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2019 Surly bowl pick em

blacklab

By blacklab
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Irieguy

Irieguy 1059

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, LonghornSean said:

And yet, even if you pick every game remaining correctly, you get nothing cuz you're not playing for money.

 

And I'm curious, do people who don't change the confidence numbers at all do so intentionally, or just forget?

I’m guessing most forget. I compare it to people who don’t play more aggressive when the blinds are up and their stack is low in a poker tourney. It’s almost impossible to win that way. 

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Irieguy

Irieguy 1059

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12 minutes ago, Bone3421 said:

Didnt look at that but i have every game left over 19pts....but yeah need to only miss very little rest of the way

There’s a reason casinos never go broke(with one notable exception).  They know that LSU has a much higher chance of beating OU than Tennessee does of beating Indiana. That information advantage is tough to overcome. 

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Bone3421

Bone3421 716

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And yet, even if you pick every game remaining correctly, you get nothing cuz you're not playing for money.
 
And I'm curious, do people who don't change the confidence numbers at all do so intentionally, or just forget?
I just didnt want to deal with...i use to but just straight picked this year
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Prepuce of Doom

Prepuce of Doom 21109

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1 hour ago, Irieguy said:

Points scored and points remaining are king.

And for the tenth(ish?) fucking year running, those poopdicks at ESPN still haven't incorporated any sort of "total points remaining" or "maximum possible score" listing on the scoreboard to actually communicate relevant and meaningful information. 

Lazy, ignorant assholes. 

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DDD Dad

DDD Dad 14352

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And for the tenth(ish?) fucking year running, those poopdicks at ESPN still haven't incorporated any sort of "total points remaining" or "maximum possible score" listing on the scoreboard to actually communicate relevant and meaningful information. 
Lazy, ignorant assholes. 

PM spystud
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Irieguy

Irieguy 1059

Posted
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28 minutes ago, Prepuce of Doom said:

And for the tenth(ish?) fucking year running, those poopdicks at ESPN still haven't incorporated any sort of "total points remaining" or "maximum possible score" listing on the scoreboard to actually communicate relevant and meaningful information. 

Lazy, ignorant assholes. 

Max points shows up on mobile but only if you have your phone sideways. 

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HornPhD

HornPhD 1369

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8 minutes ago, Jameslaw121 said:

So... fuck all of yall supposed UT fans. You guys complain about UT being all about the money. That UT should support the fans instead of the money. Then who did you fuckers bet on? You guys are trash. Congrats. 

The guilt I felt while watching Texas kick ass is more punishment than any person deserves. 

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Skipper

Skipper 6209

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On 12/31/2019 at 9:31 PM, BigOrange1 said:

not all of us picked utah!!

That was a strong move.  Also strong to keep Oregon where you did.  I had them at a similar confidence range and chickened out and dropped it back to 8 points.    I was damn close to either picking Texas or at least moving it to one of my lowest games left but decided to ride with Utah and cheer for horns with no remorse if horns win ended up costing me in this (which it may very well do).  

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BigOrange1

BigOrange1 6471

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i changed my pick to texas about 5 minutes before kickoff.  if fact, i'm in two of these contests and have entered the same exact picks/point level for every game except for the alamo bowl because i only changed my pick to texas in this contest and forgot to in the other.

additionally, auburn losing really helped me as well.  i picked them, but not nearly as high as a lot of you.

still a long way to go though.  i am very nervous about these remaining 6 games.

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Skipper

Skipper 6209

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1 hour ago, BigOrange1 said:

i changed my pick to texas about 5 minutes before kickoff.

I did the same thing last year and that either won it for me or got 2nd I think.  Can't remember exactly.  But I changed it to Texas walking to the Superdome for the game after a lot of liquid confidence on Bourbon St.

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Jameslaw121

Jameslaw121 4448

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Posted
On 12/31/2019 at 9:25 PM, Jameslaw121 said:

So... fuck all of yall supposed UT fans. You guys complain about UT being all about the money. That UT should support the fans instead of the money. Then who did you fuckers bet on? You guys are trash. Congrats. 

Hey guys - just wanted to apologize. I might have been a tad inebriated when I posted this......

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Skipper

Skipper 6209

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Posted

 

On 1/9/2020 at 8:41 AM, BigOrange1 said:

i legitimately have no fucking clue who to pick in the championship game.

 

Looks like we're both locked in.  Go Clemson!   I would much rather be in your shoes though - I definitely would have taken LSU if I had the lead.

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Skipper

Skipper 6209

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14 minutes ago, BigOrange1 said:

i decided to just go with who i thought would win rather than trying to guess who skipper would pick.  if i had picked clemson and he had picked lsu and lsu won i would have kicked myself.

Oh I definitely considered picking LSU thinking you might assume I was picking Clemson LOL.

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Irieguy

Irieguy 1059

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Posted
8 minutes ago, BigOrange1 said:

also, this makes the game way more interesting as i now have a reason to cheer for one team over the other.

Stick with your 1st answer. That was at least believable. Irrational but believable.  You could have had this locked it up. Skipper couldn’t risk picking LSU. And if you wanted a rooting interest you could have made a separate bet. After you locked up this win. 

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BigOrange1

BigOrange1 6471

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5 minutes ago, Irieguy said:

Stick with your 1st answer. That was at least believable. Irrational but believable.  You could have had this locked it up. Skipper couldn’t risk picking LSU. And if you wanted a rooting interest you could have made a separate bet. After you locked up this win. 

look guy i've never heard of, i'm sorry it personally offended you that i ignored your unsolicited advice.  i hope you're able to move on with your life.

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Irieguy

Irieguy 1059

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1 minute ago, BigOrange1 said:

look guy i've never heard of, i'm sorry it personally offended you that i ignored your unsolicited advice.  i hope you're able to move on with your life.

Not offended. Just think you made a mistake. I was in the same situation as you 3 years ago. I picked Bama and lost. I showed you that Skipper picked Clemson in 2018. I told you who he was going to pick. I learned from my mistake. You didn’t. 

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HornPhD

HornPhD 1369

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3 hours ago, Irieguy said:

Not offended. Just think you made a mistake. I was in the same situation as you 3 years ago. I picked Bama and lost. I showed you that Skipper picked Clemson in 2018. I told you who he was going to pick. I learned from my mistake. You didn’t. 

That was the year I won by picking Clemson! Love the game theory when it comes down to the last game. 

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Skipper

Skipper 6209

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Nice work BigOrange.   The only regret I have was picking f'n Okie St. and it cost me the win as I definitely would have been on LSU if I had the lead.  That was literally a last second switch  before kickoff and primarily fueled by not wanting to root for aggy.

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NorthLoop

NorthLoop 14253

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Posted
On 1/13/2020 at 8:01 PM, BigOrange1 said:

look guy i've never heard of, i'm sorry it personally offended you that i ignored your unsolicited advice.  i hope you're able to move on with your life.

Pretty sure this dude shows up every year on this thread trying to tell people how they played this wrong or how their strategy sucks. He also has never won himself and managed to finish 42nd out of 45 this year. 

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