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Texas 2020 general election

Nice Guy Eddie

By Nice Guy Eddie
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Brisketexan

Brisketexan 105270

Posted
Posted
47 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

 

There is also a D group, of which I am a part, that doesn't care who the nominee is this year.  I'm 100% certain to be a voter in November and am pretty uninterested in the primaries.

Dude....there are a LOT of races that matter down-ballot where you can vote for the strongest candidate who will be running against Trumpist Republicans.  Texas Supreme Court nominations matter, a lot.  Same with local congressional races, and the Senate race.  If you want to defeat Trumpism, you don't just do it by cheering on the QB -- you gotta draft good OL, LBs, CBs, etc.  The full roster matters.  Beat Trumpists everywhere.  Beat them at fucking dog-catcher.

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Voldemort86

Voldemort86 2259

Posted
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47 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Dude....there are a LOT of races that matter down-ballot where you can vote for the strongest candidate who will be running against Trumpist Republicans.  Texas Supreme Court nominations matter, a lot.  Same with local congressional races, and the Senate race.  If you want to defeat Trumpism, you don't just do it by cheering on the QB -- you gotta draft good OL, LBs, CBs, etc.  The full roster matters.  Beat Trumpists everywhere.  Beat them at fucking dog-catcher.

Could you tell some of us on here who are too lazy to do the research who the strongest ones are at the bottom of the ballot?

 

im mainly going to vote for president and senate.

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Brisketexan

Brisketexan 105270

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Voldemort86 said:

Could you tell some of us on here who are too lazy to do the research who the strongest ones are at the bottom of the ballot?

 

im mainly going to vote for president and senate.

Sure -- for Texas Supreme Court, in order of the seats they're running for, I recommend:

Amy Meachum

Kathy Cheng

Brandy Voss

Gisela Triana

Third Court of Appeals, if you're in Central Texas, there's just one seat up, I recommend Darlene Byrne.

As for your district court races, it depends where you are.  In Travis County, I recommend (in races that are contested, of course):

53rd Kennon Wooten (Maria Cantu Hexsel is also a good choice, I just lean Kennon's way)

167th David Wahlberg

200th Jessica Mangrum

353rd Tim Sulak (this one is actually REALLY important -- his opponent is bad news, and Sulak is one of our best judges)

390th Julie Kocurek

 

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bolverk

bolverk 29708

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Voldemort86 said:

Could you tell some of us on here who are too lazy to do the research who the strongest ones are at the bottom of the ballot?

 

im mainly going to vote for president and senate.

I tend to lean toward most of the endorsements given by the Austin Chronicle. Checking their page, and it looks like they align with Brisket's down ballot endorsements except for the Third Court of Appeals but they also praise Byrne.

https://www.austinchronicle.com/news/2020-02-14/chronicle-endorsements-for-the-march-3-primary-election/

On the Senate primary, I disagree with them. But, by and large, the Chronicle is usually a really reliable source for endorsements for more obscure elected positions.

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Brisketexan

Brisketexan 105270

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I tend to lean toward most of the endorsements given by the Austin Chronicle. Checking their page, and it looks like they align with Brisket's down ballot endorsements except for the Third Court of Appeals but they also praise Byrne.
https://www.austinchronicle.com/news/2020-02-14/chronicle-endorsements-for-the-march-3-primary-election/
On the Senate primary, I disagree with them. But, by and large, the Chronicle is usually a really reliable source for endorsements for more obscure elected positions.

It also used to be a reliable source for really kinky stuff in the “variations” section of their personal ads...but I’m dating myself.
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Brisketexan

Brisketexan 105270

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29 minutes ago, bolverk said:

Missed Connections was always a fun read too.

We used to sit at the Posse, drink a lotta beer, and read our favorite selections aloud.

I will always remember this one, because man, I respect a dude who knows what he likes, stays laser-focused on it, and gets right to the point.  This was the entire ad:

Quote

Man seeks exceptionally hairy woman.

Not my bag, but....respect.

giphy.gif

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Voldemort86

Voldemort86 2259

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4 minutes ago, MaybeACoordinator said:

She was perceived as outrageously liberal a few years ago...But now she is the centrist. Audia Jones is the nu-school candidate the likes of Mack want to keep out of office.

She’s doing a good job in Houston from what I gather. She was behind the pot decriminalization program they put in.

 

i dont live in Houston, but yeah it’s a common sense policy.

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Mrs Whiggins

Mrs Whiggins 13050

Posted
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On 2/21/2020 at 4:41 PM, Brisketexan said:

Sure -- for Texas Supreme Court, in order of the seats they're running for, I recommend:

Amy Meachum

Kathy Cheng

Brandy Voss

Gisela Triana

Third Court of Appeals, if you're in Central Texas, there's just one seat up, I recommend Darlene Byrne.

