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JBJ

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Everything posted by JBJ

  1. Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere. We are caught in an inescapable network of mutuality.
  2. Pretty sure that is an extremely popular opinion.
  3. This is a hard to explain concept to people: Every dot is a P4 school. Up is higher power rating, down is worse. The inner circle are all teams capable of pulling a reasonable neutral-site upset against Texas. Miami is just inside and A&M just outside this bubble. The second bubble represents tough-but-possible upsets: Auburn, Illinois, Texas Tech and GA Tech are just within this circle. ----- The inner circle is generally how the media perceives conference strength. The SEC has 6 teams, B1G 4 teams, ACC 1 team, and B12 0 teams. The outer circle is generally how strong the conference actually are and how difficult they actually are to win. The SEC has 14 teams, B1G 10 teams, B12 9 teams, ACC 6 teams.
  4. I would bet a #1 B1G would be placed in the Rose Bowl, so not necessarily but mostly geographic is probably correct.
  5. There is no exactly. The committee places them as they see fit with preference shown towards higher seed teams. Kinda like the basketball tournament.
  6. Who was the aggy safety that kept pulling Golden's facemask after the play?
  7. We've seen similar targeting calls go both ways. I think it came down to them deciding Mukuba initiated contact to the chest of the WR with his shoulder, though.
  8. SMU and Bama are 9 and 10 in my rankings right now. SMU earned that spot playing a good season and beatign teams consistently, and Bama did it by having all the hallmarks of a good team (even if fairly erratically good) despite them losing too often. However, if SMU loses to Clemson, it helps to reinforce the the idea that they are just a good bubble team and I don't think the resume is still good enough to favor them over Bama. I do not expect SMU to lose, fwiw.
  9. I'd have: In (8): Texas, Notre Dame, Oregon, Indiana, Ohio State, Penn State, Georgia, Tennessee Win and in (3): SMU/Clemson, Iowa State/Arizona State, Boise State/UNLV Alabama last in. Gonna be honest though that last spot is a doozy: Alabama would be favored over the other last-spot teams, but they struggle to sustain drives so are pretty erratic offensively. Then, when teams can run on them, they can really run on them. And they don't seem to be getting any better as the season went on. SMU probably has the best last-spot resume even if they lose, but they just ain't a top 10 team and would struggle to beat a top 10 team. One could argue USCe is playing their best football right now. They also have a good defense and QB, so are fairly balanced and capable of beating good teams. Really hard to say they has a better season than Bama, though - and the head-to-head. Miami is all offense so could potentially beat anyone but also could lose to anyone. However. I have a feeling they would run into these playoff defenses and just get pummeled.
  10. Eleven-win Steve
  11. Seems high.
  12. How many timeouts do they get?
  13. Nah. We can do this all night.
  14. 4 turnovers
  15. This is true. Klatt's "flat league" and On3's "no bad teams" are accurate descriptions. It's stronger than the ACC in every respect and in my model the average team rating isn't far off that of the B1G. It's cannabalizing itself ltop to bottom the same way the middle of the SEC is.
  16. There are so many different ways to calculate SoS. It's usually a meaningless rank and people definitely shop around for the one they want to make an argument.
  17. Vegas has Indiana -1.5 over PSU in a hypothetical. Indiana is a good team.
  18. a) Lot's of people saying OSU and Texas would be in a better playoff position if they lose one of the next two games. b) In the past, CCGs literally cost teams spots in the playoff or major bowls. CCGs are less impactful now, not more.
  19. This is less true now than anytime in the history of football.
  20. I'd have Iowa State higher and SMU lower.
  21. I'm not. We are in an era of college ball where the the schedules are going to be increasingly divergent. The reality is that Oklahoma would probably be in the top 25 if they played a B12 or ACC schedule.
  22. It's highly regarded to discuss how many teams a conference deserves to get in without talking the actual teams on the bubble.
  23. Arizona State* and Iowa State control their own destinies.
  24. There's a good shot the winner of Clemson-South Carolina gets in with Bama first team out.
  25. Compiled thoughts: 1) There's an argument Oregon, Texas, and Ohio State have punched their tickets already. 2) The way it stands now, it's gonna be difficult to let a 3-loss team in. 3) The final two weeks of the B12 were/are drama-filled. Arizona and Iowa State now control their own destiny after needing quite a bit of chaos this time last week. Here's how my model projects the CFP and CCG odds:
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