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  1. I’m sure we’re all frustrated to have such a great defense but still struggle to put teams away because our “juggernaut” offense with a seasoned QB still has not taken form. I do wonder if the title Sark was a part of with Bama made him a little stubborn since they were able to win with a statue playing QB. Of the top 11 offenses in CFB, all but two of them have effective runners at QB. Whether they are more decisive and elusive when things break down or if the QB run game is a staple of their offense, it’s pretty clear that mobile QBs keep the chains moving. Seems like incorporating a sprinkle of QB run into the scheme or at least encouraging the QB to go grab 5 or 10 yards when it’s there could help significantly. I do hope when Arch is the starter that Sark uses his legs to keep defenses honest. These A-gap blitzes we keep seeing would decrease if teams knew the QB was prone to pull the read and run off-tackle.
  2. LTtxfan

    Texas RB Talk

    Coming off a bye week, the Texas Longhorns' offense has a lot of things to work on, and arguably the most important one is getting the ground game up and running once again. Over the past two games, the Longhorns have had their two worst rushing performances of the season back-to-back. In their 30-15 loss to Georgia, they ran for just 29 net yards on 27 attempts (1.1 yards per attempt), though that was mostly due to seven sacks on quarterback Quinn Ewers. Then in their 27-24 win over Vanderbilt, they rushed for 104 yards on 34 attempts (3.1 yards per attempt), which isn't as bad, but certainly not good. Understandably, the Longhorns know they need to do a better job on the ground going forward. “I’ll say, you know, we’re running outside zone pretty good right now. The other run schemes are not working like we want to,” running back Jaydon Blue said. “A lot of that goes with us at the running back position, we have to be a lot better. We have to help Quinn out so that teams know that we’re just not throwing the ball. “When we run the ball efficiently, Quinn could sit back there, you know, and dial ’em up on defense. I think its just all with us being efficient in the run game.” That said, Texas knows that leaning too far in one direction usually ends poorly. While the Longhorns would love to get the ground game going, balance is what they're looking for above all. "I don't ever want to feel like we just need to force feed the run game, because that might be detrimental to us as a team when we're pretty effective throwing the ball too," head coach Steve Sarkisian said. "We're just continuing to strive for that balance. But again, we got a ton of confidence in all parties involved that we can be a very good run team the second half of the season." Luckily, this week's game is a perfect opportunity to get the run game back on track against a Florida team that allows 162 rushing yards per game, second-most in the SEC. When kickoff rolls around at 11 a.m. CT on Saturday, expect the Longhorns to ground and pound.
  3. I hate to say it, but just like it took the repeal of Roe to mobilize women and win elections in places like fucking Kansas, it's going to take some deporting of some (a lot?) American citizens to swing the Latino vote back Democratic. We are strictly in the "no progress without pain" phase of American democracy.
  4. Last post of mine here before I take a break and focus energy into more productive pursuits. So I am obviously not happy about how things turned out, but I do see two good things resulting from last night's election. First, that it was a Trump win by a comfortable margin means that we aren't going to have a January 6th repeat unless the left wants to do their best MAGA impersonation. I would be surprised if they do. That means there's some time before anything big happens. Second, there will be no more hypotheticals to be afraid of. The house is still in the air, but Trump's movement is looking set to hold all branches of the federal government. That means they will have very little impediment to getting whatever they want done, done. This means there will be no more illusions. If they start using project 2025 as their governance punch list, it will be apparent and real for a lot of people who ultimately wound up viewing it as a hypothetical vs real danger. Beyond that, there's not much else to say. Change is undoubtedly coming, but maybe it's not as bad as we envisioned. Maybe some of it is good. Either way, I wish everyone peace and safety across the turbulence that will be coming.
