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2018 - Elections and Trends

atomheartbevo

By atomheartbevo
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Bozo_Casanova
Bozo_Casanova

You said it in the only way that matters: you voted for it. 

Gatorubet
Gatorubet

I told my friends at work today to get ready for some excuse destroying reality.   We are no longer going to be able to excuse the behavior of voters in this election as 'being foolish', 'hoping Trump

Brisketexan
Brisketexan

Fire protection. Police protection. Local road construction and maintenance. Interstate highway construction and maintenance. Airport operation, air traffic control, airline safety

gmr548

gmr548 16701

Posted
Posted
If Dems. stay unified,  maybe enough of Colyer's supporters make sure Orman takes enough votes to give Laura Kelly a plurality win.
https://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article217385980.html
After losing to Kobach, Colyer campaign chairman endorses Orman
 
I can understand how hammering a longtime federal official on being a "Washington insider" makes sense and can whip up votes. Hammering someone for being a "Topeka insider" just sounds dumb as fuck.

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RayDog

RayDog 682

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Kris Kobach is the serving Kansas SOS.  How is he not also a Topeka insider?

Oh, because he's not actually in Topeka - too busy finding voter fraud for Daddy Trump.

Or perhaps committing election fraud in Johnson county. They still have not explained how Kobach went from losing in the county to winning after they shut down the count for 5 and a half hours.

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bolverk

bolverk 30325

Posted
Posted

Cool interactive map to see where congressional candidates are getting there contributions from. It draws lines from the district to the contributing city/county.

https://www.axios.com/house-campaign-contributions-outside-money-f776be9e-f74b-4834-8ff4-ae30df1f7c61.html

TX-21

Kopser: $1.1 million (17% in district, 47% rest of state, 36% national)

Roy: $718k (13% in district, 47% rest if state, 40% national)

 

 

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cactusflinthead

cactusflinthead 27627

Posted
Posted

For the record I don't agree with everything in that op-ed I posted in the Cruz/Beto thread. Any poll that only uses land lines is suspect. That effectively cuts off a growing segment of the population. I wouldn't have a landline if it weren't an obligatory part of the bundle. It doesn't even have a phone connected to it.

The money that he downplays is also what is currently scaring the Rs. A Democrat in Texas shouldn't be even in the same zip code of CoH, much less neck and neck. 

If Cruz wasn't worried there would be no call from his side to stage 5 debates.

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Texas73

Texas73 422

Posted
Posted
17 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Gillum winning the Dem nomination for FL Governor is encouraging news. 

I hope he can win in the general. He is a far left progressive endorsed by Bernie. I think he is great but this is in Florida.

17 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

 

 

 

 

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gmr548

gmr548 16701

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Texas73 said:

I hope he can win in the general. He is a far left progressive endorsed by Bernie. I think he is great but this is in Florida.

 

Yeah FL is pretty fucking Trumpy outside of Miami/south Florida. Tampa is basically 50/50 and Jacksonville is reliably R. Orlando area is fairly blue but isn't a really big chunk of the electorate or anything. Pretty much the rest of the state is Trumpland except for Tallahassee, which is not going to move the needle. As big as the D primary turnout was, R's have about 125k more votes. The Trumpkin candidate is over 900k. Trumpkin crowd probably isn't going to be very happy about a black socialist either. Hopefully AG can just run up the score in Miami-Dade and Broward by some ungodly margin but I'm skeptical.

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David Dennison

David Dennison 19542

Posted
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

I think last night was a bad night for Ds.  We will end up with a Trumpist as gov in the biggest swing state and AZ managed to get the least nutty R on the ballot for Senator. 

The Democrats are going to take the House and a whole shit ton of gubernatorial seats in November.

Trump is the best thing to happen to the Democratic Party in a long time. 

If Hillary had won, the script would be flipped.

 

Edited by David Dennison
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GSU&UT

GSU&UT 1799

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

I think last night was a bad night for Ds.  We will end up with a Trumpist as gov in the biggest swing state and AZ managed to get the least nutty R on the ballot for Senator. 

Are you not choosing to see enthusiastic turnout for a non-centrist in Florida? For real? The dude was outraised by a huge margin for most of his campaign, to me it's a great sign that he got such good turnout. If anyone considers themselves a centrist/liberal and wouldn't vote for the leftist then they are not someone worth courting, turnout can win Florida.

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Lurch

Lurch 5950

Posted
Posted

I didn’t know who Gillum was until about 9:30 last night. He now has my vote in Nov and will be getting my donations until then. Closed primaries in FL so I didn’t even pay attention. I’d guess that’s a common theme.

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Ghost of LL

Ghost of LL 15698

Posted
Posted
13 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

I think last night was a bad night for Ds.  We will end up with a Trumpist as gov in the biggest swing state and AZ managed to get the least nutty R on the ballot for Senator. 

I think Sinema still wins in Arizona.  But now it won't be a cakewalk.

Gillum is probably a net benefit for Democrats in Florida, as it will motivate a lot of the Democratic base that aren't necessarily particularly enthusiastic about Ben Nelson.

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Js1

Js1 87183

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Lurch said:

I didn’t know who Gillum was until about 9:30 last night. He now has my vote in Nov and will be getting my donations until then. Closed primaries in FL so I didn’t even pay attention. I’d guess that’s a common theme.

