JBJ

I hate to bump this again,.but I randomly ran into this today:

I feel better now that I know it's not the same guy who won all those titles with with the Lakers. 😋 We should just avoid him. I have heard people say just keep him occupied with Worthy and feast elsewhere, but I don't think that's how Sark operates. We will feast elsewhere but also move around and motion Worthy into favorable matchups all the same. The KU playbook does help account for their OL. Lots of running sideways/misdirection/option football. Their RB plays with vision and can punish mental mistakes. Like I said if we win here, we win easy. And if we can do it without sacrificing coverage, it's gonna be a blowout game.

I certainly feel like this will be a telling game for our defense. Kansas has a diverse run game with a lot of read and option plays, which we haven't seen yet outside of a handful at Bama. If we can shut down the run without needing Barron or Jerrin around the box, the game is going to get very mudholish. I don't think our defense has played quite to that level thus far, but it's not too far gone to imagine. In the passing game, Kansas likes to spread the ball around and play matchups. They'll move people around to create opportunities. They have a diverse corps and will try to beat you with either size or speed. But they are definitely a run-first team. Their formula is to get you into the box, then find their matchups or throw screens to numbers. I don't think their passing game works consistently without establishing the run first. It's philosophically not much different than what Sark likes to do, but it's packaged differently. Jalon Daniels is somewhere below the passing threat of JT Daniels and somewhere below the run threat of Jalon Milroe, but that's a good enough combination to be the best QB we've seen. And this is the best offense we will have faced to date. They aren't as good as our offense, though. It's just not the same level of talent. ---- This will feel like a breakout game for our offense, but that's mostly because we've played good defensive teams to date. Kansas is somewhere above Rice, but, unlike Rice, we will have a gameplan specific to Kansas. They are aggressive upfront. I've seen a fair share of corner blitzes in their games. The DL is good and Kobe Bryant is a good player, but the rest of the defense is struggling. I saw the Havoc rate stat. It's not completely misleading, but the #1 rank feels like a myth based on competition. I'm not sure it even matters much against our offense which will be capable of punishing aggression and creating big plays. ---- Could we possibly lose? I mean, yeah. I'm not convinced Kansas will be ranked at the end of the year, but they are a good team and have some chance against any team. But is the 3-score line appropriate? Yes.

"Like Juan in his home." It basically means acting like you own the place.

With the exception of Art Baylor and UofH bleachers, I give zero shits. Not sure I'd do a home-home, but like a home-"home" at Jerry World or Reliant makes sense.

Quinn "The Jewel" Ewers

They will manage to go 4-5 in conference play and still make the title game.

He cheapshotted Emmitt through the back of the endzone while he was with the Falcons, also. It might be the only time he hit someone. I loved him on the Cowboys, though. I'm not really replying to this post, but more how said you are too young to get it. Do you know who Willie Beaman is? That was basically Deion back in the day. And, no, he's not quite the same guy anymore, but people are slow to let this go:

Preseason ratings make models MORE accurate, not less. I understand the line of thinking, that ratings are in a sense being leashed to less-than-accurate preseason ratings, so they aren't 100% based on the games played. However, they are in practice more accurate sooner. The purpose of preseason data isn't really to parse between a top 10 or top 5 unit. It's to have a good idea if the early-season opponents are, for example, in the middle quintile or bottom quintile. The model is going to evaluate a game quite differently when you are playing SMU vs UTEP Week 1 and we pretty accurately know who is going to be middling and who is complete ass going into the season.

Texas 45 Kansas 24 369 yards

ESPN's FPI is ass, so anything based on it is also ass.

^^^ I guess LSU fans stiil don't understand.

Calling it "Most Deserving" describes what it is better than Strength of Record/Resume.

If the extra player is in formation, it's deadball now in both leagues. This prevents polish defense from being effective. If he's running on/off they let the play go.

This. 1) Seems like most people actually want Deion to do well. 2) Football people knew that this was all smoke and mirrors. CU wasn't 3 score underdogs because people hate Deion. It's because CU is rebuilding and still sucks. And the people who do know better generally don't care for manufactured hype and industry plants. And yes Deion does help fuel this, but other coaches doing the same thing would not get the same national exposure. I fall into both categories. I think Deion is actually a good coach. I've said repeatedly that he can make a bowl this year, but that he's also not fielding a ranked team. I think the spectacle of this early season was mostly media fabricated with Deion fueling it. I blame ESPN et al. more than Deion for it. I don't think it's meant to be a longterm strategy. To some extent every new head coach does this now to turnover the roster quickly.

I think it'll be the first game that our defense won't make the other team look completely out of place just by showing up. But I also think Quinn and Co have every opportunity to put up big numbers. The week before OU is historically a letdown. Let's make sure we argue a lot about how focused the coaches and players are this week.

Onside kicks happen in close games, which don't happen often in preseason. Through Week 3 in 2023, games involving at least one FBS team are averaging 176.20 plays. Through Week 3 in 2022, the same average was 182.32 plays per game. I heard it was at 4 snaps after this week, but haven't seen it as an official stat published yet. The math is: Every first down trims about 5 seconds off the clock (you are really only saving the time that it takes to set the chains). The average game has 34 first downs outside of the 2-minutes drills. So 5*36 = 180 seconds lost. 180 seconds / 20 secs per play (historical avg) = theoretically 9 plays. I'm going to completely guess (because there's no stat for this) that around 25% of first downs are out of bounds, so more like 6-7 plays lost. I think we still haven't seen the new meta for how fast or slow coaches will go at 8 minutes vs 6 minutes vs 4 minutes. The average drive is 7.5 plays.

The new time rules are only amounting to 4 less snaps a game. Don't place a bet thinking there will be 2-3 fewer drives.

I have Texas 45-24 (-19 o/u 69) Early odds I see are -19.5 o/u 68.5 - dammit vegas is good.

I'm putting how teams have moved, but in reality I ignored where I had team before. There are some early wins/losses that look better now and some that look worse, so I went for the complete reset: 1 Texas (+1) (win over #16) 2 Washington (-1) 3 Michigan (+3) (win over #22) 4 USC 5 Oklahoma 6 Ohio State (+5) (win over #20) 7 Florida State (-4) 8 Penn State 9 North Carolina (+4) 10 Utah (-1) 11 Duke (+1) 12 Oregon (+3) 13 Georgia (-3) 14 Washington State (+5) (win over #23) 15 Miami (NR) (win over #19) 16 Alabama (+7) (loss to #1) 17 Maryland (NR) 18 Missouri (+2) 19 Texas A&M (NR) (loss to #15) 20 Notre Dame (-13) (loss to #6) 21 Syracuse 22 Rutgers (-5) (loss to #3) 23 Wisconsin (NR) (loss to #14) 24 Louisville (NR) 25 Kentucky (NR) Thoughts on what are likely more controversial ranks: Texas #1 and Washington #2 - The Alabama win is looking real now. We at least know that Alabama has a top defense. I still think Washington might be the better team, but it's hard to look at the two schedules and not see that Texas has a clearly better resume. Oklahoma #5 - Their defense is real. The offense has been hit or miss, but it isn't bad. Is this even a controversial take anymore? They look solid. Georgia #13 - They've looked okay, but not great. This is among the worst schedules for the ranked teams. There's a voice telling me that maybe they will show better against good teams, but there's also one telling me that they could lose to an unranked team before they even get there (note that #25 Kentucky is the only UGA opponents actually ranked above, Tennessee and Ole Miss are arguable but have already lost). I guess I'm in "prove it to me" mode right now with this team.

Refs just mailing in that false start lol.

They've targeted Muhammed like 7 times now.

Can we has Murphy now?