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0xdeadbeef

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Everything posted by 0xdeadbeef

  1. Not for a minute do I think that what she knows will see the light of day. Zero chance of that. Maybe she has an unfortunate accident, maybe a plea deal that limits what she tells, or maybe it turns out that she was just a pawn and didn't really know anything that's not already pubic knowledge. (wink wink). The rich and powerful live under different rules.
  2. There was no physical violence stated or implied in the tweet at the center of this, only an insensitive remark that somebody else took offense to. You sir are a pretty good troll; you're riding the fine line between plausible and stupid.... or you're an embarrassment to whatever place of higher learning you got your degree(s).
  3. You see something that could be considered a threat in this? Really?
  4. Alabama is on the clock Georgia changed their flag a few years ago and now has this:
  5. The official numbers are in for the Austin Metro area for today. The New Cases sits at 133 as they had updated on the site earlier in the day, but the Hospitalizations are updated now as well. For 6/10 - 104 hospitalizations, 44 ICU, 27 ventilators The previous high for hospitalizations was 98 on a couple different days. Not a significant increase but it is a new high.
  6. I'm not sure if it's a final update or an inter-day update, but the Austin MSA numbers page ( https://austin.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/39e4f8d4acb0433baae6d15a931fa984 ) now has a New Cases entry for 6/10, and it's the 2nd highest behind only yesterday. 6/8 118 New cases 6/9 161 New cases 6/10 133 New cases The previous high they list for any day was 88 on 6/1. Hospitalization are holding stead, but that probably just lags the new cases. I think this pop in numbers is just the fuel this thread needs to power on to 1000 pages.
  7. I have a Garmin Vivoactive 3M and it's great. The 3M and 4 versions both play music to Bluetooth earbuds, which for me, was a hard requirement since I don't take my phone on runs. I've done 3-hour runs listening to music the whole time and the battery still has no problem going 2 days without a charge. When I don't run (gps tracking & music) I can get about 4 days of battery life. I didn't think I'd use the watch to track sleep, but it turns out for me that's critical to running better, so I do wear it all night every night. If you want your watch to run other general purpose app, where running is only one of it's purposes, the Apple watch is far more versatile. But if you want it mainly for sports/running, I strongly recommend a watch built specifically for that purpose. I like Garmin, but there are a bunch of other good brands. How 'perfect' do you want the altimeter? The Vivoactive 3M does track elevation, but I've noticed that the elevation tracking is not as accurate as the distance/gps tracking, which is crazy accurate. If I run the same 5K loop two times, the elevation change on one may say 59ft, and the next says 65ft. For me, distance is the main thing, and elevation is a interesting but secondary metric, so I have no problem with this.
  8. Welcome back Roof Koreans, we missed you guys.
  9. While Stockton was clearly not a 'drive to the basket' kinda guy, the only 'specific system' he needed was the Pick-and-Roll. That's not so much a system as it is basic fundamental basketball. Yes, Malone was the other half of that 2-man game most of the time, but Stockton showed time and again that he could run it with any competent player. Stockton is #1 on the all-time Assists board, he's also #2 on the all-time Assists-per-game behind only Magic. Of the players listed here, I'd put Stockton a mile ahead of the others. 1. Stockton 2. Kidd - a distant second 3-5. Payton, Nash, CP3 - a 3-way tie close behind Kidd.
  10. Sigh, what could have been. I need to trade with less emotion. I got completely out of the market on march 1st. (A week after the market started to fall...I'm happy with that) I got completely back in on March 31st (again, a week after the bottom...I happy with that was well.) Getting greedy and not cashing out was the mistake. I finally sold everything today and had a return of about 4% (after taxes) for a month and a half. Not to bad, but... If I had followed my guy and gotten back out at the end of April, I might have had a 18%-20% return... In a month. I sat there staring at the screen thinking this can't possibly go any higher, right? I should sell now, right? But that little voice in my head was like 'what if it does go higher. how cool would that be. Remember brrrrrrrrtttt and all that jazz". Stupid voice. So now I'm on the sidelines and I wait and watch for another buy-low opportunity. I'm not alone in thinking the market is going to crash again. Between economic news and a world-wide CV19 resurgence due to re-opening, I think the next month and a half are going to suck. I'm not advanced/savvy enough to start shorting things, so I'll just wait for the market to go low and buy back in.
  11. The first coronavirus drop the market took ran from about Feb 20th to about March 23rd. Plenty of time to get out....in hindsight. The first week of March made it really tough because the market recovered a bit and seemed like it was stabilizing.... then bottom fell out. I think at some point the market will come out of it's fantasy land and rejoin the real world. Quarterly reports, unemployment rates, and vanishing dividends are going to start to matter again. I can see a snowball effect that starts with one or two stocks and then picks up steam and the whole market goes south really fast. The problem that is stressing me out is how will I know it's time to get out? The first day it the market drops 5%? Two big drops in a row? I week of down? I need a crystal Ball.
