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JBJ

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Everything posted by JBJ

  1. Sweat for Heisman!!!
  2. The problem I have with this is not that the slide is late. It's that it is a terrible slide. He's still upright when the defenders make contact. When a QB slides the defender to taught to avoid him high. This makes sense because the QB should be trying to get under any potential hit. Contrast this hit with the one on Shapen, where the slide is still pretty late, but the defender drives down into the ground instead trying to avoid over the top.
  3. The rules wasn't changed. The officials in that game got it wrong and the NCAA had to re-emphasize the rule to avoid unsafe plays. The NFL rule was changed to the NCAA one because of Michael Vick and that was late 90s/early 00s. They did the same thing this year with all the teams that were trying to push returners into loose punts, but it didn't get as much media play.
  4. Yeah, the targeting call on Derek Wiliiams or Jerrin Thompson(?) that was overturned falls into this category. The WR was the one leading with his crown.
  5. Emotional hedging. I actually think the committee's rankings are pretty defensible, but they do a shit job actually justifying/explaining them to the press. Also, the 12-team format doesn't fix the problem.
  6. Mountain West did their tiebreaker this year using computer ratings.
  7. Alabama basically has little chance to make the playoffs based solely on an OOC matchup. If they didn't play uss this year, people would be talking about how UGA and Bama both need to be in regardless of who wins Saturday.
  8. This is wrong because the committee has signaled that they don't care about the resumes. If Nix completes less than 70% of his passes there's a good chance the committee drops Oregon. Sarcasm meters.
  9. This is almost exactly what my model has. I give Washington a bit more of a chance to win though.
  10. Also, racking up stats against weaker teams is what the committee is looking for.
  11. We are a bad matchup for you, but it would make next season's game even more fun if we wound up playing.
  12. Does ERob know where the bodies are buried or something? He's the position coach of an underperforming unit. Someone explain this to me. Is he the bagman?
  13. Give me those Army uniforms. If for no other reason than Navy put out photos meant to showcase their uniforms with lighting that makes it impossible to actually see the uniform.
  14. Sagarin and Massey are both score-weighted elo-like systems. Massey does a better job for controlling for it by using win probabilities instead of actual scores, but that style of system as a wholes tends to punish difficult schedules.
  15. FSU 21 (7 FGs) Iowa 7 (1 FG, 2 SAF)
  16. JBJ

    Fuck Big 12 refs

    Their thesis seems to be that refs let more play go on when big teams play. They try to make it even, but this inevitably favors the worse team who has to hold/PI/etc to compete. Many sports have a distinct style of "playoff officiating" so this shouldn't take a lot of convincing. However, Texas is the most penalized B12 team this year so it doesn't apply to us.
  17. Having read through the entire thread carefully and considered everyone's opinion, the rank-order is this: 1) Michigan 2) Georgia 3) FSU 4) Washington 5) Oregon - this was close, but eyetest wins out. They've simply been more consistent and their resume isn't that bad especially with a rematch win. 6) Texas 7) Alabama - they lose the eye test and resume and head-to-head to Texas. I will say that a win over Georgia helps their resume a lot and it's not the huge gulf behind Texas that I expected. They are still the worse pick by every measure, though. 8. Michigan (1L) 9) UGA (1L) ---- no chance below this line ---- 10) tOSU 11) FSU (1L) 12) Washington (1L) Congratulations, everyone. This is official. We did it.
  18. And power ratings matters more than ranks for SoS. BTW, most power rankings have KSU up there. KSU is #8 in mine. For that matter, as much as people bemoan being looked down on for playing close games, the only comment from a national talking head I've heard about the KSU game is that it's one of the most impressive wins of the year - beating a top 15-ish team with a backup QB.
  19. And Ole Miss is ranked 12th this year which would be all kinds of controversial (they beat Tulane OOC).
  20. Bama, LSU, aggy all lost their marquee OOC games. The best OOC win the SEC has is either Mizzou in OT vs KSU or Kentucky over Louisville. It's impossible to accurately compare between conferences with so little interplay between them. With that disclaimer my model has Pac>B1G>B12>SEC>ACC. There's basically no gap between Pac/B1G and B12/SEC. And not much gap between all 5.
  21. To illustrate the absurdity: if Oregon beats Washington this weekend, Washington will have the better win and better loss over Oregon.
  22. This same logic applies to Alabama/Georgia.
  23. In 2020, Clemson jumped tOSU after both won their titles. In 2017, Georgia jumped idle Alabama. In 2016, Penn State jumped Oklahoma who won the B12 title and idle Michigan. In 2015, Michigan State jumped idle Oklahoma In 2014, Baylor and Ohio State jumped TCU after all 3 won.
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