2018 - Elections and Trends

[conVINCEd 21,468]

I’m almost done making the fake ids for all of the illegals voting today. Give me another hour.

[GSU&UT 1,798]

4 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Georgia you say?  Why that doesn’t sound fishy at all.  

Fucking guess why at one location?
 

https://twitter.com/adv_project/status/1059863702508371969

 

 

Edited November 6, 2018 by GSU&UT

[atomheartbevo 89,353]

3 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

I would assume, with no check of historical info, that there will be a slowdown after lunch through the 3pm numbers and then another spike after that.

So when folks vote, the timer starts and they can’t vote again for 60 minutes right?  Or is it just based on the clock, and you can vote once per clock hour, like voting at 7:55am and then 8:09am?

[Ghost of LL 15,348]

About 17,000 have voted in WillCo as of noon.  That is roughly in line with the turnout rate in Travis.

[atomheartbevo 89,353]

3 minutes ago, GSU&UT said:

Fucking guess why at one location?
 

https://twitter.com/adv_project/status/1059863702508371969

Holy shit. “So at least at one polling location, it turns out the machines WEREN’T PLUGGED IN. Lines appear to be moving again.”

[G650 13,982]

2 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

So when folks vote, the timer starts and they can’t vote again for 60 minutes right?  Or is it just based on the clock, and you can vote once per clock hour, like voting at 7:55am and then 8:09am?

Depends if they are dead or not.

[Ghost of LL 15,348]

By the way--the numbers from Travis and WillCo indicate that we're going to be up 50% or better for turnout, which is amazing for a midterm.  That's getting close to that 8M voter mark that is, I think, critical to a possible Beto win.

[GSU&UT 1,798]

3 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Holy shit. “So at least at one polling location, it turns out the machines WEREN’T PLUGGED IN. Lines appear to be moving again.”

Like, I want to believe old people are too dumb to check something like this, but given it's our state I'm not exactly giving them the benefit of the doubt.

[Deej 76,477]

Walked right into my precinct and voted at lunch. Less than 200 voters by noon, there. 

[Mack Tripper 693]

 

[mdmost 42,747]

Paper fucking ballots! It's not that hard.

[gmr548 16,460]

 

SHOCKED, I say.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

[FondrenRoad 4,378]

22 hours ago, FondrenRoad said:

Actually they like AOC and Crowley. They usually just certify the Dem nominee. This year, they decided to nominate Crowley before the Dem primary. That party needs to actually dissolve if it isn't going to have its own nominees. He isnt running, but couldnt get off the ballot without changing residence.

Anyway, he may get a few votes, but it won't be close.   AOC now benefits from straight Dem voters who don't know any candidates names. 

Also, she isnt campaigning now either.  Nor is the irrelevant GOP candidate. If Cuomo wasnt campaigning, you wouldnt even know there is an election here tomorrow. 

Crowley was actually on 2 ballot spots. People were making a big deal about Working Families, but he was also nominated by Women's Equality Party which I had never heard of.

[GSU&UT 1,798]

I'm sorry, the Eurohorns and Johnny Sacks told us that this hearing would only help their party.

 

 

[FondrenRoad 4,378]

1 minute ago, GSU&UT said:

I'm sorry, the Eurohorns and Johnny Sacks told us that this hearing would only help their party.

 

 

Well yeah.  I actually expect their wives to vote Beto too even though they were afraid to tell their husbands that. 

[Huckleberry 32,682]

Following up on the Travis County numbers, looks like the county is averaging about 9,000 voters per hour, which would put the total Election Day turnout at around 108,000. In order to keep the same percentage of Election Day to early voters that the county had in 2016 it would need to have 108,833 voters today.

So in this single county it is looking like perhaps early voting did not cannibalize election day voting as theorized.

[Guest]

1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Following up on the Travis County numbers, looks like the county is averaging about 9,000 voters per hour, which would put the total Election Day turnout at around 108,000. In order to keep the same percentage of Election Day to early voters that the county had in 2016 it would need to have 108,833 voters today.

So in this single county it is looking like perhaps early voting did not cannibalize election day voting as theorized.

I had the thought that the voting will taper off considerably between like 3 and 6 only to surge again until voting is closed. Does that historically jive?

[Huckleberry 32,682]

No idea historically, I think the taper will end around 3pm as people take off work early to vote, though.

[Longhorn_Fan68 33,823]

1pm TC numbers:

[Mack Tripper 693]

 

[Huckleberry 32,682]

 

[Huckleberry 32,682]

Just now, Mack Tripper said:

 

Three voting machines in an Atlanta election precinct?

