NCAA Week 1

[BigOrange1 6432]

on:

ucla/cincinnati, over 59 - thursday

looking at:

boise state +5.5, oregon +3, oregon ML,

[TornACL 7698]

I'm so happy this thread is back. I love you all.

A lot of interesting first week road tests out there. Wondering if there is some value in any of these, they would scare me to death if I was a fan. I don't see Wisconsin or Ok State losing that first game, but Nevada/Wyoming could make for interesting ML fliers.

Wisconsin -13 at South Florida
Purdue -10.5 at Nevada
Missouri -17.5 at Wyoming
Ok State -14.5 at Oregon State

[Wally Pryor 5261]

I'm going to miss Urban's 80%-ish ATS clip with a week+ to prepare for a team.  I'll offer up Fuente going 7-0 ats in true road openers. His teams have covered those seven by an average of 19.5 points.

And if you geek out on this stuff overall another good read from David Purdhum w/ ESPN Chalk.  The guy does solid work.

https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/27435784/betting-september-bookmakers-most-profitable-football-month

[ocugolf 1214]

I like Utah -5.5 a lot. Lots of people think they will win the PAC 12. I know it’s an in-state rivalry, but Utah will win by a touchdown.

[NowThis 931]

5 hours ago, TornACL said:

I'm so happy this thread is back. I love you all.

A lot of interesting first week road tests out there. Wondering if there is some value in any of these, they would scare me to death if I was a fan. I don't see Wisconsin or Ok State losing that first game, but Nevada/Wyoming could make for interesting ML fliers.

Wisconsin -13 at South Florida
Purdue -10.5 at Nevada
Missouri -17.5 at Wyoming
Ok State -14.5 at Oregon State

+rep for typing out both teams instead of "Wisc -13 ; OKSt -14.5" etc.  

Can we all be proper gents and do that? 

[Machinator 32099]

 

[chitwood 155]

1 hour ago, Machinator said:

 

Wow. Betting on Strong. I couldn’t do it. 

[TornACL 7698]

Yeah, Charlie's still there, I wouldn't tail that pick even if it was $1M.  My blood pressure is already high enough. 

[Goo Punch 4275]

alright, it's time for me to participate in this thread this year. i've been alternating good and bad weeks, and last week was a bad one, so this is perfect timing. let's get it on!

[taybo20 2825]

Here's my thursday night parlay:

UCLA (+115)

Clemson -36 (-110)

Utah (-210)

Kent St/ASU U60.5 (-110)

Aggie -33.5 (-110)

[TornACL 7698]

Well, that's certainly why they call it gambling. 

[SDG 3319]

I like UCLA and Utah to cover but isn’t GT gonna try to limit Clemson’s possessions?

[taybo20 2825]

17 minutes ago, SDG said:

I like UCLA and Utah to cover but isn’t GT gonna try to limit Clemson’s possessions?

I'm sure they will try. I have a feeling there will be some defensive scores in this game for Clemson. And when they have it on offense, some quick strikes. No more triple option for GT

[TexArcher 37761]

4 hours ago, SDG said:

isn’t GT gonna try to limit Clemson’s possessions?

Yeah, and I'm gonna try to bang Sofia Vergara this Thursday night, too.

Odds are about the same.

Edited August 28, 2019 by TexArcher

[Xcalibur 546]

I’m on

Georgia -20.5 over Vandy

Bama -34.5 over Duke

aggy -33.5 over Texas state

Utah -5.5 over BYU

 

[Trey3216 15343]

17 hours ago, taybo20 said:

Here's my thursday night parlay:

UCLA (+115)

Clemson -36 (-110)

Utah (-210)

Kent St/ASU U60.5 (-110)

Aggie -33.5 (-110)

My Thursday/Fri Parlay:

Clemson 1H -23.5

aggy 1H -20.5

Utah 1H -3.5

Army 1H -12 

[Loco 3752]

23 hours ago, chitwood said:

Wow. Betting on Strong. I couldn’t do it. 

USF has a new offensive coordinator...  Kerwin Bell.   Known for explosive offense, we will see if his scheme works in FBS... it's worked really well everywhere else.   So some unknowns in the opener.

[Machinator 32099]

Bama 1H is usually a good bet. The Tide are breaking in two freshman ILBs and have to deal with 4 suspended players, though.

[achooloco 1067]

11 hours ago, Trey3216 said:

My Thursday/Fri Parlay:

Clemson 1H -23.5

aggy 1H -20.5

Utah 1H -3.5

Army 1H -12 

The clemson game i'm iffy on for the first half. Actually thinking of going under since GT puts in a new offensive system and debo doesn't seem to run it up much. Then again it's clemson so they might jump out like Alabama did last year in 1H and cover most of the year.

Kent state v arizona state 1H  - Kent State 1H cover (+14) ; but that total points under looks interesting for the game. Kent state has loads of upperclassman on D but they sucked last year. Kent state has loads of upperclassman on Offense and they were moderately better. AZ State starts a true freshman at QB.

