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NCAA Week 8


GopherRock

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2 hours ago, Wiler77 said:

Florida -5.5 @ South Carolina

I think beating UGA was a complete fluke. USC is bad. I may tease this with another game. Haven't decided what. Maybe Stanford vs UCLA.

I think Ohio St and Penn St are free money this weekend.  Miami is pretty solid as well.   
 

Florida is gonna punish SoCar 

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My favorite bet of the year has been Texas State team total under every week. I think the only week it has fucked me was that game that went to bullshit overtime.

They're on another bye this week so I'm not sure what to do next. Bowling Green team total under has been another one.  That should come in around BG tt U21.

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Apparently I got drunk last night and did this. My 5dimes login should have a breathalyzer attached.

7 game parlay

Fresno St ML -750
Miami Ohio ML +115
Florida -5 -110
Kansas State ML +148
La Tech ML -103
Tulane ML+115
Missouri -21 -110
 

Risk $12.50 to win $1,371.10

 

At least it was only $12.50. 

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Here's what I picked earlier in the week:

College

Troy -15 
Marshall/FAU over 58
Ohio St - 28
Florida -6
OU/WVU over 65
Miami -18
App St -14.5
Baylor +150
Baylor/Ok St under 66
Army -6.5
Tulane/Memphis over 59.5
Penn St -9 (They are going to throttle Michigan)
Air Force/Hawaii over 63.5
Kentucky/GA over 48
Kansas St +150
Duke +150

NFL

KC -9
Buff/Miami under 40.5
GB -6
Rams/Falcons over 54.5
NOLA +160
Dal/PHL over 49
NE -9.5
PHL +130

 

I too got drunk last night, and laid down this parlay:

 

Chiefs -3
NOLA +150
Philly +130
Baylor +150
Duke +150
Kansas St +150

$50 >>>$5000

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Alright, I'll show my dumbass bets each week.  I already lost on Stanford last night.  JFC, how do you lose to UCLA at home?

I've been doing something I started doing with college basketball last week with is stringing together large parlays with overwhelming favorites.  It pays about even money, but I've been having good luck.

Parlay #1
Auburn (-1300)(391) Auburn Tigers @ (392) Arkansas Razorbacks(Match
Miami Florida (-1300)(319) Georgia Tech @ (320) Miami Florida Hurricanes(Match) 
Iowa (-1100)(343) Purdue Boilermakers @ (344) Iowa Hawkeyes(Match)
LSU (-1300)(379) Louisiana State Tigers @ (380) Mississippi State Bulldogs(Match)
Missouri (-1900)(407) Missouri Tigers @ (408) Vanderbilt Commodores(Match) 
Georgia (-4100)(375) Kentucky Wildcats @ (376) Georgia Bulldogs(Match)
Penn State (-340)(421) Michigan Wolverines @ (422) Penn ST Nittany Lions(Match)
 
Parlay #2
Florida (-225)(373) Florida Gators @ (374) South Carolina Gamecocks(Match)
Appalachian State (-670)(405) La Monroe Warhawks @ (406) Appalachian State Mountaineers(Match)
Utah (-600)(359) Arizona ST Sun Devils @ (360) Utah Utes(Match)
Texas (-1300)(349) Kansas Jayhawks @ (350) Texas Longhorns(Match)
 
Parlay #3
San Francisco 49ers (-500)(465) San Francisco 49ers @ (466) Washington Redskins(Match)
New England Patriots (-480)(475) New England Patriots @ (476) New York Jets(Match)
Los Angeles Rams (-160)(463) Los Angeles Rams @ (464) Atlanta Falcons(Match)
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I've been doing something I started doing with college basketball last week with is stringing together large parlays with overwhelming favorites.  It pays about even money, but I've been having good luck.


I’ve thought about doing this but my book typically doesn’t offer ML on games with ~13+ point spreads. How many games do you typically string together?



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5 minutes ago, Westtexashorn said:


I’ve thought about doing this but my book typically doesn’t offer ML on games with ~13+ point spreads. How many games do you typically string together?
 

 

Honestly it really depends on the lines and how many games I like.  Typically it's 4-5 games.  But if you look at the 7 gamer above, the ML is crazy big, and it took 7 games to barely get above even money odds.  The 4 gamer below that got about the same odds.  I guess I could have fooled around with combinations of those 11 games to see if somehow the odds got better, but that would take more time than I'm willing to spend on something I do for shits and giggles.

 

BTW, I use Bovada and typically the cutoff for when the ML disappears is ~23-25 point spread.  There's no hard cutoff though.

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On 10/16/2019 at 8:43 PM, Walte464 said:

I’ve had my eye on the Ohio state game but something felt wrong. I like the 1h at -16.5 tho.

I took OSU 1half for the win

today I have:

Oregon UW over (I may regret that seeing as how nobody not named Auburn can score on Oregon)

Florida -5.5 & Arizona St +13.5 in a parlay

Baylor ML & +4

OU WVU over 63.5

Clem UL over 62

Penn St -9.5

ASU ML (this is my money making team this year)

Florida -5.5

Wazzu -12

Texas -21.5

 

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On 10/17/2019 at 11:07 AM, TornACL said:

My favorite bet of the year has been Texas State team total under every week. I think the only week it has fucked me was that game that went to bullshit overtime.

They're on another bye this week so I'm not sure what to do next. Bowling Green team total under has been another one.  That should come in around BG tt U21.

Rutgers seems like another one of these... good call on bowling green, thanks!

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