[conVINCEd 21,468]

1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Three voting machines in an Atlanta election precinct?

There are actually five, but they are choosing to only use 3 of them.

[Mack Tripper 693]

Reports all over Twitter from Atlanta and surrounding areas of much fewer voting machines than in the past, including one African-American precinct where they didn't have power cords for the voting machines. Come on, Kemp. 

[Huckleberry 32,682]

Went back on the Travis County Clerk's Twitter page. Here are hourly comparisons to 2016 (they didn't tweet every hour in 2016):

Hour - 2016 - 2018

9:00am - 17,700 - 17,364
11:00am - 36,874 - 34,647
1:00pm - 51,000 - 53,749
 

[G650 13,982]

On track it seems.

[kevwun 15,591]

4 minutes ago, Mack Tripper said:

Reports all over Twitter from Atlanta and surrounding areas of much fewer voting machines than in the past, including one African-American precinct where they didn't have power cords for the voting machines. Come on, Kemp. 

Motherfuckers would still have a poll tax if it was up to them.

[FondrenRoad 4,378]

3 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Went back on the Travis County Clerk's Twitter page. Here are hourly comparisons to 2016 (they didn't tweet every hour in 2016):

Hour - 2016 - 2018

9:00am - 17,700 - 17,364
11:00am - 36,874 - 34,647
1:00pm - 51,000 - 53,749
 

Wow. Outpacing a presidential year in Travis would be huge for Dems. Do any conservative counties publish stats like this? Wonder how they are turning out. 

[Huckleberry 32,682]

2016 Travis County voter turnout reports for reference:

 

The final total was 108,000 or so, so the lull does indeed last until 5pm.

2016 rough bi-hourly numbers:

Edited November 6, 2018 by Huckleberry
formatting sucks

[Horn21 168]

7 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Went back on the Travis County Clerk's Twitter page. Here are hourly comparisons to 2016 (they didn't tweet every hour in 2016):

Hour - 2016 - 2018

9:00am - 17,700 - 17,364
11:00am - 36,874 - 34,647
1:00pm - 51,000 - 53,749
 

Pretty incredible that we're outpacing 2016 at this point.

I couldn't find any hourly comparisons for 2014, but I found the totals:

Early Voting: 145,201

Election Day: 124,804

Total: 270,005

[Message Board User 12,389]

13 minutes ago, Mack Tripper said:

Reports all over Twitter from Atlanta and surrounding areas of much fewer voting machines than in the past, including one African-American precinct where they didn't have power cords for the voting machines. Come on, Kemp. 

Blatant disenfranchisement to own the libs.

[GopherRock 1,765]

14 minutes ago, kevwun said:

Motherfuckers would still have a poll tax if it was up to them.

They do. It's called Voter ID.

[Aqua Buddha 14,485]

24 minutes ago, conVINCEd said:

There are actually five, but they are choosing to only use 3 of them.

Very subtle and very well played, sir.

[achooloco 1,065]

Just voted. 

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3,861]

28 minutes ago, conVINCEd said:

There are actually five, but they are choosing to only use 3 of them.

 

3 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Very subtle and very well played, sir.

Oh snap.  I didn't catch that.

[Guest]

I just voted for the 3rd time today.

Thrice should suffice.

[SubliminalHorn 6,643]

Coworker went today during a gap in his schedule and he waited almost 2.5 hrs. He’s fairly apathetic and my final plea to him as a friend to please go vote finally got him to go. 

[Doc Sam Beckett 5,781]

When is Kemp gonna get up talking about segregation now, segregation tomorrow, segregation forever? 

[GSU&UT 1,798]

God damn, I love seeing Surly (compared to say Shaggy two years ago) completely made up of reasonable people who see what is really happening here, in Texas, and all over many States. This is a feature, not a bug.

[Mack Tripper 693]

Fuck Kemp

[Mack Tripper 693]

 

[Stringer 1,436]

42 minutes ago, conVINCEd said:

There are actually five, but they are choosing to only use 3 of them.

It took me a minute, but I see what you did there.  Well played.

[cactusflinthead 27,593]

 

 

 

[cactusflinthead 27,593]

 

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3,861]

4 minutes ago, Mack Tripper said:

 

#2?  "Puedo votar dos veces?"

[bad_teammate 13,125]

#3? "Cuando va a empezar el genocidio blanco?"

[Biff Tannen 45,473]

5 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

 

 

The replies are nuts.

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3,861]

con mis hombres en el caravan.

[GSU&UT 1,798]

2 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

The replies are nuts.

Yeah, WTF. 

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3,861]

My sister reports someone scrawled MAGA inside her booth.