Yep. Leaves out a lot of independents who are not voting for the GOP candidate. Graham would have won them but they can’t vote in the primary without registering with the party. 

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gmr548

gmr548 16701

Posted
Posted

https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/desantis-says-florida-voters-would-monkey-this-up-if-they-elect-gillum-as-governor/2018/08/29/e4cbc5c6-ab96-11e8-8a0c-70b618c98d3c_story.html

So he is either intentionally jumping into racially coded language immediately or is fucking stupid enough to think referring to a black candidate as "monkeying this up" isn't going to be interpreted as racially charged. Never change, Florida.

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gmr548

gmr548 16701

Posted
Posted
To me, that appeared to be a planned line. It does not look off the cuff. It was a talking point he wanted to squeeze in, imo.
Didn't watch that video TBH, but I have a hard time anyone would say something like that and not know what they were doing.

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Ghost of LL

Ghost of LL 15698

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

Didn't watch that video TBH, but I have a hard time anyone would say something like that and not know what they were doing.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
 

Watch the video.  It's clear that it was a planned line.  He even emphasized the "monkey" in "monkeying it up."

He knew exactly what he was doing.

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Ghost of LL

Ghost of LL 15698

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

The whole phrase isn’t smooth.  It felt wedged in there because it was a saying he had preplanned to use.  

 

Anyhow, q rating is all that matters in the age of Trump.  He wins this round.  4D chess. 

I think I don't agree.  The Republicans' best hope in Florida was to run an unexciting campaign against the most milquetoast Democrat in the Senate and cruise to victory on the back of retiree turnout.  The very last thing you wanted to do is fire up minorities.  

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Hugo Stiglitz

Hugo Stiglitz 23367

Posted
Posted (edited)

I don’t need to watch the video to know that it was planned.  This is the new Trumpublican playbook.

Remember the “shithole” comment in the Oval Office?  That was the same thing. I am all but certain that was planned too.

It’s a political tactic to fortify a base of voters.

It’s provocation to draw outrage through the media, then they (the base) can say, “You see! The liberal media is nothing but a bunch of snowflakes. Let’s mock their outrage and focus on reminding ourselves of the danger of too much political correctness.”

Edited by Hugo Stiglitz
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Newdoc

Newdoc 3511

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

 

I don’t need to watch the video to know that it was planned.  This is the new Trumpublican playbook

 

It’s not 1958. This strategy will backfire immensely (bigly) in a general election. Quite frankly, any candidate that thinks this is acceptable shouldn’t come close to a public office for anything.

Bizzaro times we’re living in.

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lemonlime

lemonlime 5503

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Newdoc said:

It’s not 1958. This strategy will backfire immensely (bigly) in a general election. Quite frankly, any candidate that thinks this is acceptable shouldn’t come close to a public office for anything.

Bizzaro times we’re living in.

Lots of old white racists in Florida.  I'm not sure that this is a bad strategy (if all you're concerned about is bigly winning, as opposed to being a decent human being).

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Gil Bang

Gil Bang 26240

Posted
Posted

Maybe this will drive the young folks to the polls?

 

 

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Ma.) said she is confident that Democrats would vote on a marijuana bill that would allow states to regulate marijuana without federal interference should they retake the Senate in November.

"I feel confident that if the Democrats recapture the Senate we’ll get a vote on this, and the vote will carry," Warren said in an interview with Rolling Stone of the bipartisan bill, which Warren co-sponsored. "I think we’ve got the votes for this." 

Warren said she has been pushing Republicans to convince Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to relax his hard-line stance against the federal ban on marijuana. 

The bill she is touting, the Strengthening the Tenth Amendment Through Entrusting States (STATES) Act, has stalled in the House despite support from 10 senators from both parties and 28 members of the House. 

"We’ve got plenty of colleagues on the Democratic side who will support this, and Donald Trump said it sounded like a good idea to him," Warren said. "He’s said it, I think, three different times now. So I’m pretty hopeful that if we could get a vote in Congress that we could actually get this passed."

Warren, a progressive who has been floated as a possible 2020 presidential contender, introduced the bill alongside Sen. Cory Gardner(R-Colo.). 

"We've been bringing people on to our bill two by two, a little like Noah’s Ark," she said. "A Democrat and a Republican join hands and become cosponsors on our bill. We now have multiple cosponsors [in the Senate]. We have lots on the House side. In other words, we have a lot of people on McConnell’s team who are pushing McConnell to do this." 

The bill would amend the Controlled Substances Act to say it no longer applies to laws “relating to the manufacture, production, possession, distribution, dispensation, administration, or delivery of [marijuana]."

The Trump administration so far has taken a stance against marijuana legalization, with Attorney General Jeff Sessions, a legalization opponent, at the helm of the Justice Department.

Warren said his staunch opposition has mobilized Congress in favor of marijuana.

"Let me describe it this way: We are in a moment when Jeff Sessions highlighted aggressive law enforcement on marijuana and a lot of folks here in Congress looked at each other and said, ‘That’s a bad idea,’" Warren said. "What Cory [Gardener] and I have done is give them a place to channel that where we can make real change. Now we just need to get a vote from Mitch [McConnell]."

Though marijuana is illegal at the federal level, recreational marijuana is legal in nine states and Washington, D.C., and medical marijuana is legal in another 29.

Democrats will face long odds in taking back the Senate, according to most political analysts.

 

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