I'd have:
In (8): Texas, Notre Dame, Oregon, Indiana, Ohio State, Penn State, Georgia, Tennessee
Win and in (3): SMU/Clemson, Iowa State/Arizona State, Boise State/UNLV
Alabama last in.
Gonna be honest though that last spot is a doozy:
Alabama would be favored over the other last-spot teams, but they struggle to sustain drives so are pretty erratic offensively. Then, when teams can run on them, they can really run on them. And they don't seem to be getting any better as the season went on.
SMU probably has the best last-spot resume even if they lose, but they just ain't a top 10 team and would struggle to beat a top 10 team.
One could argue USCe is playing their best football right now. They also have a good defense and QB, so are fairly balanced and capable of beating good teams. Really hard to say they has a better season than Bama, though - and the head-to-head.
Miami is all offense so could potentially beat anyone but also could lose to anyone. However. I have a feeling they would run into these playoff defenses and just get pummeled.