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pyrohornIII

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by pyrohornIII

  1. 1 hour ago, happyfunball said:

    Starting to listen to season 1 of Slow Burn podcast makes me believe more and more that Trump has dirt on a lot of republicans and how / where they received campaign donations which were not legal.

    I think some of them got lazy in researching where the money was coming from, as in channeled from Russia through NRA and other lobbies.  When they found out, it was too late.  I really think that is why Graham all the sudden went soft on Trump, and we saw a lot of them jump ship.

  2. 45 minutes ago, ndawg said:

    The plan shouldn't be to go after the die hard fanatics first. Rather, congress should aim to wear away at those adjacent to the die hards -- these are the people who have been susceptible to buying in to the "both sides" nonsense that the fanatics spout, but have never really got behind Trump themselves.

    The first thing the House needs to do is stop letting Trump control the news cycle. That means they need to go on the attack, and they need to anticipate Trump's counterpunches, always bringing the focus back to Trump's criminal behaviour.

    Yes, I agree with this.  I think that the public is hungry for facts now, and the House needs to uncover more and more each day and add them to a running summary. Eventually, the crimes by all involved will add up enough to break most backs except for the staunchest Trumpkins.

    2 hours ago, hpslugga said:

    Dude, you don’t understand.

    Trump’s following isn’t rooted in politics. A political following has an element of combustibility, meaning it could all break down and explode given the right circumstances and no politician is above that.

    Trump? His following is based in faith, which is the most dishonest root of a position that is possible to take. His defenders will defensively defend him by 1) asserting claims that are completely without evidence and 2) argue entirely in spite of evidence. They have a name for that in religious circles. It’s called “apologetics.” How does one get involved in apologetics? Simple: become hopelessly indoctrinated towards such a ridiculous cause. No amount of evidence Robert Mueller can show will convince trump’s base that this is anything other than a “witch hunt.”

    Some of these same apologetics are the ones that insist on creation over evolution, some even going so far as flat earthers.  They look to be contrary, just for the sake of it.  They want to come out the other side and be right, so they can tell everyone how dumb we are and smart they were to see it all so clearly to start with.  Hence Qturds. 

    51 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

    Start with tax returns, since they can subpoena those on Day 1.

    And I expect the Mueller investigation to drop bombs soon after that.  I think he's had the bombs for a long time and all he's been waiting on is the blue House that will actually give a shit about, you know, treason.

    Emoluments will be the icing on the cake and an effective way to show the American people that the Republicans, those self-proclaimed defenders of the Constitution, didn't give half a shit about the rule of law for two years.

    If you want to harm Trump, you destroy his myth, you expose him, like Toto did with the Wizard of Oz.  Lay it out step by step, the failed businesses, the bailouts by laundering, and finish with the emoluments.  But above all, show that every deal he has made has been a bust, that his wealth is not close to a billion, never has been, and in fact under his control his wealth declined considerably.

    35 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

    Trump's base isn't as monolithic as you think. 

    1. the Cult 45 members that will never be swayed, I'd put them at 15-20%. 

    2.  the 401k Trumpers that don't care what Trump does as long as the portfolio is earning (5-10%).

    3.  the team Republican Trumpers that are supportive because of the R by his name.  They don't like the tweets, the lying, or even the agenda but they will tolerate it up to a certain point because they're Republicans. (10-20%)

    Just need to start chipping away at two and three. 

    There are a lot of people out there who are tired of all this.  Have been from the start.  They don't have time for politics, its boring and who do you believe anyway?  Some of these people are in your last two groups and a lot are just out there not caring, just going along with what peers and family say.  

    Their interest levels are on golf, hunting, fishing, sports, soap operas, celebrity gossip.  You find a way to dumb down the findings in a daily briefing, and start a webpage somewhere that keeps a running list of the facts and how they play together, then you have an in to them.  Like one of those big crime walls with all the threads linking clues to suspects.  Most are loathe to waste any time trying to put the pieces together and ignore everything, figuring there is nothing that can sink our great country.  But they do love a good soap.  A lot of them were raised on Dallas, remember?

     

  3. 3 hours ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

    Good idea but sadly I doubt it would because the GOP tactics aren’t trying to appeal to people thoughtful or open minded.  

    The Republicans LOVE their bullshit issues ginned up to their ignorant base.  Statues, transgender bathrooms, prayer in school, caravans, abortion, gay marriage, Muslim refugees. 

    Yes, these are the issues that will make or break America.

     Never mind the broken healthcare system, rising costs of living, climate change, insane amounts of gun violence, increasingly unaffordable higher education, the deficit/debt, or the absurd wealth inequality.  

    Those issues are of no importance to the GOP.

    We need WALL!

    Yes, I wasn't insinuating that the right would soak up anything like education over propaganda.    For my own purposes though it would be nice to have a primer to educate myself with so I can present founded arguments when i get hit in the face with wall talk.

    • Like 1
  4. 1 hour ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

    All true and spot on.  