Aggy game total over (56.5). Think Aggy comes out shooting to ride the roller coaster.

not touching UTAH cause rivalry reasons.

[Wally Pryor 5261]

A&M Over 56.5  Spavital will create some points and Fisher will run these games up where he can. 

[Elvis Presto 21]

for today i'm on:

UCLA ml, aggy -33, Clemson 1h -23.5, Utah -5.5, az st -25  and may add tulane

also - indians, twins & a's parlay for some degenerate day game action

[achooloco 1067]

23 hours ago, Machinator said:

Bama 1H is usually a good bet. The Tide are breaking in two freshman ILBs and have to deal with 4 suspended players, though.

True but it is duke. The suspended guys are back for the second half so I’m guessing they won’t let up like they did last year. 

[TornACL 7698]

This thread sure is chalky.

I have talked myself into Ole Miss +5.5. Memphis has to replace those NFL running backs, the games at Memphis but Ole Miss will have tons of fans in the house. I think Ole Miss and dickhead RichRod will have enough to win a shootout.

[Zepol87 9185]

4 hours ago, Wally Pryor said:

A&M Over 56.5  Spavital will create some points and Fisher will run these games up where he can. 

Played both of these tonight as well. 

[Blotto 23486]

5 hours ago, Wally Pryor said:

A&M Over 56.5  Spavital will create some points and Fisher will run these games up where he can. 

I took Texas State team total over 12.5, may have to also add the game total.

[Wally Pryor 5261]

I like that TS TT 

[Wally Pryor 5261]

Boise / FSU moved to Tallahassee from Jacksonville. 

[TornACL 7698]

So far I'm on .5U for Clemson 1H -23.5. Get me started off on the right foot, Dabo!

I'll wait on some others until Saturday morning.

[Wally Pryor 5261]

Northwestern +6.5

 

[LonghornGoodfella 114]

Also on A&M Over 56.5 tonight. 

I’ve decided to tail all of Stanford Steve’s picks this year as he killed it last year. 

Wake Forest -3.5

Wake/Utah St over 59.5

Ohio St/FAU Over 63.5

Northwestern +6.5 

Kentucky/Toledo Under 61.5

Boston College +5

 

Good luck this year boys! 

 

[joeycovers 391]

Virginia Tech -5

Northwestern +6

[achooloco 1067]

Funny, I was looking at that Utah state. The utah Oline is young w/o experience, the receivers are new but seem good and the qb Is a bad ass. Anderson's second go around so... dunno. The Utah defense looks ok, while WF DEFENSE is all freshman on the dline interior. So looks like both teams strength play against each other, and their weak parts do as well. I’m expecting low scoring. 

[shakahorn 1645]

Like the over aggy/TxState 57.  Agree Spav should be able to put up a few points and Jimbo gotta try to run it up.

Wiscy/USF line down to 10 now.  I'm betting against Charlie every game this year.

[SDG 3319]

Tonights bets: UCLA win, GT +36, Utah -6.5, ASU KS u61.5, aggy O57.5.  

[Nick Nolte 31]

I'm on UCLA +3.5 and Utah -5.5 tonight.

 

[TornACL 7698]

2 hours ago, LonghornGoodfella said:

Kentucky/Toledo Under 61.5

 

Hmmm that pick is as tasty as your avatar.

[BigOrange1 6432]

joining you all on the aggy over.

[Chief21 49]

Ga Tech +38

aggy o56

[NOMAAA 1696]

Fade Morgan state all season?

[taybo20 2825]

UCLA needs to make something happen here

[taybo20 2825]

Parlay done

[SDG 3319]

Hopefully I’m getting my bad streak over with tonight or it’s gonna be a long weekend.  

[achooloco 1067]

Lesson going forward after last year Clemson v aggy and tonight... never bet on shit ass aggy games

[Zepol87 9185]

Well at least I'm consistent. I suck at this 

[NOMAAA 1696]

Should’ve put more thought into Aggy. They aren’t going to show a lot this week with Clemson next week. 

On the other hand they suck. 

[Goo Punch 4275]

i hit clemson 1h but lost ucla over; a wash for me tonight. i've got the lsu vs ga southern u52.5 and the ou vs houston o79.5. still considering what else i'm gonna play. 

[Trey3216 15343]

Lost my parlay because Utah missed an XP in the first half.   I did hedge it though since I had already won aggy/Clemson 1h’s 

 

Now Taking:

Army 1H -12 

Ok St 1H -7

[taybo20 2825]

I’m off UCLA for the season 

[TornACL 7698]

23 minutes ago, taybo20 said:

I’m off UCLA for the season 

They have any other QBs on that roster? They might look like a totally different team if they bench that slapdick.

[HRSchenker 2268]

Louisiana Tech has held steady at +20.5 with 65% of all bets. Very telling.