2018 - Elections and Trends

[Patrick Bateman 3913]

14 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

538 says Ds have a 1 in 5 chance at the senate.  I swear it was 1 in 6 yesterday.

It was..... it was 1 in 7 a few days ago.  

[Longhorn_Fan68 33869]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

 

 

well then there's that

[NIUHuskies 504]

Just now, Js1 said:

I do.

Lupe sucks.

Left that race blank... would have voted Green

[Biff Tannen 45678]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

 

 

We got Guam!  Let it begin!!!11

[cactusflinthead 27598]

1 minute ago, Patrick Bateman said:

It was..... it was 1 in 7 a few days ago.  

Yep

[Patrick Bateman 3913]

20 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

Well, this is weird.  They project 7.1MM for the senate race.  I can't believe 400,000 vote for one and not the other.

 

Texas

7,132

17,600

40.5

They're going to be very wrong...... like 500k or more wrong.

[Huckleberry 32859]

If turnout continues like this throughout Texas I will have to modify my Cruz by 4-6% prediction to Cruz by 3-5%.

I know, I'm a wild man.

[Zonahorn 8079]

lulz

 

[GopherRock 1765]

3 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

 

Gotta start somewhere. 

[Capn81 372]

If turnout continues like this throughout Texas I will have to modify my Cruz by 4-6% prediction to Cruz by 3-5%.

I know, I'm a wild man.

Don’t get crazy now.

[cactusflinthead 27598]

Charge your laptops!

Charge your iPhones and Androids!

Order your Chinese food!

Order your pizza!

Get cases of Cokes!

/Frankie McDonald 

[Fozzz 152]

First exit polls incoming!  Gird your loins time.  

[The Dog 44030]

[Js1 85318]

1 minute ago, GopherRock said:

Gotta start somewhere. 

FIRST SCALP OF THE DAY!!!! /noElizabethWarren

['stache 21807]

Just now, Calihorn said:

lulz

 

Oklahoma is the Canada of Texas, and yes I voted for Beto.  I was bussed in with a bunch of other mexicans in a caravan.

[Zonahorn 8079]

1 minute ago, Fozzz said:

First exit polls incoming!  Gird your loins time.  

GET TO THE HAPPENING BUNKER

[Zonahorn 8079]

Just now, 'stache said:

Oklahoma is the Canada of Texas, and yes I voted for Beto.  I was bussed in with a bunch of other mexicans in a caravan.

Did you cash your Soros check?

[elfenix 34236]

1 hour ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

With all due credit to @TexasMan, this deserves to be posted multiple locations. NSFW-ish
https://twitter.com/nachosarah/status/1059898729975578624?s=19

she seems nice

[Bojack 2080]

8 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

Edit: Ain't going to the game day thread. Y'all crosspost whatever you want. 

https://media0.giphy.com/media/nrZNXP9Dp57na/giphy.gif?cid=3640f6095be20ef73236587763d99e36

[Huckleberry 32859]

First exit polls incoming!  Gird your loins time.  

I know, First Amendment, but releasing exit poll data before polls close just isn't right.

[NIUHuskies 504]

Waller County whitey going to be scared:
 

 

[Bojack 2080]

I live in North Austin and I'm in the same gerrymandered to shit district as Waller County and beyond.  Go Prairie View.

[gmr548 16576]

I live in North Austin and I'm in the same gerrymandered to shit district as Waller County and beyond.  Go Prairie View.

Same. TX 10 is a joke.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

[Jiggy-Z 3432]

20 minutes ago, 'stache said:

When Georgia's voter suppression is proven they should be kicked out of the fucking union.  Cut them off with Florida and let them sink into the ocean.

Oldie but a goody:

imgur

[Longhorn_Fan68 33869]

4pm dropoff:

['stache 21807]

I guess Alabama will have to go too.  Shame.

[Huckleberry 32859]

There is little to no rhyme or reason on the patterns.

Totals through 4:00pm:

2016 - 79,702
2018 - 78,456

['stache 21807]

Y'all up for a little exit polling?

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3861]

Kemp letting people know the Black Panther Party supports Abrams.

 

https://twitter.com/BrianKempGA/status/1059064685411082240

[Js1 85318]

17 minutes ago, Fozzz said:

First exit polls incoming!  Gird your loins time.  

CNN says first wave has Trump approval -11 (44-55)

[Huckleberry 32859]

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

CNN says first wave has Trump approval -11 (44-55)

They released a poll yesterday that had it 39-55 heading into the election. That 44-55 isn't actually good news for Democrats relative to expectations.

[Gil Bang 25948]

Interesting thread, IMO

[cactusflinthead 27598]

1 hour ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

With all due credit to @TexasMan, this deserves to be posted multiple locations. NSFW-ish
https://twitter.com/nachosarah/status/1059898729975578624?s=19

yes, yes it does. She's quite rude

[Hugo Stiglitz 23367]

 

[Hank Scorpio 17729]

Early exit polls are showing that I left work and started drinking whisky. 

[Js1 85318]

4 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

They released a poll yesterday that had it 39-55 heading into the election. That 44-55 isn't actually good news for Democrats relative to expectations.

First wave of exits are quite unreliable.  As most people remember from 2016....

[cactusflinthead 27598]

Who was it mentioned Beyonce earlier? 

ask and ye shall receive

 

 

[Js1 85318]

Other exit polling:

72% white turnout - if this holds, lowest in FOREVER.

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3861]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

Who was it mentioned Beyonce earlier? 

ask and ye shall receive

 

 

Oh man.  If she'd have posted this a week ago this race would be over.

[F250 28770]

22 minutes ago, NIUHuskies said:

Waller County whitey going to be scared:
 

 

[NIUHuskies 504]

2 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

 

Two things from these numbers:

Walker is screwed and Heitkamp has life.

[cactusflinthead 27598]

 

invalid registration card? Bwhahahahahaha

[Js1 85318]

Just now, NIUHuskies said:

Two things from these numbers:

Walker is screwed and Heitkamp has life.

I always thought she had life, especially if the Native Americans show up, but also remember: it's North Dakota.  Those 18-29 could just be oil dudes.  Super Republican.

[Huckleberry 32859]

4 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

 

First instinct is to attribute North Dakota to the oil boom but the boom maxed out in 2013 or so, right?

[cactusflinthead 27598]

 

 

[Hank Scorpio 17729]

5 minutes ago, Hank Scorpio said:

Early exit polls are showing that I left work and started drinking whisky. 

Trumps approval rating is at an all time low, but JCI chili cheese dogs before going to an election watch party and before my wife gets home is polling at an all time high. 

[Biff Tannen 45678]

10 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

Interesting thread, IMO

Fascinating.

[Blotto 23498]

40 minutes ago, GopherRock said:

Shares of Breseden can be had for 22 cents (+430) right now...

You can buy "no" on republicans winning the Senate race TN for $0.18, or buy "yes" on Democrats winning the race for $0.24. Seems ripe for arbitrage if you could buy enough contracts to justify the effort. Either that or I dont understand their markets.

Edited November 6, 2018 by Blotto

[cactusflinthead 27598]

 

 

[Fozzz 152]