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2020 Rain Thread

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phdhorn
phdhorn

Hello there. So here's the deal:  although I'll be posting much less frequently than before, I want to stop in here to say that I'll try to continue (er, pick back up) posting in here or a few weat

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Well everybody is different, but mine are generally in the morning.   But that's not important right now.

Brisketexan
Brisketexan

Noah way.

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TwiceHorn

TwiceHorn 31495

Posted
Posted

Shit fuck.

We just had another surprise fall tornado warning in Nawf Dallas and surrounding areas.  Canceled before it got to central Dallas, but in view of last year's "festivities," that was a little unnerving.

It got sunny before sundown and most rain or other weather was out of the forecast by 5 pm.  

Phone and TV started going apeshit all of a sudden, sirens in the distance.

I have been having a wretched run of luck this week, so this would have been a perfect capper.

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phdhorn

phdhorn 6224

Posted
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FWIW, I think most of the rain with this system is coming in tomorrow morning, not today.  I do believe it'll be widespread but not a lot - I'm thinking an average of 1/3 to 1/2 inch, bulk of it in/out Saturday.  Good chances of scattered downpours, but widespread.

Thanksgiving weather the next 5-6 days - mostly in the 60's, light, here/there freeze possible early next workweek.

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phdhorn

phdhorn 6224

Posted
Posted

Little bit of rain today.

Tiny bit of rain tomorrow.

Big rain Wed night into Thursday.  1-3 inches.  This one's gonna be a soaker.  Slight chance of severe TS's in area, good chance of strong overnight storms.

Cold air moving in Thursday before rain ends, really good chance of snow rain mix, not accumulating until about 40 miles W. of Austin.  Could be a foot out Midland/Lubbock ways, careful if traveling up there.

Rain tapers off Thurs.  Slow warmup begins Jan. 1 through the week.

There y'go.

 

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phdhorn

phdhorn 6224

Posted
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3 hours ago, SquishMitten said:

When you say not accumulating until 40 miles west of Austin, do you mean it won’t be sticking? Or won’t be falling?

sticking.  It might fall mixed rain/snow in the area but ground's too warm (3 days of 70+° temps), the surface air will be too warm, and it won't last long enough.

 

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phdhorn

phdhorn 6224

Posted
Posted

This isn't our immediate area of course, but this is how close it'll get.
image8.png?cd1605bfedadcbb3e280b9efb23ced5d

Of course in things like this, the snow line can always crees SEward a bit, so don't rule out snow into Gillespie, Blanco, Burnet, etc.   But not likely to do much.

The air above us will be really cold, way cold enough for snow, but air 500 ft. and below will still be warm, so the snow will usually melt into rain.

One thing though, small chance of freezing rain if the front brings enough shallow cold to freeze the rain in spots.  But this would be spotty and very short lasting.  Still, 31st afternoon into evening, careful driving.  Should mostly end by early New Year's Eve.

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Brisketexan

Brisketexan 105154

Posted
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12 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

This isn't our immediate area of course, but this is how close it'll get.
image8.png?cd1605bfedadcbb3e280b9efb23ced5d

Of course in things like this, the snow line can always crees SEward a bit, so don't rule out snow into Gillespie, Blanco, Burnet, etc.   But not likely to do much.

The air above us will be really cold, way cold enough for snow, but air 500 ft. and below will still be warm, so the snow will usually melt into rain.

One thing though, small chance of freezing rain if the front brings enough shallow cold to freeze the rain in spots.  But this would be spotty and very short lasting.  Still, 31st afternoon into evening, careful driving.  Should mostly end by early New Year's Eve.

I'm driving straight across that area tomorrow, but should be to the NM state line by around 3:00....hoping that means we pass through the weather before it gets really hairy.  Oh well, maybe a little white knuckle time between San Angelo and Brownfield.  Such is life.

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gurt

gurt 749

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23 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

I'm driving straight across that area tomorrow, but should be to the NM state line by around 3:00....hoping that means we pass through the weather before it gets really hairy.  Oh well, maybe a little white knuckle time between San Angelo and Brownfield.  Such is life.

Never has a place been more aptly named than Brownfield.

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phdhorn

phdhorn 6224

Posted
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Heavy frontal rain passed.  Now a bit of a lull then the main storm approaches from the W.  Digging up lots of Gulf moisture.  Moderate pds. of rain with some heavy patches into almost dawn tomorrow.  

Most rain we'll have gotten in almost six months.  Enjoy it.

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bolverk

bolverk 29683

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2 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

In NM now. Went through rain, sometimes heavy, almost to Big Spring, where it turned to snow for maybe 25 miles. Got pretty heavy for a while. Big Spring was probably up to an inch or so by the time we left. Snow ended maybe 5-10 miles after town, and all was dry.

Here in BS, there's probably only about an inch right now, but the local weather guy is saying we should get anither 4"-7" inches tonight. Not sure how we'll be able to take that length.

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hornian

hornian 5219

Posted
Posted
18 hours ago, phdhorn said:

Heaviest rain probably all done by early-mid morning, then light all day with ending in Austin by late afternoon.  That's my guess. 

It’s 5:15 and it’s still raining. And actually it just sleeted a bit (35/183 area). So your hyper local forecast leaves a bit to be desired!

 

J/K, thanks for doing what you do. Glad the ‘rona didn’t get you. 

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