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GabrielsHorn

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Everything posted by GabrielsHorn

  1. Because we’ve implemented some significant changes and that trajectory would be well ahead of the rest of the world. Even in Italy, it’s taken them 10 days to go from 4K deaths to 10k deaths. But what you are extrapolating is something that hasn’t been seen anywhere, including the original place that was trying to hide there was anything in the first place. We’ll get to 50k deaths and this is absolutely a dangerous virus, but to reach the current worldwide deaths in half a month after quarantining a huge chunk of the country is highly unlikely.
  2. The joys of typing quickly on an iPhone. My point is that we’ll reach that number, but that number of deaths is still relatively large compared to the havoc we’ve already seen from the virus. It’s highly unlikely we’d get there in 10 days as that would require, on average, more deaths per day than what we currently have total.
  3. Friendly reminder that the world isn’t at that number yet from the reported deaths and that even the estimates from Wuhuan based on the urns is less than that number.
  4. Man, this really doesn't seem like it's going to end well for India. The way the quarantine was implemented and the delay in time along with the coincidence of religious festivals is going to spread the virus it like a wildfire. Meanwhile in Mexico.... That's during a period where the government is telling people to stay home.
  5. We’ve gotten some incredible eSports in different ways though. NASCAR on FS1 was something to behold.
  6. Except we can't really trust the information coming out from them based on their confirmed cases and death, their false report about the transmission of the disease, their bad tests that they sent to Italy and Spain, and how they are actively using propaganda to put the blame on others, particularly the US. Unless whatever they claim is proved true by the WHO, you can't really trust anything from them. We are better to look at places like South Korea which have been fighting it for as nearly as long and also aren't actively spreading misinformation.
  7. There is a lot of bullshit in that Q&A though. His answers to the questions about the timeline are deflections about China's actions, especially when the whistelblower was brought before the local officials on January 3rd, and it's highly likely that China is cooking their books on the community spread to focus only on imported cases at this point so that they can blame foreign powers. It's interesting to read but hard to trust considering China's actions throughout this entire process
  8. It was instituted yesterday, but declared Wednesday. Seems like a good tool, but may be a bit behind in getting in the inputs.
  9. Site seems off. Doesn’t show Colorado as having a stay in place when we do.
  10. I doubt the quarantine gets lifted until the end of April and potentially through May. Will be interesting if these social distancing and not strict quarantine actually doesn’t overwhelm the hospitals in areas like Texas, Denver, LA, etc where there wasn’t quite the panic as Washington or NYC beforehand.
  11. The thing is that testing really doesn’t tell us all that much once it becomes a pandemic due to testing limitations, etc. The death rate from COVID is sadly a better indicator as to the spread within a country.
  12. At this point, it’s just going to be riding it out. I think we’ll start seeing a bit more of the deaths move to the south in Italy just based on when quarantines went into effect.
  13. Not all parts of Mexico are being oblivious to it at least. Governor of Chihuahua issued similar guidelines to El Paso and New Mexico a few days ago. I could talk about AMLO, but let’s not CR it up.
  14. Some people's behavior during this whole outbreak is just appalling.
  15. Are their graphs that show the deaths instead of the amount of cases? Seems like there’s an issue normalizing the amount of cases based on countries ability to test, etc
  16. Only news that’s come out recently is that Italy saw cases decrease but deaths increase after falling for two days per the BBC.
  17. Because if they get closed down, you’ll see a run on the liquor stores that will end up hurting your original directive. source: I experienced it yesterday and the lines were more dangerous than keeping them open with more strict guidelines.
  18. Denver already relaxed its liquor and marijuana closures. Having lines that literally stretched blocks probably were worse for the spread of the virus than normal operations at those stores would have been.
  19. Also, liquor stores and marijuana dispensaries are considered non essential and will close. Headed to the liquor store now. Will be a mess trying to get it as there’s going to be a run today at both stores.
  20. Hopefully we get a renewed focus on mental health and counseling beyond hitting the bottle. Seems like people are losing their minds a week into this, so hopefully this expands the need for people to see mental health experts about the isolation and loneliness that we experience beyond a quarantine.
  21. Those activities are allowed under the order. I think it's more just unifying the recommendations from San Fran/LA to the rest of the state instead of letting it go community by community.
  22. I doubt cruise ships would be retrofitted, but it’s more a possibility of where to put patients if hospitals are flooded. Think some of the colleges that were requiring people to move out of dorms were anticipating for the situation in which the dorms would be used for patients. I’d imagine it’d be the same concept for the cruise ships. If we get to that level, though, society is completely screwed.
  23. I'm sorry, but this is complete horseshit. China is the one that was dismantling research and arresting/silencing people that were trying to wave the red flag at the start of this. They are the ones who had wet exotic markets in the middle of major metropolitan areas when we knew from SARS and the other avian flus that it was a tremendous risk. Our government's response isn't good at all, but China bears a ton of responsibility for this.
  24. From the article you posted and where those new cases are coming from: Indeed, even as Hubei’s numbers have dwindled to zero, China is facing another concern as imported cases continue to add to the country’s tally of infections. The National Health Commission reported 34 new cases for March 18, all of them patients who brought the disease from other countries. the point is that if China and South Korea are unable to deal with people bringing it back in, that means the whole world will have to essentially go under the same quarantine rules to get back to “normal.”
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