  5. I don't even think it was that. She actually ended up being a better candidate than I thought she would. Doubtful she wins in a true primary process but i'm not convinced anyone could have done much better. I think it came down to 2 things that I previewed last year and was shit all over in this forum. Rapid inflation over last 4 years (which was inevitable regardless of executive control but that doesn't matter as party in charge will always get the blame) which was the biggest problem, combined with the now 'fact' that progressive ideas/PC culture are just flat out losers. MAGA made it a culture war and it worked. Nobody wants to hear it or accept it but it's the truth. For example, not being able to just flat out say unequivocally "biological men should not play women's sports" is a loser. It doesn't matter if it's not happening in reality (we know it's not). This was a referendum on the economy and 'woke' culture in a social media algorithm driven world and there aren't enough educated voters who have retained the ability to critically analyze issues left to make a difference. This is an era of low information voters across all age groups and demographics, and regardless how much I didn't want to believe it would actually happen, it swung the way I felt it might for the past 2 years (although I never thought it would be a full popular vote shift). I'm going to retire away from the cloak room again, but I'll be fascinated to see WTF the D party does when the dust settles because this was a shock to the system.
  6. So, the GOP has had to kowtow to Trump to win elections. One way or another, Trump is not going to stand for an election again. He's also going to go out sooner rather than later and I think we agree his unique brand of populism is irreplaceable. How much does the GOP continue to kowtow to him?
  7. people say they don’t want to write off the whole season after one game, but we’re probably at the point where the best bet for us to have a “good” season is to simply make the tourney and then win at least two games. i don’t think that the regular season is ever going to be a fun romp as long as RT is here. as long as he’s here the regular season will be a rollercoaster where we almost never win or lose more than 3 games in a row after the calendar turns over, and where every single season comes down to tourney performance. what’s weird is, as depressing as that sounds, the postings on this board since late era barnes would lead one to believe that that’s exactly how the people here like it.
  8. Absolutely wild that a decrepit Biden runs a more competitive race than Kamala. He still probably doesn’t win, but at least we aren’t going to bed tonight completely defeated. Kamala is proving to be the worst Democrat candidate in quite some time. She was an atrocious candidate in 2020 and she never overcame those headwinds with a significant portion of the D coalition. I hope in 2028 they focus less on capturing celebrity endorsements and more on the issues that drive voters to the polls.
  9. If a rapist, convicted felon who tried to overthrow the government wins the popular vote in this election then it’s hard to figure out where we go from here as a country. Trump pulling off a 2016 type win was always a possibility, but to win the popular vote after everything he’s done and said at this point is shocking to the core. It tells me a lot of people more people than I realized lack the ability to connect long term consequences to their near term actions.
  10. I'm fucking terrified of what a complete Maga sweep will do to our country. Are we even going to have elections in 2028? Europe is on their own... Baltic is fucked, Taiwan might be fucked. Russia will get the big win. Wtf is going to happen our economy? Deficit? The dollar is going to crash? We are going to wake up to a very different America tomorrow.
  11. A hope that we could all go to bed on time, settled in the fact of a Harris win.
  12. When I was like 10 and we were busted ass poor my uncle would come to town and take us out to eat and we always wanted to go to chilis for their fajitas. I thought it was fine dining. when I was in college I lived on skillet Queso and miller lites. when I was in law school, there weren’t many places to go for dinner so the Cadillac fajitas at chilis was it. I’m not going to pretend it’s great food and I haven’t eaten there in years and years and have no desire really to go there but I’ve got a long history with that chain. so I have no problem celebrating Kamalas win with some skillet queso and a plate of sizzling fajitas … though i may bring my own tortillas.
  13. We knew pretty early on in 2016 things weren't going well. Like I remember by 8pm going oh fuck he is gonna win.
  14. We knew pretty early on in 2016 things weren't going well. Like I remember by 8pm going oh fuck he is gonna win.
  15. Yeah. The scary part for me is that some actual smart, charismatic politician is going to realize they can win a national election with a fascist platform if they just don't have all of Trump's baggage and shitty presentation. Trump is a clown; he's a cartoon version of a fascist. We have to hope we're not in store for the real thing when this election is over.
  16. QB rating is an antiquated stat that in and of itself proves nothing. look at his QBR the last three games vs the michigan and utsa games. that stat shows how subpar he’s been compared to before he got injured. sark went above and beyond to set QE up for success in the 1H against vandy, and the ensuing high completion rate skews his qb rating much higher than the eyeball test tells you that it should be. QE has been bad lately, and he was bad again against vandy, leading a totally inept offense that never threatened vanderbilt in the 2H because quinn isn’t a threat to throw the ball anywhere beyond the defensive front 7. he also threw two of his trademark picks where his sidearm throws get batted at the line, and was sacked four times behind a line that has suddenly been underperforming ever since QE stopped being a threat. so between the complete inability to move the chains and his propensity for turning the ball over and getting sacked, what part of his amazing “154.3” performance stood out to you? is that the type of performance you want to see going forward? you think we win out if QE keeps playing like that?
