Everything posted by JBJ
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
I would bet a #1 B1G would be placed in the Rose Bowl, so not necessarily but mostly geographic is probably correct.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
There is no exactly. The committee places them as they see fit with preference shown towards higher seed teams. Kinda like the basketball tournament.
-
Texas vs A&M - 6:30pm on ABC
Who was the aggy safety that kept pulling Golden's facemask after the play?
-
Texas vs A&M - 6:30pm on ABC
We've seen similar targeting calls go both ways. I think it came down to them deciding Mukuba initiated contact to the chest of the WR with his shoulder, though.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
SMU and Bama are 9 and 10 in my rankings right now. SMU earned that spot playing a good season and beatign teams consistently, and Bama did it by having all the hallmarks of a good team (even if fairly erratically good) despite them losing too often. However, if SMU loses to Clemson, it helps to reinforce the the idea that they are just a good bubble team and I don't think the resume is still good enough to favor them over Bama. I do not expect SMU to lose, fwiw.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
I'd have: In (8): Texas, Notre Dame, Oregon, Indiana, Ohio State, Penn State, Georgia, Tennessee Win and in (3): SMU/Clemson, Iowa State/Arizona State, Boise State/UNLV Alabama last in. Gonna be honest though that last spot is a doozy: Alabama would be favored over the other last-spot teams, but they struggle to sustain drives so are pretty erratic offensively. Then, when teams can run on them, they can really run on them. And they don't seem to be getting any better as the season went on. SMU probably has the best last-spot resume even if they lose, but they just ain't a top 10 team and would struggle to beat a top 10 team. One could argue USCe is playing their best football right now. They also have a good defense and QB, so are fairly balanced and capable of beating good teams. Really hard to say they has a better season than Bama, though - and the head-to-head. Miami is all offense so could potentially beat anyone but also could lose to anyone. However. I have a feeling they would run into these playoff defenses and just get pummeled.
-
Texas vs A&M - 6:30pm on ABC
Eleven-win Steve
-
2024 Random Games thread
Seems high.
-
2024 Random Games thread
How many timeouts do they get?
-
2024 Random Games thread
Nah. We can do this all night.
-
2024 Random Games thread
4 turnovers
-
Left Behind: A Quick Dose Of Post Big 12 Reality
This is true. Klatt's "flat league" and On3's "no bad teams" are accurate descriptions. It's stronger than the ACC in every respect and in my model the average team rating isn't far off that of the B1G. It's cannabalizing itself ltop to bottom the same way the middle of the SEC is.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
There are so many different ways to calculate SoS. It's usually a meaningless rank and people definitely shop around for the one they want to make an argument.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
Vegas has Indiana -1.5 over PSU in a hypothetical. Indiana is a good team.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
a) Lot's of people saying OSU and Texas would be in a better playoff position if they lose one of the next two games. b) In the past, CCGs literally cost teams spots in the playoff or major bowls. CCGs are less impactful now, not more.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
This is less true now than anytime in the history of football.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
I'd have Iowa State higher and SMU lower.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
I'm not. We are in an era of college ball where the the schedules are going to be increasingly divergent. The reality is that Oklahoma would probably be in the top 25 if they played a B12 or ACC schedule.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
It's highly regarded to discuss how many teams a conference deserves to get in without talking the actual teams on the bubble.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
Arizona State* and Iowa State control their own destinies.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
There's a good shot the winner of Clemson-South Carolina gets in with Bama first team out.
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
Compiled thoughts: 1) There's an argument Oregon, Texas, and Ohio State have punched their tickets already. 2) The way it stands now, it's gonna be difficult to let a 3-loss team in. 3) The final two weeks of the B12 were/are drama-filled. Arizona and Iowa State now control their own destiny after needing quite a bit of chaos this time last week. Here's how my model projects the CFP and CCG odds:
-
FINAL 2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)
Oklahoma is 23rd in my power ratings with the number 11 defense, so this is accurate. Florida is 15th. Mizzou is 29th, so it starts to get dicey.
- aggy @ Auburn
-
Road to the SEC Championship
If Bama loses and A&M wins. It'll be wild. There's only 1 game difference between UGA and A&M in conf opponent win percentage.