As for your district court races, it depends where you are.  In Travis County, I recommend (in races that are contested, of course):

53rd Kennon Wooten (Maria Cantu Hexsel is also a good choice, I just lean Kennon's way)

167th David Wahlberg

200th Jessica Mangrum

353rd Tim Sulak (this one is actually REALLY important -- his opponent is bad news, and Sulak is one of our best judges)

390th Julie Kocurek

 

Thanks for doing this. Those picks are harder for me to suss out so I'm making a crib sheet before I go vote this week.

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DanRydell

DanRydell 799

Posted
Posted
Sure -- for Texas Supreme Court, in order of the seats they're running for, I recommend:
Amy Meachum
Kathy Cheng
Brandy Voss
Gisela Triana
Third Court of Appeals, if you're in Central Texas, there's just one seat up, I recommend Darlene Byrne.
As for your district court races, it depends where you are.  In Travis County, I recommend (in races that are contested, of course):
53rd Kennon Wooten (Maria Cantu Hexsel is also a good choice, I just lean Kennon's way)
167th David Wahlberg
200th Jessica Mangrum
353rd Tim Sulak (this one is actually REALLY important -- his opponent is bad news, and Sulak is one of our best judges)
390th Julie Kocurek
 


+1 to all of these

The Sulak race is a poster child for why the party needs to get rid of the ability to just pay your way onto the ballot.
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Pancho

Pancho 44962

Posted
Posted
15 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

Why?

He's R, she's D

He's R, she's a gay.

13 hours ago, MaybeACoordinator said:

She was perceived as outrageously liberal a few years ago...But now she is the centrist. Audia Jones is the nu-school candidate the likes of Mack want to keep out of office.

Probably why she didn't win the Houston GLBT Caucus endorsement.  Jones did. 

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13521

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  • Author
Posted
On 2/21/2020 at 2:13 PM, Chad Fuck said:

Thirded.

I want to see what happens in Nevada.

I understand wanting to wait in general, but I don’t see how the Nevada results should impact someone’s vote unless that person wants to jump on the front runners band wagon. It doesn’t appear that NV was going to force anyone out.

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heso

heso 2814

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, triplehorn said:

----> Texas has added a million new voters in a year and a half, almost 2 mil since 2016. A third are under 25 and a lot are Hispanic (38% of pop.). 

The GOP won Texas by 16% in 2012, then Trump beat Clinton by 9% in 2016.

keep it going

Yinz guys are gonna save the republic when the rust belt stays red. 

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bolverk

bolverk 29708

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, triplehorn said:

----> Texas has added a million new voters in a year and a half, almost 2 mil since 2016. A third are under 25 and a lot are Hispanic (38% of pop.). 

The GOP won Texas by 16% in 2012, then Trump beat Clinton by 9% in 2016.

keep it going

To further your point, that third of <25 year olds is a lot closer to +50% Hispanic than the figure you cited for the general population, which as of last year was 41.5% Anglo and 39.6% Hispanic for all ages.

https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/TX/DIS010218

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Voldemort86

Voldemort86 2259

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Posted
9 minutes ago, bolverk said:

To further your point, that third of <25 year olds is a lot closer to +50% Hispanic than the figure you cited for the general population, which as of last year was 41.5% Anglo and 39.6% Hispanic for all ages.

https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/TX/DIS010218

Good.

 

hopefully these numbers continue and Abbott / Goeb have to worry about re-election in 2022. I hate those idiots.

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bolverk

bolverk 29708

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Good.

 

hopefully these numbers continue and Abbott / Goeb have to worry about re-election in 2022. I hate those idiots.

They will. I'm on my phone and don't want to have to do the necessary research on it, but I think I read that Hispanics have accounted for 80-90 percent of all population growth in Texas since the last Census in 2010. By and large, 2/3 of Tejanos vote democratic.

Anyone who is denying that Texas will soon flip has their head in the sand. The only obstacle so far has been very weak Latino turnout for various reasons.

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Chad Fuck

Chad Fuck 17742

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Posted
I understand wanting to wait in general, but I don’t see how the Nevada results should impact someone’s vote unless that person wants to jump on the front runners band wagon. It doesn’t appear that NV was going to force anyone out.

In this environment, who knows who stays and leaves. I don’t want to vote for someone who may not be on the ticket. That was my reason.
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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13521

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3 hours ago, Chad Fuck said:


In this environment, who knows who stays and leaves. I don’t want to vote for someone who may not be on the ticket. That was my reason.

fair enough and good point. I voted on Saturday and there were a few candidates on the ballot that are either officially or unofficially out of the race. However I don't see any of the top 6 dropping out before next Tuesday. (Bernie, Biden, Bloomberg, Warren, Pete, Amy) 

I suppose if someone received 1% of SC, they could drop out but it also wouldn't cost much to stay in for 3 more days to see the Super Tuesday results just in case the early votes help.