  17. A very interesting anecdote from Isaac Saul (who I like a lot and subscribe to his newsletter). c/p for the non twitter users: Isaac Saul @Ike_Saul Yesterday I interviewed Ken Block, a data guy who the Trump camp hired to investigate voter fraud in 2020 (he couldn't prove any of their claims, and wrote a whole book about the experience called "Disproven") Anyway, Ken stopped me before we ended the podcast and said, "don't you want to hear my prediction?" I was like, oh, yeah, I actually do. He said the following: From 2016 to 2020, Trump lost ground among Republican voters in most of the biggest counties in the battlegrounds. He directed me to pages in his book (which I had at my desk) to look at the charts from places like Georgia. He said: In the last 4 years, he's done nothing to win them back. In fact, he's probably lost *more* of them, as evidenced by the strength Haley had even after she dropped out of the primary. His take was that Trump was going to lose because of these voters and that it might not be close - and any marginal gains with black/hispanic voters wouldn't be enough to offset it. Ken's a pretty level-headed guy, and great with the data, and has been involved in various ways in a lot of political campaigns. I'm not sure what to make of it. But I do think it is an analysis that has been largely absent the last few months, and could prove prescient in the next 24 hours.
  18. Shit like this last part and the GA polling place threats is what worries me more than anything today. I know those were the Russians, but I do not have a lot of trust that Cult 45 won't get violent, even if only sporadically. Obviously the outcome matters a great deal in practical terms, but the "soul" of the country, as Joe Biden would put it, is what it is. Regardless of who wins, we are a country where damn near half of the electorate has not only voted for, but enthusiastically embraced fascism in three consecutive elections. That is something we are going to have to grapple with even if Harris wins by what qualifies as a comfortable margin by today's standards. I mean he didn't need to sell me on Harris but okay. lol at the Montgomery County cutoff being Abbott by < 25. Never change aggy. I'm finance-adjacent in commercial real estate and the NY/DC corporate/finance/political class consensus that it's going to be Trump has felt really weird to me since Harris's initial surge. Inverse 2016-ish to be honest. No one has ever really accused that crowd of being in touch with the rest of the country though so honestly, if anything (and I don't really put any stock in it at all) it's heartening. Trump has probably posted in the thread about being able to take a chimp in a fight. "Probably" is doing all the work here. Trump can win AZ/GA 100-0 and if he loses MI/WI/PA it won't matter. Speaking of lost games, love the resolve you're showing by being here. I don't know if I'd be ready to put myself out there again if South Carolina hung 27 unanswered on my team just a few days ago. Glad to have you back.
  19. Never underestimate the stupidity of the American people, but I think Harris ends up with a comfortable win. The only thing that has Trump close in this race are the polls. And we all know the polls are shit. They've been shit. They'll continue to be shit. Literally every other single thing is pointing to a wide Harris win. Trump's tiny rallies. Trump's total embrasure of racism and foot-in-mouth stunts like with the Puerto Rico nonsense. Trump's gutting of the RNC to fund his own trials which has led to a poorly run national campaign. A metric fuck load of Republicans of all stripes coming out to support the Democratic nominee which is unprecedented. He's a convicted felon now. He's old as fuck and gross. He has zero real policy plans outside of the ones given to him by the ghouls of Project 2025, which has been blasted out far and wide for everyone to see what a hellscape it would be. Oh, and he and the Republicans managed to piss off at least half of the voting public by overturning Roe v. Wade. The Republicans made abortion the hot button issue and then those idiots actually went and did something about it. Women voters are going to make all the difference today. This won't be close. Pollsters trying to cover their ass while also keeping people engaged by pretending it's a neck and neck race is the only reason Trump seems like he has a chance. Remember, this orange cunt only beat the most unlikeable Democratic candidate in history by 75k votes spread over multiple states to take the EC win. And that was back before he did the worst job of all time as President and everyone got a good look at who he truly is. It's been nine years of never ending shit since then. People are tired of it. That's why an old as fuck, milquetoast gaffe machine like Biden crushed him last time around. This time will be no different. Just wider for Kamala.
