GSU&UT
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
If 900,000 wins it for Rs with them only needing 60% of that, then they literally have not looked at the early voting data. They would need to win probably closer to 70% of that.
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
99% of the attack ads on Loffler and Perdue I saw on TV were about their insider trading combined with how wealthy they already are. Probably the easiest ads you could make that would resonate with the most amount of people.
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
Well Sterling just posted this, so that's directly from the source.
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
All anecdotal but good to hear. Fulton had one fewer in-person early voting day than most of the surrounding metro counties so if turnout is strong there then that should hopefully blunt any crazy surge in the NW or SE parts of the state.
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
This ballot also didn't take two pages like it did for me last time because there's only three races we're voting in. I'm hoping that sped up processing time quite a bit.
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
There's fewer mail-in ballots and counties were required to start processing them a couple of weeks out instead of that being a suggestion. There's likely going to still be a ton of mail-in ballots that need to be counted in the coming days by just looking at the numbers, but the rural counties that have fewer people voting by mail will get their results in faster. This is why I said I'd be looking at the margins, it should quickly tell us where things are going. If Perdue doesn't hit the same margins he did in Hall or Cherokee county then him and Loeffler are probably screwed.
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
@Buzzrock you'll appreciate this
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
Uh, GOP needs probably at least 1 million votes if not more based on the demographic shifts in the EV. Price's dipshit ass probably thinks no Dems are turning out but that is not the case, seems like several people I used to work with early voted in November and waited until today for the runoff. Just saw a huge Warnock sign being towed by a plane just ITP in Dekalb while I was driving. It will be hard to tell when the results roll in if they're only absentee, in-person, or a mix, but the conservative exurb counties like Forsyth, Cherokee, and Hall are what I'm going to be watching. It was pretty clear Trump was in trouble in Georgia when those margins were coming in early on.
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Sweet Jawja Special Elections
I haven't posted much since March on Surly just because I just got way too addicted and pissed off so I haven't read through the entire thread. I live in the Atlanta metro area where we're seeing really good turnout in Dem leaning areas versus GOP. https://www.georgiavotes.com/ If you look at the racial breakdown of all the early votes (in person + absentee) you'll see that electorate is 30.9% Black compared to the end of EV in the general where it was 27.8%. That number should climb to above 31% after a ton of absentee ballots, which are more overwhelmingly D friendly, get processed today. I cannot emphasize enough of how much of a hill the GOP has to climb tomorrow in order to win these seats. The electorate being over three points more Black going into election day means you would need to see probably higher than election day turnout in November or almost no Democrat heavy precincts with voters, I don't think the latter is likely given how much advertisement and messaging has been aimed in my area for over two solid months. You can see how rural turnout in the NW and SE parts of the state are lagging, the SW part is the Black Belt where rural counties are majority, or close to, Black. https://public.tableau.com/profile/stephen.fowler#!/vizhome/EarlyVotingTurnout15Georgia/DropoffInEarlyVotingFrom113 Yes more people may have not voted early this time because of the holidays, Trump's conspiracy shit, or whatever but that is going to cut both ways. Fulton county, the largest and close to the most Dem friendly, had one fewer in-person EV day and likely should have a healthy turnout tomorrow which will blunt any possible insane turnout we see in NW Georgia where Trump is having his ranting ego-stroking rally. The GOP could still win but they are clearly in a worse position than they were before election day in November. Lastly, just in terms of what I'm seeing, it's mostly pro-Warnock and Ossoff stuff everywhere with some Loeffler and Perdue signs. That doesn't mean much, but what did shock me was seeing some smart subterfuge by groups to put up advertisements in Forsyth County (super MAGA exurb of Atlanta) of Lin Wood's own quotes saying "Loffler and Perdue didn't deliver Georgia to Trump." Not sure how much that will have an effect versus just Trump being not being on the ballot and that dampening turnout, but any depression along the margins will help Dems.
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2021 orange (slice) bowl :: North Carolina v. aggy
That was a great tackle.
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Texas at Kansas: 11 am on ESPN2. [84-59 FINAL TEXAS]
Had to look it up, but the last win at Phog was the game J'Covan Brown went off from deep.
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2020 Alamo Bowl: Texas vs. Colorado
Why the fuck isn't Bijan getting more carries up the middle?
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2020 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl - Louisiana Tech vs. Georgia Southern
First Georgia Southern coach who was a famous DC at UGA. https://www.espn.com/colleges/georgia/football/story/_/id/7845096/former-georgia-bulldogs-coach-erk-russell-immortalized-georgia-southern-statue More than two decades have passed since Russell coached the Eagles, but Georgia Southern clings to the traditions he started. Only Russell could take the drainage ditch that ran alongside the Eagles' practice field and nickname it "Beautiful Eagle Creek," whose supposedly magical waters he would use to fill a milk jug and then pour the contents onto the field at big road games as a motivational tactic. Only Russell would head-butt his players, resulting in the occasional trickle of blood down his trademark bald head. Only Russell could have sold his folksy philosophies, including "G.A.T.A." (Get After Their Asses), "Just One More Time" and "Do Right" to players in their teens and 20s without getting eye rolls in return.
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2020 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl - Louisiana Tech vs. Georgia Southern
It's been a weird year, but Coastal just running through the conference when they were in a less tough conference than Georgia Southern was in FCS is crazy to me.
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2020 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl - Louisiana Tech vs. Georgia Southern
Nah, it's for TDs and other big offensive plays.
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2020 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl - Louisiana Tech vs. Georgia Southern
Jawja Southern! The D-line has played so well but we had multiple QB injuries costing us a couple of games at the end of the season.
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Boise St 13 - San Jose St 19, MWC title game (Harsin's tryout) on Fox, start of the 4th qtr
He looks so damn good
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Texas v. UNC-Mauiville, NC @ 3:00p-CST
I flat out didn't believe Texas won 9 of the last 10 when I saw that stat earlier. God I hope this team shows up in February and March.
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NFL Week 10
No idea how you throw a football accurate enough, even twenty yards, in shit like this, but Lamar just did. It looks like they're basically playing backyard football right now.
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Horns @ Pokes | Herman’s Death March | 3p CT FOX [41-34 final]
Yep, thought for sure they'd only rush 3 or 4.
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NLCS- Dodgers v Braves
Dude, for the love of god, is a NDSU fan seriously talking to me about grief?
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NLCS- Dodgers v Braves
And this is all why I've said that any Atlanta sports team that wins a championship will happen after I die. There is no justice in the sports world.
- NLCS- Dodgers v Braves
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NLCS- Dodgers v Braves
JFC Snitker, just dipshit move and then Ozzie takes a dee-dee mega doo-doo on the field. Thank fucking god
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NLCS- Dodgers v Braves
That was a classic Snitker dipshit move where he thought he was getting cute. Tomlin is not fit to pitch against 3/4ths of the league.