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Chad Fuck

Chad Fuck 17742

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1 minute ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

fair enough and good point. I voted on Saturday and there were a few candidates on the ballot that are either officially or unofficially out of the race. However I don't see any of the top 6 dropping out before next Tuesday. (Bernie, Biden, Bloomberg, Warren, Pete, Amy) 

I suppose if someone received 1% of SC, they could drop out but it also wouldn't cost much to stay in for 3 more days to see the Super Tuesday results just in case the early votes help.

My polling place is also very convenient geographically. I walk two blocks and I can vote early.  If I want to vote day of, I literally drive by my polling place on the way to and from work.  So I may as well hang out and see who's still around after SC, though you're probably correct in that it seems unlikely anyone in the current field would drop until after Super Tuesday. 

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Ghost of LL

Ghost of LL 15539

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

fair enough and good point. I voted on Saturday and there were a few candidates on the ballot that are either officially or unofficially out of the race. However I don't see any of the top 6 dropping out before next Tuesday. (Bernie, Biden, Bloomberg, Warren, Pete, Amy) 

I suppose if someone received 1% of SC, they could drop out but it also wouldn't cost much to stay in for 3 more days to see the Super Tuesday results just in case the early votes help.

I could really see Amy dropping out in the very near future.

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Bookman

Bookman 4639

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Posted
1 hour ago, RayDog said:

Nobody is dropping out before super Tuesday at this point. And it is glorious because Bernie will win a majority of delegates with the rightist Democrats diluting each other's percentages.

Yes Trump is very happy about this.

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RayDog

RayDog 682

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, Chad Fuck said:

 


“Rightist democrats”? What the hell is that?

 

In any general political scale only Sanders and Warren are left of center, and not by much.

Bloomberg is extreme far right since he is a Republican. Biden is essentially a Regan Republican and Klobachar is similar on the political scale. Who knows what mayor Pete is. Pete is a snake that will take whatever position he needs to get ahead.

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Chad Fuck

Chad Fuck 17742

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Posted
In any general political scale only Sanders and Warren are left of center, and not by much.
Bloomberg is extreme far right since he is a Republican. Biden is essentially a Regan Republican and Klobachar is similar on the political scale. Who knows what mayor Pete is. Pete is a snake that will take whatever position he needs to get ahead.


The expression smacks of “RINO.”
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SuingToGetAMessageBoard?

SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3861

Posted
Posted
On 2/21/2020 at 3:35 PM, Brisketexan said:

Dude....there are a LOT of races that matter down-ballot where you can vote for the strongest candidate who will be running against Trumpist Republicans.  Texas Supreme Court nominations matter, a lot.  Same with local congressional races, and the Senate race.  If you want to defeat Trumpism, you don't just do it by cheering on the QB -- you gotta draft good OL, LBs, CBs, etc.  The full roster matters.  Beat Trumpists everywhere.  Beat them at fucking dog-catcher.

Fine assholes.  Yo vote’.  My ballot was hilarious as I did the review. I realized it was almost all women.  

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Brisketexan

Brisketexan 105270

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Posted
8 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

Fine assholes.  Yo vote’.  My ballot was hilarious as I did the review. I realized it was almost all women.  

Open secret -- in many fields, when looking for talent these days (politicians, law, pastor jobs, etc.).....women are most of the superstar candidates.  It's been interesting to observe the shift (observed as someone who hires young attorneys, has been part of numerous pastor nominating committees, has been involved in judicial campaigns, etc.).

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Brisketexan

Brisketexan 105270

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Also, lulz at those "propositions" we were voting on.  I voted on the first few, but one too many "should people have access to clean water or should we poison everyone" and "do you support banning jabbing ice picks through puppies eyes" that I just skipped them.

Cool, puppy stabber.
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Guest Lobo

Guest Lobo

Posted
Posted (edited)

Sarah Eckhardt to announce her candidacy to fill Watson’s seat later this week.  

be a shame if the public were to learn how her time on the bench benefited her husband’s law practice.  Any Democrat but her, many say.  She’s the favorite of many Travis & Bastrop County Republicans.  Can’t imagine why...

Edited by Lobo
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SuingToGetAMessageBoard?

SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3861

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Posted

you can go here and actually get the day-by-day information to compare from 2016.  