  20. Fair enough..... But as we can see today where Jerrah and his "brain trust" just made what is being called the worst trade of the season, this organization is hopeless with this family at the helm. Sign Dak or don't sign Dak, they'll fuck it up because Jerrah will have authority and influence. Sign Micah or don't sign Micah, again, they'll fuck it up either way. Sign CeeDee or don't sign CeeDee, they will fail. There's a reason the Jones' are losers for 30 years...... because they don't care about winning. They only care about enriching themselves, which they've done exceedingly well for decades will propping up scapegoats for the fans to blame. Hopefully, people get it now.... Jerrah is the villain in the story and everything else is white noise. Don't get this family one cent of revenue and they should be treated like other poor owners of teams who can't go out in public or face public scorn. Then shit may get real.
  21. I've been vacillating back and forth between doom and hope for weeks now depending on how much Js1 keeps the hopium flowing vs. how many people in my day to day life tell me they think Trump wins in a route. The thing that I keep going back to is how much better I feel now vs. the morning after that Biden/Trump debate. My wife went to bed early that night and I remember telling her how fucked we were first thing the next morning. Kamala has played her hand just about as perfectly as she could have and we were fully fucking cooked before Biden decided to do the right thing. ETA: This is what I think happens unless there is too much fuck shit going on in GA and it flips back red.
  22. So yesterday I closed on the sale of a house. Very long story--was supposed to be Mrs.LL's dream house, but interest rates happened and the timing and shit and now it just makes more sense to renovate the current house. So today, I have quite a lot of money sitting in cash in my brokerage account. Here's the thing--Wall Street doesn't understand shit about politics. Mrs.LL was in finance for a long time, and ever since we've been together, I've always been shocked by how little Wall Street understands politics. So much of their business is dictated by what happens in Washington, but they understand fuck-all about it. And right now, Wall Street is expecting 1) a Trump win (and the inflationary and recessionary dangers that come with that) and 2) a period of uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the election as happened in 2020. Based on everything we know, I strongly expect neither of those things. And I think the market is going to react very favorably to 1) No Trump, and 2) certainty (irrespective of who wins) when the race is called shortly after midnight CST. So fuck your prediction thread--I'm putting my money where my mouth is. When the market goes up 5% tomorrow on the strength of a definitive Kamala win, the first round at Chili's is on me.
  23. One thing for sure - Everyone flipped out about O'Malley-Dillon saying something yesterday that results in one state do not translate to other states. A lot of people thought she was talking about the Selzer poll and just because Harris may do well in Iowa, it may not translate to Wisconsin/Michigan/Penn. I took it the other way, like 2020 and 2022 - Florida will count fast, and could go for Trump by a larger margin than 2020, and we will know early, but Florida's vote is not at all indicative of how GA/NC/MI/WI/PA will go. We saw this in 2022 - DeSantis won that race by like a billion points and Dems still had a great night across the upper midwest, NV, AZ, etc. Same with 2020 - Trump won by FL by 2x his 2016 margin, but that did not translate into winning MI, WI, PA, NV, he lost AZ, he lost GA, his NC margin was cut in half from 2016.
  24. Good morning. Good morning. In less than an hour, aircraft from here will join others from around the world, and you will be launching the largest aerial battle in the history of mankind. Mankind, that word should have new meaning for all of us today. We can't be consumed by our petty differences anymore. We will be united in our common interest. Perhaps it's fate that today is the 4th of July, and you will once again be fighting for our freedom. Not from tyranny, oppression or persecution, but from annihilation. We're fighting for our right to live, to exist. And should we win the day, the 4th of July will no longer be known as an American holiday, but as the day when the world declared in one voice, we will not go quietly into the night. We will not vanish without a fight. We're going to live on. We're going to survive. Today, we celebrate our independence day.
  25. Day shift, clocking in. How did last night go? We winning this thing or what
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