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JBJ

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Everything posted by JBJ

  1. ^^^ I guess LSU fans stiil don't understand.
  2. Calling it "Most Deserving" describes what it is better than Strength of Record/Resume.
  3. JBJ

    tOSU at ND

    If the extra player is in formation, it's deadball now in both leagues. This prevents polish defense from being effective. If he's running on/off they let the play go.
  4. This. 1) Seems like most people actually want Deion to do well. 2) Football people knew that this was all smoke and mirrors. CU wasn't 3 score underdogs because people hate Deion. It's because CU is rebuilding and still sucks. And the people who do know better generally don't care for manufactured hype and industry plants. And yes Deion does help fuel this, but other coaches doing the same thing would not get the same national exposure. I fall into both categories. I think Deion is actually a good coach. I've said repeatedly that he can make a bowl this year, but that he's also not fielding a ranked team. I think the spectacle of this early season was mostly media fabricated with Deion fueling it. I blame ESPN et al. more than Deion for it. I don't think it's meant to be a longterm strategy. To some extent every new head coach does this now to turnover the roster quickly.
  5. I think it'll be the first game that our defense won't make the other team look completely out of place just by showing up. But I also think Quinn and Co have every opportunity to put up big numbers. The week before OU is historically a letdown. Let's make sure we argue a lot about how focused the coaches and players are this week.
  6. Onside kicks happen in close games, which don't happen often in preseason. Through Week 3 in 2023, games involving at least one FBS team are averaging 176.20 plays. Through Week 3 in 2022, the same average was 182.32 plays per game. I heard it was at 4 snaps after this week, but haven't seen it as an official stat published yet. The math is: Every first down trims about 5 seconds off the clock (you are really only saving the time that it takes to set the chains). The average game has 34 first downs outside of the 2-minutes drills. So 5*36 = 180 seconds lost. 180 seconds / 20 secs per play (historical avg) = theoretically 9 plays. I'm going to completely guess (because there's no stat for this) that around 25% of first downs are out of bounds, so more like 6-7 plays lost. I think we still haven't seen the new meta for how fast or slow coaches will go at 8 minutes vs 6 minutes vs 4 minutes. The average drive is 7.5 plays.
  7. The new time rules are only amounting to 4 less snaps a game. Don't place a bet thinking there will be 2-3 fewer drives.
  8. I have Texas 45-24 (-19 o/u 69) Early odds I see are -19.5 o/u 68.5 - dammit vegas is good.
  9. I'm putting how teams have moved, but in reality I ignored where I had team before. There are some early wins/losses that look better now and some that look worse, so I went for the complete reset: 1 Texas (+1) (win over #16) 2 Washington (-1) 3 Michigan (+3) (win over #22) 4 USC 5 Oklahoma 6 Ohio State (+5) (win over #20) 7 Florida State (-4) 8 Penn State 9 North Carolina (+4) 10 Utah (-1) 11 Duke (+1) 12 Oregon (+3) 13 Georgia (-3) 14 Washington State (+5) (win over #23) 15 Miami (NR) (win over #19) 16 Alabama (+7) (loss to #1) 17 Maryland (NR) 18 Missouri (+2) 19 Texas A&M (NR) (loss to #15) 20 Notre Dame (-13) (loss to #6) 21 Syracuse 22 Rutgers (-5) (loss to #3) 23 Wisconsin (NR) (loss to #14) 24 Louisville (NR) 25 Kentucky (NR) Thoughts on what are likely more controversial ranks: Texas #1 and Washington #2 - The Alabama win is looking real now. We at least know that Alabama has a top defense. I still think Washington might be the better team, but it's hard to look at the two schedules and not see that Texas has a clearly better resume. Oklahoma #5 - Their defense is real. The offense has been hit or miss, but it isn't bad. Is this even a controversial take anymore? They look solid. Georgia #13 - They've looked okay, but not great. This is among the worst schedules for the ranked teams. There's a voice telling me that maybe they will show better against good teams, but there's also one telling me that they could lose to an unranked team before they even get there (note that #25 Kentucky is the only UGA opponents actually ranked above, Tennessee and Ole Miss are arguable but have already lost). I guess I'm in "prove it to me" mode right now with this team.
  10. Refs just mailing in that false start lol.
  11. They've targeted Muhammed like 7 times now.
  12. Can we has Murphy now?
  13. Nice but get down in the endzone.
  14. He shouldn't be allowed to play from the hospital.
  15. I saw a good deal and grabbed Aub +275.
  16. Auburn +275 ML vs aggy
  17. Don't let y'alls Jerry/Cowboy hate ruin it for you. They are very similar. Emmitt even had hands in the early years.
  18. So the argument here is whether Bijan is more like: - LT, a straight line physical power runner or - Barry Sanders, a jump-cut speedster Fuck the offseason. Let me fix this for you: Bijan is a low runner with subtle lateral cuts that sllow him to maintain speed. He combines these with elite balance to slip or bounce defenders more often than directly power them over, but he does have enough power when warranted to create extra yards. He has enough acceleration for big play potential every snap, but it's not elite speed and he won't be able to outrun most defenses. If only there were an NFL Hall of Famer with four rushing titles and the all-time rushing title who had a long career in Texas during our lifetime who matches that description....
  19. I voted for Baylor because Art Briles mostly. If we just are going off fanbases, then Tech for sure.
  20. It's a safe bet that he does. It's not great to do early-season opponent-adjustments without them.
  21. The crazier part about this is that we have good drive efficiency ratings for both points and available-yards. Inefficient at plays, but efficient at drives. We are #11 OFEI right now and #9 DFEI, so not much difference. Our best phase though is special teams: #3 SFEI.
  22. JBJ

    Fuck Big 12 refs

    I rewatched the game for whatever reason: 1) The spot was really bad. The linesman on that side got demolished, but it should have been a better spot regardless. BTW, it's not a reviewable play, but also, technically, any obvious error with significant game impact can be reviewed. Basically, it's a judgement call whether to review or not, but we aren't entitled to challenge it. Taking 5 minutes to decide something is not worth the time to review is so on brand. 2) I'm okay with the non-PI call on Sanders up the seam. The defender doesn't have to move out of position to provide a clean path to the ball. It doesn't look like there's any grabbing or excess pushing. The only thing that bugs me is that we definitely have been and would be called for this. 3) Speaking of which, the DPI call on Brooks(?) bad. For all the reasons stated above, but there's also barely any contact. I think this got called because the WR knew he was beat and gave up on the play. I don't think it was uncatchable, fwiw. It probably was actually uncatchable, but it was close enough that you don't rule it that way. 4) The Ewers TD thing was definitely the spike, He didn't really spike it, but he dropped it aggressively enough that it took a big bounce. It's not uncommon to have refs warn you for things like that.
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