 

https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/earlyvoting/2016/index.shtml

 

The number of democrats voting in the primary is WAY above where it was in 2016.  I'm sure some is attributable to feeling like there wasn't much to vote about in the D primary in 2016, but still, I think this indicates a lot of voter energy on the D side. Biggest counties through Day 7 of the primaries in 2016:

County
Party Reg Voters # In Person On 2/22/2016 Cumulative In-Person Voters Cumulative % In-Person Cumulative By Mail Voters Cumulative In-Person And Mail Voters Cumulative Percent Early Voting
Harris
Republican
2,102,820
7,906
40,547
1.93%
14,681
55,228
2.63%
Harris
Democratic
2,102,820
4,983
28,344
1.35%
10,180
38,524
1.83%
Dallas
Republican
1,217,771
4,717
27,672
2.27%
3,560
31,232
2.56%
Dallas
Democratic
1,217,771
4,325
27,318
2.24%
2,400
29,718
2.44%
Tarrant
Republican
1,019,633
6,969
32,910
3.23%
5,649
38,559
3.78%
Tarrant
Democratic
1,019,633
3,164
15,430
1.51%
5,190
20,620
2.02%
Bexar
Republican
977,150
4,446
21,050
2.15%
1,901
22,951
2.35%
Bexar
Democratic
977,150
3,748
21,554
2.21%
3,938
25,492
2.61%
Travis
Republican
667,116
2,574
11,002
1.65%
987
11,989
1.80%
Travis
Democratic
667,116
4,286
21,811
3.27%
3,515
25,326
3.80%

 

Tribune has through day 7

HARRIS: 60.9K D, 58.1K R

DALLAS: 39.2K D, 20.3K R

TARRANT: 29.5K D, 33.0K R

BEXAR: 40.0K D, 23.8K R

TRAVIS: 41.5K D, 11.5K D

 

 

HUGE DEMOCRAT SWINGS.

2020 MINUS 2016 Percent Increase over 2016 2020 MINUS 2016 Percent Increase over 2016
HARRIS (R)    HARRIS (D)  
2,872 5.20% 22,376 58.08%
DALLAS   DALLAS  
-10,932 -35.00% 9,482 31.91%
TARRANT   TARRANT  
-5,559 -14.42% 8,880 43.06%
BEXAR   BEXAR  
849 3.70% 14,508 56.91%
TRAVIS   TRAVIS  
-489 -4.08% 16,174 63.86%

 

 

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Voldemort86

Voldemort86 2259

Posted
Posted
22 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

you can go here and actually get the day-by-day information to compare from 2016.  

 

https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/earlyvoting/2016/index.shtml

 

The number of democrats voting in the primary is WAY above where it was in 2016.  I'm sure some is attributable to feeling like there wasn't much to vote about in the D primary in 2016, but still, I think this indicates a lot of voter energy on the D side. Biggest counties through Day 7 of the primaries in 2016:

County
Party Reg Voters # In Person On 2/22/2016 Cumulative In-Person Voters Cumulative % In-Person Cumulative By Mail Voters Cumulative In-Person And Mail Voters Cumulative Percent Early Voting
Harris
Republican
2,102,820
7,906
40,547
1.93%
14,681
55,228
2.63%
Harris
Democratic
2,102,820
4,983
28,344
1.35%
10,180
38,524
1.83%
Dallas
Republican
1,217,771
4,717
27,672
2.27%
3,560
31,232
2.56%
Dallas
Democratic
1,217,771
4,325
27,318
2.24%
2,400
29,718
2.44%
Tarrant
Republican
1,019,633
6,969
32,910
3.23%
5,649
38,559
3.78%
Tarrant
Democratic
1,019,633
3,164
15,430
1.51%
5,190
20,620
2.02%
Bexar
Republican
977,150
4,446
21,050
2.15%
1,901
22,951
2.35%
Bexar
Democratic
977,150
3,748
21,554
2.21%
3,938
25,492
2.61%
Travis
Republican
667,116
2,574
11,002
1.65%
987
11,989
1.80%
Travis
Democratic
667,116
4,286
21,811
3.27%
3,515
25,326
3.80%

 

Tribune has through day 7

HARRIS: 60.9K D, 58.1K R

DALLAS: 39.2K D, 20.3K R

TARRANT: 29.5K D, 33.0K R

BEXAR: 40.0K D, 23.8K R

TRAVIS: 41.5K D, 11.5K D

 

 

HUGE DEMOCRAT SWINGS.

2020 MINUS 2016 Percent Increase over 2016 2020 MINUS 2016 Percent Increase over 2016
HARRIS (R)    HARRIS (D)  
2,872 5.20% 22,376 58.08%
DALLAS   DALLAS  
-10,932 -35.00% 9,482 31.91%
TARRANT   TARRANT  
-5,559 -14.42% 8,880 43.06%
BEXAR   BEXAR  
849 3.70% 14,508 56.91%
TRAVIS   TRAVIS  
-489 -4.08% 16,174 63.86%

 

 

Damn.....those Tarrant numbers suck.

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