JBJ
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Viewing Topic: Transfer Cycle 2025-2026 - This Is Fine
Everything posted by JBJ
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2025-26 CFP General Discussion
Been looking through the actual news around the commissioner meetings. and leading proposals seem to be: 16: 5 + 11 - The most likely next format that no one likes but everyone will agree to not sue over. 16: 4-4-2-2 + 4 - P2 get 4 autos, M2 get 2 autos, 4 at-large - The SEC/B1G proposal, but B12 and ACC aren't ready to grant disproportional autos. 16: 4-4-4-4 - P4 get 4 autos. - The follow up from 4-4-2-2, the B12 is reluctant to cut out the G5 in the fear that it is next on the chopping block. 24: 4-4-4-4 + 8 - ACC wants a giant playoff --- Expansion seems like ass at this point, but it's where decision-makers are heading. The B12 and ACC are probably right to not accept reality as the middle tier. I kind of don't like it either as the quality of conferences and teams changes over time, but the 4-4-2-2 format actually make the most sense at this singular moment in time. 16x 4-4-4-4 will put a lot of teams in that don't deserve to be while also blocking teams that do deserve to be. 24 just seems dumb.
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2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
These are all good points. I'm not gonna go back and forth because I don't really feel strongly either way, and I don't think we've seen either team play enough quality football to really make these sort of minute judgments. The few things I'm confident in are (1) all 4 units are able to beat up on bad teams, and (2) Oregon is a good offense that has faded against good defenses (feels like they've been this way for a decade). My model favors Tech pretty decently and it's 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS thus far....so you've got that going for you.
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For anyone thay wants more than a 4-team playoff
I honestly don't think they do. They mess up the dullard discussion (LSU beating a "top 5" Clemson, etc.), occasionally AP voters, but not the CFP.
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
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2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
I'm not really confident in either defense, but I'm far less confident in Tech on both sides of the ball. There's nothing they could do better about it, they played the teams that they did. It's just not clear at all how they'll look against competition. Oregon's offense is the most tested unit, but has faded against good competition. I think Tech is a top defense, but has shown vulnerabilities - ASU obviously, but also KSU (Avery Johnson), and pass defense was rough early on. They are also the least tested unit in the entire playoff, so seeing vulnerabilities against their slate is not great. When Tech has the ball, we will be watching two pretty consistent but untested units. The Oregon defense has not shown vulnerabilities even against moderately better, but not great, competition. The Tech offense has taken care of business all year, but is basically as untested as their defense is. So whichever unit rises to the occasion. Model says Tech -5.5, but all the numbers surrounding that figure scream low confidence.
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Hey PK -- What would you say you do here?
I admit to not watching the entire presser, just clips of highlights from various sources. What did Sark say about PK specifically? He didn't. Most people are upset about this. The question was something about Will being a former head coach and what that brings to the program.
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For anyone thay wants more than a 4-team playoff
And you get to ignore results when they do play.
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For anyone thay wants more than a 4-team playoff
I'm 2-0 picking meaningful CFP games this year and Vegas is 0-2. Obviously, just let me pick the teams.
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This is who Steve Sarkisian is.
Muschamp was allowed to basically be as involved as he wanted to be at Georgia. He is at Georgia because his son Jackson played there. When Jackson graduated and Whit (his younger son) enrolled at Vanderbilt, Muschamp stepped back from a gameday position so he could attend Vanderbilt games. All of UGA assumed he was another year away from returning to a position or DC role. Him taking a position at another school is a surprise to them and not a welcome one.
- 2025 CFP First Round - The "U" @ aggy
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2025-26 CFP General Discussion
As someone who is friends with just aa many NFL fans as CFB fans, CFBNerds is 100% correct. The people who argue most for autobids are the ones not watching them. Ari Wasserman is 100% right. Everyone should play by the same rules. Make the top 12, get in. During the mid-major era, a G5 team was in most years, but we just aren't there anymore.
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
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2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
"'m hoping they get shocked by the playing field and a team that played dog shit all year gets punished from inadequate preparation for the unknown" = "I am hoping that the Texas Tech football team is surprised by their matchups in the playoff - that complacency bias and experience asymmetry create conditions where Tech cannot prepare adequately for the upcoming match."
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For anyone thay wants more than a 4-team playoff
This doesn't math. It needs to be 6 with 2 byes or just 8 no byes.
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
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2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
I think we should do a Top XX playoff. They can organize bowls or a separate playoffs outside of that. Reduce the revenue share for teams that play in the playoff and keep conference revenue sharing how it is. I appreciate these programs need for financial support and think reinvesting in the broader sport is good for everyone, but there's no reason for them to playing an uncompetitive exhibition.
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison
- 2025 CFP First Round - The "U" @ aggy
- 2025 CFP First Round - Oregon vs. James Madison