Most analyses of the game seem to agree on a few key points:
1. Texas on offense versus Washington on defense is relative strength on relative weakness, and Texas should score in the 30s. The hope is that this will be the difference in the game. Vegas seems to think it will be, with the good guys favored by single digits.
2. Washington running is unlikely to be how Texas loses, if we do.
3. Washington passing is dangerous, and our lack of combined athleticism and recognition in our safeties puts us at particular risk. Some worry that this will actually be the difference in the game.
Washington will have more help at edge rusher than they had previously, so their defense may fare a bit above expectation. We are out one key man at safety for half the game, and that doesn't help. I have not seen much analysis of Oregon's secondary. If someone knows of a good one, I would be interested to see it. The 2 games against Oregon, to me, are the best sense we are likely to get of how good Washington is against a meaningful opponent in a game that matters, so I am curious how our secondary stacks up against Oregon's. My overall impression is that this game will follow the bounce of the ball. Assuming it does not bounce badly, Texas should win. When we put all three phases together, we have not just been winning; we have been dominating.