    However, there is another dynamic at play here concerning the GOP, immigration, and life after Trump.   

    Immigration was the #1 issue in right wing media leading up to the 2016 election.  By Trump keeping the Wall in the spotlight, he is also keeping the immigration issue alive and well for the rest of the GOP and future campaigning.  

    Objectively and statistically speaking, the illegal immigration problem is absurdly overblown and the country has much bigger issues than caravans from Honduras.  

     But no savvy politician can say that or they will come off as an open borders libtard.

    The right has created this Frankenstein monster they refuse to solve because it’s such a great way to separate themselves from the democrats in the minds of most Americans. 

    They are going to ride the immigration shit to 2020 and beyond, with or without Trump.

     

    I wish someone would do a documentary or series on immigration.   Much like the Active Measures doc, or Inequality for All, or 13.   Show the progression of immigration, the rule changes and the benefits and costs associated with each rule change.   I think where we are now in immigration law is convoluted, and most people have no idea how we got where we are today with this. 

    If the Dems screwed up, show that, if the R's did, then show that.  Talk about potential changes to make for a better system.   Then let the Dems ride that expose into 2020.  They own their part in it and pledge to make competent changes.  Start doing that now with introducing change to fight Wall. 

    The best way to put this to rest is for there to be a comprehensive guide to this boondoggle.  All we see are bits and pieces.   Put those together and publish, then start dialog from there.

    Seems to me that would take the teeth out of a lot of the R scare tactic.

  5. 2 hours ago, retread said:

     

    Reinforces the idea many of us have suggested that the Wall is all about distraction and rallying his troops to protect him from Mueller and what's about to rain down.   He is pulling out a lot of the oldies.   But he has run through all his ammo, and the wall hits best. 

    • Like 2
  6. On 12/28/2018 at 1:46 PM, ChiTownDoc said:

    Redacted would be a cool user name.  

    Would it be the word redacted, or just a black box?

     

    On 12/28/2018 at 5:11 PM, Hugo Stiglitz said:

    Anastasis loves to pretend there’s a debate on whether or not the Russians were solely responsible for the Trump presidency or had a meaningful impact on the outcome of election.

    The Russians were going to win regardless of the outcome of the election.  They just won more with Trump.

    I think the Russians were setting up Trump to be a major burr under HRC's saddle once she won POTUS.    They were going to keep using Trump and group as a pot stirrer by feeding them active measures like stuff just to keep the US in strife. 

    I wonder if any of this would have been investigated if Trump would not have won.

    On 12/28/2018 at 6:32 PM, Hugo Stiglitz said:

    1113094E-AFDA-451B-8A73-C77FB7477B94_zps

    I dunno, seems kinda sophisticated. 

    Agreed.  Just the Q stuff alone, the way it was built and put out, that's pretty sophisticated.   It was a simple use of conspiracy nuts, but it was so solid and inclusive from the start with the foundation of the deep state that would be the ultimate invisible villain.  As ludicrous as the Q shit is, it still thrives.  That's not just luck. 

    Find Active Measures on Netflix. 

    • Like 3
  7. 6 hours ago, HenryJames said:

    Normal stuff.

    If he is so worried about the drug flow and losing all that money, then legalize the shit and take the profit out if it?  Nah, then he'd just lose another dog whistle.

  8. I am looking forward to it.  At least it is a step away from the cookie cutter action hero comic book stuff we have been suffering the past decade.  But it is kind of odd that they haven't released any new trailers.  That one HG posted is the same one that I saw 2 weeks ago at the theater.

  9. 1 hour ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

     

    The funny part of this is they figure they are deserving of heaven.  They are god's chosen ones.   I was going through the channels yesterday and there was actually a program called the Prosperity Message or some such.  Advice on how to live prosperously as a christian.   Mind bottling shit there. 

  10. I'm not a Patterson fan by any stretch, but I was fully expecting them to handle Cal with no issues.  I thought with some bowl prep time the TCU staff would cobble something together offensively.   For a guy who supposedly does a lot of negative recruiting, that game left his ass hanging out there for returning the favor. 

  11. I went back to look for the rebellious blond in front of the White House with the Fuck Trump tee on.   I couldn't find it on the last 50 pages, so here it is again:

    aubrey-oday-rocks-f-trump-shirt-tk-mos-a

    aubrey-oday-invite.jpg

    That is the woman Jr was having an affair with that eventually ended his marriage. 

    Here is an article about Flynt trolling Jr on NYE in Vegas.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2018/12/larry-flynt-trolled-don-jr-hiring-mistress-blew-trumps-marriage-new-years-eve-soiree/

    Apple doesn't fall far from the tree, huh?