  12. I'm hearing whispers and rumors coming out of a number of big tech companies about possible layoffs that are pointing toward catastrophically bad Q2 numbers. Maybe people are just speculating about what they think may happen but I'm getting concerned because I'm hearing things from a number of directions. Its feeling like there is going to be a huge number of white-collar professionals getting laid off very soon. Between the Q2 results that are soon to start to be announced and a probable uptick COVid-19 in numbers due to re-openings, my spidy-sense is telling me to get out.
  13. It's like they read on the Internet that R&M was a clever show so now they're going out of their way to try and be extra clever....and it doesn't work. I'm not ready to say it's all down hill from here (yet), but there a guy in a black jacket and water skis warming up.
  14. Anyone have an answer for this? I know there was a little side discussion on one of the threads after Abbot's press conference about the legality of the TX governor overriding local judges. Maybe I just didn't see the end of that discussion. The last I saw was it was ambiguous with both county and governor having language that seemed to put them in control. The executive order GA-18 actually suspends the part of the Texas Government Code that gave Counties their authority. "I hereby suspend Sections 418.1015(b) and 418.10$ of the Texas Government Code ..." Can he do that? On the austintexas.gov site, under the 'Current Orders', it still lists the April 13th Stay At Home order (from both Austin and Travis) that runs through May 8th. So which is it?
  15. It's useful to keep actual numbers for our area in mind when talking about re-opening. Since testing is pathetically low, we can't know the actual number of people who have it, but the whole point of flattening the curve was to protect the health care system. Even with Poor testing, the Hospitalization and Death rate should be correct. The Austin/Travis county numbers for Hospitalizations are only reported for the entire 5-county MSA, so here are the stats for the MSA. County Confirmed Deaths Recovered Active Population Travis 1412 39 398 975 1,274,000 Williamson 287 6 144 137 590,000 Hayes 155 1 77 77 230,000 Bastrop 62 2 11 49 88,700 Caldwell 11 0 0 11 43,000 MSA Stats: Total Population: 2.23 Million Total Confirmed Cases: 1927 Current Active Cases: 1,249 Total Deaths: 48 Current Hospitalizations: 66 (5.3% of current confirmed cases) There are only 66 people currently hospitalized in the entire MSA. That's a pretty good 'flattened' curve. Also, of the Travis County deaths, there have been only 14 (fourteen) under the age of 70. I'd say these number strongly support a staged re-opening.
  16. Most Retail allowed to re-open at 25% capacity in Phase 1 - If CV19 stays contained the Phase 2 re-opens more. Counties below some threshold allow to open at 50% capacity. Some things not allowed to re-open at this time: gyms, barbershops, hair cutting. With only 66 people currently hospitalized at this time in the 5-county Austin MSA, this seems reasonable.
  17. A New Rolling Stones song? Is that even possible? Yes, yes it is. And it's actually pretty good. 2020 is truly a bizarre year.
  18. The article doesn't say, why exactly, they think that pet with respiratory symptoms can't transmit it to humans? This and every other article I just looked at falls back on the the "No Evidence" song and dance. Per the CDC, "At this time, there is no evidence that companion animals, including pets, can spread COVID-19 or that they might be a source of infection in the United States." There's no evidence ... right up until there is. They know cats can infect other cats, and they know the Covid-19 virus doesn't instantly mutate in a cat, so it seems pretty reasonable to me that cats can probably shed the virus in respiratory droplets. Why couldn't that infect humans?
  19. WhooHoo!. Austin / Travis County adds only 16 confirmed cases today (1108) ...That's following up yesterday's increase of only 18. We had been averaging about 50 per day for every day in April. Only 81 patients hospitalized in the 5-county MSA, which has been pretty steady for weeks. #turnedthecorner
  20. As documented in the Markets Falling thread, I pulled everything out of the market the last week of Feb, and then went fully back in at the end of March. I'm already up for the year; if life gets back to normal in a few months, I'll be doing quite alright.
  21. Austin/Travis County numbers for today were just released and are only up 18! ( https://austin.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/39e4f8d4acb0433baae6d15a931fa984 ) Confirmed cases 1092 That's the lowest increase in about a month. We should have a giant party downtown or something.
  22. Today's update for Travis County came out a few minutes early today. 1074 confirmed cases. A jump of only 45 from yesterday. The trend is pretty linear for the entire month of April. We're averaging about 48 new cases a day in April.
  23. I kid you not. Just inside the Home Depot I went to they had a table with a hand written sign that said "DIY Masks". The table had a roll of non-perforated paper towels and tape.
  24. I'm guessing this meat-head doesn't know a 6 foot radius from a 6 foot diameter.
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