., which is producing oil at record volumes with more increases expected this year, has more crude in the SPR than required as a member of the Paris-based International Energy Agency, the West's energy watchdog. Under the agreement, the U.S. is required to hold 90 days' worth of net petroleum imports.
     

    Better, but still only 16% of what they released.  And they’ve missed their window of cheap-ish oil.  

    It’s laughable you’re bolding IEA’s notion of what the US should hold when we’re down a net 150 million bbls.  Granholm has no notion that every major oil shale play has peaked, except the Permian, and is in irreversible decline. And the Permian will hit its peak later this year. It’s not clear or not whether you understand this. I suspect not as most people don’t. 

    4 minutes ago, The Royal We said:

    Futurama Squinting GIF

    Hi pal. Coming after your business. 

  11. 1 minute ago, Schulz2.0 said:

    We should have bought a bunch during the initial COVID lock down when oil was around $40/barrel.

    100%, but crude probably averaged $25-$30 from 4/1/20-12/31/20. And Trump used SPR releases as a political tool too, but more idiotically. 

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  12. 4 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

    Admin started buying back oil December 2022 after ending the selling in November 2022. It sold its reserves on avg for $96 and is buying back at an average at $75. Those are facts. They are doing it at profit. There has been exactly 1 day since the admin stopped releasing oil and has been in the market to buy back where intraday prices fell under $65. 

    Also here are a couple of deleted Porterhouse posts. Didn't bother to include ones tyou would argue about. July 20,2022 was the last day oil has closed above $100. 

     





     

    I initially said “$15 ago”, and there have been ample opportunities to do so.  I haven’t heard anything about a continued buyback program. And you haven’t either apparently because you linked an article citing their whopping 5% buyback. There have been many trading days under $70, and, $75 average buyback price is great. Why has it apparently stopped?

    Look, I’m responding to 3 putt’s Texags post and nothing more. If the Biden admin can put it back at a net neutral cost, that’s great. 

    And what the fuck ever on the other dude’s posts. I don’t own properties. I’m a banker. He was 100% on gas though. 

  13. 37 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

    The triggered comment is very obviously pointed at you and your, let’s call it a plethora, of incorrect guesses at 100 dollar oil within the last two years that’s already been quoted a couple pages back.

    Yes you can get a day sometimes a couple of them together under 70 the last two years. There has not been an extended amount of time in that $65-70 range the last two years to purchase the amount you are suggesting and do it all within a day, no help needed looking that up lil buddy.

     

    so your point number one you tried to make is just more bullshit oil n guess, we hate Biden

    point number two is factually incorrect thinking there’s numerous opportunities to buy 15 dollars under 75

    point number three is tears 

    I haven’t been on this board since what, ‘21?  Nonetheless, I called for $100 that year, and was absolutely correct. You do realize we had an extended period within the last 2 years between $100-$120?

    On oil ranging from $60-$70, you clearly do not pay attention to oil prices. 

    But cool triggered meme. Nailed me. 

  14.  

    5 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

    lol you know there are limits on the amount you can buy back at once and that buying 180 million at a time isn’t viable, yet you act like that’s possible in this post. Just like the admin didn’t release 180 all at once, they won’t buy it all at once, and when they have bought it’s averaged $75. Show us the multiple opportunities in the $65-70 range the last two years that would’ve been good to buy? It’s the same timeframe you kept betting on $100 oil 

    I’ll give it you that you’re consistent in this thread on being wrong.

    Of course I know this; however, they’re not nearly as limited as you think. I’m just interested in what they’ve bought back. You linked a report they’d bought back 5% of volume released and intimated you were triggered.

    Are you asking me about the number of days we’ve traded below $70 the last two years?  Yeah I’m not gonna help you out there lil buddy.

    I never “bet” on $100 oil. I predicted it awhile ago and was 100% correct. See 2022 when we hit $120 and averaged $95 or so for the year. You know, when you hit $100 you typically don’t stay there for long, right?

  15. 59 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

    Why does this trigger you?  Is it because the admin released 180 million barrels but only bought back 9 million?  Or is it because they’ve had multiple opportunities to buy at $60-$65 crude but continually fail to do so?

  16. I find these odds fascinating.

    Clearly a lot is driven on star power and past history. But Suns, Lakers and Warriors entirely too high. At this point 4 seed is on the table and we should take it. 

    Odds to Win NBA Championship, 2024

    TEAM TITLE ODDS
    Boston Celtics +225
    Denver Nuggets +325
    Los Angeles Clippers +550
    Milwaukee Bucks +700
    Oklahoma City Thunder  +1800
    Phoenix Suns +2000
    Dallas Mavericks +3000
    Minnesota Timberwolves +3000
    Golden State Warriors +3500
    New York Knicks +3500
    Miami Heat +3500
    Los Angeles Lakers +3500
    Cleveland Cavaliers  +4000
    Philadelphia 76ers +4000
    New Orleans Pelicans  +6600
    Sacramento Kings +6600
    Indiana Pacers +12500
    Orlando Magic +25000
    Houston Rockets +50000
    Atlanta Hawks +100000
    Chicago Bulls  +100000
    Utah Jazz +100000
    Brooklyn Nets  +100000
    Toronto Raptors +100000
  17. 2 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

    Always a good laugh going to texags …

    If Trump was president we’d be pumping 5000 more barrels a day !

    But the WH isn’t filling up the Strategic Reserve !

    They’re lying about the numbers, deep state !

     

    A few points: 1) we would be pumping more, and the price would be lower. The Biden admin has been hostile to the industry. That has evolved from outward hostility to Granholm getting a dose of reality and calming down, whilst still making the absurd decision to block new LNG permitting. 2) WH missed their window. They should’ve down that $15 ago but are too stupid to do so. 3) The reporting has totally changed to include certain refined product. That’s driven by API/EIA and not a Biden thing. We aren’t producing a record amount of crude in and of itself. 

    The numbers produced are a win for the industry, for Biden (even though they’ve occurred in spite of Biden), and are totally fool’s gold. These continued reports do nothing at all to change my opinion on the direction of crude. 

  18. 8 minutes ago, 1978horn said:

    Yeah, I was not aware.  Had a cup about 45min after my procedure last Friday and no issues.

    I’m drinking coffee now, frozen with fear I’m about to explode. 

  19. I was still loopy yesterday and tried to zoom in, with my fingers, hard copy printouts of two polyps removed. My wife was like, dude that is a piece of paper. 

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