     

    • Like 2
  12. 1 hour ago, horn4life said:

    I understand that a LOT of people do not understand the macro effects of cutting top tax rates for the wealthiest Americans.  It is nothing more or less than a reallocation of wealth to those with the greatest ability to shoulder the financial burden of funding our government.  There is a reason that Deficits have skyrocketed under Republican Presidencies.  Because the POLICY itself does not work!!!!  My "team" is the American people, I was a card carrying Republican, I began to move toward the Dems simply because while their economic policies are far from perfect they are simply not a redistribution of wealth to FURTHER enrich the richest.  The Dems err in trying too much to help the poorest in some cases, I will give you that.  HOWEVER there is a VASTLY greater economic and tax benefit via the effects of money multiplying in making this error.  It's simply math.  You give a poor or lower middle class person additional dollars they spend every single penny, and mostly in their local economy.  I will move toward the GOP when facts, and actual fiscal conservatism become something the GOP again cares about.

    IT is also a fallacy to point to California's extremely high cost of living as your "evidence" when pointing to Texas in the same breath.  Unless you do not understand cost of living?  I could give you a tutorial here is you would like? 😉

    The biggest problem for the middle class is a tax policy that has shifted to placing more burden on the middle class, in order to remove burden from the most wealthy in the class. There is a reason that the GOP always pretends to twilight these gifts to the wealthy with a future expiraiton date in their legislation. A date that never comes for the wealthy but always comes for the middle tax relief.  The reason? Because the scoring on plans without an expiration clearly show the monsterous holes in the budget caused without the fake expriation.  It sells the flawed tax poliy much better than using honest numbers.

    It's like listening to GOP congressmen criticize the "Obama Stimulus" package that was necessary to help boost the economy after the Bush's destruction of the economy. This happened after years of nearly singularly bragging as a GOP talking point about home ownership gains.  WOnder why the mortgage industry was not properly supervised and regulated? It would have removed this singular talking point. The "Obama Stimulus" was a necessity ONLY because the GOP controlled congress PUNTED the costs of funding the recovery into Obama's Presidency.  Obama cleaned up the mess, and yes there were massive deficits that came with it.  Of course the GOP's man contribution was the insistence of adding... you guessed it... tax cuts for the wealthy into the bill. From Memory I believe nearly half of that massive stimuls package was tax cuts.  INFRASATRUCTURE building would have been a much, much better stimulus, but the only way to get stimulus in the GOP mind is... yep you guessed it... tax cuts.

    It is also important to note that while Obama did preside over a masisve increase in the debt and deficits, he also provided an economy strong with massive job job creation.  Something Trump inherited. Yet Trump has been unable with the help of complete control of the GOP of all levers of the Federal Government to match Obama's employment numbers. (now don't get excited here ding dongs) you don't get to compare Obama's first days in office after inheriting the Republican orchestrated disaster of not regulating the banking and mortgage businesses (that was their one economic talking point). You compare Obama's last 21 months (or now 22 months) with Trump's 21 months after taking office.  

    It is impossible to find a Trump supporter than believes Obama created more jobs in the same about of time at Trump has.  But it's the truth.

    Overall the biggest problem is the embrace of one party of a tax policy that simple does not, and never has worked.  It's an expensive policy that adds to the debt, while at the same time moving nearly all the burden for funding Social Security, medicare and medicaid onto the middle class.  Because as I pointed out the rich don't pay into those systems as their income is not catagorized as income the way it is for the working class.

    You could actally fix the problem and fund the goverment.  Simply call ALL increase in annual wealth as income, and tax it the same way the overly burdened middle class does.  THEN guess what... with the wealthy sharing this burden, the lower in middle classes burden would be reduced.  Then they lower and middle classes could actually stimulate the economy with each and every dollar given back to them by making the wealthy pay their way like the middle class does

     

    Another part of this equation is the reduction in services we receive.  Infrastructure, schools, VA, colleges, emergency services, law enforcement and other general services provided by the government have their budgets cut back to balance the loss of income from these tax cuts.     And it isn't just on a national level, obviously, but this pervades the entire country.  They all follow the lead of the GOP in DC.   Huge shortfalls being covered by fundraisers, higher tuition costs, tollroads, etc.   

    • Like 4
  13. 22 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Won’t happen, but if he, Eric, Don Jr, Ivanka, and Jared, possibly Melania, went to prison, or at least ended up on probation or whatever, while Barron and Tiff missed out on the shenanigans, it would burn him up.

    Don't forget his fraudulent sister judge.

  14. 58 minutes ago, Tuco said:


    It’s how he keeps them in line. If he can cost them ten percent of their voters, he can cripple them.

    What is also sad is how much this is trickling down to state and local races.  Particularly the ones involving rural areas. 

    • Like 1
  15. I find myself looking for little local places now to add to the list.  We tried Lee's Landing in Rockdale last week and it was good.   Didn't get the BBQ but the catfish and CFS.  Both were made from scratch, no Sysco crap here.   It's definitely a local place.

     

    Also down the road is a old restored motor court from back in the day.   Rainbow Courts Motel.   I would suggest checking out their website.

    https://www.rainbowcourts.com/?utm_source=google&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=gmblisting

    Just looking for a day trip out of Austin, you couldn't go wrong with these two choices.

    • Like 2
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