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scottsins

scottsins 1969

Posted
Posted
So with cases going up if deaths don’t go up significantly is that proof that we are dealing with a weaker strain of Covid?   And if it is weakening doesn’t that change how we will treat this pandemic going forward?  

There are a lot of shitty outcomes between “asymptomatic” and “dead”.

Also, I’m not sure “weaker strain” is what you actually mean, but I’m no scientist. Are you saying that the virus has mutated or what?
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Against my better judgment and several beers deep, I have taken you up on this, potentially ending my streak of totally worthless posts. I have done 3 and 7 day averages only on the Worldometer data. 

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stork642

stork642 4498

Posted
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, scottsins said:


There are a lot of shitty outcomes between “asymptomatic” and “dead”.

Also, I’m not sure “weaker strain” is what you actually mean, but I’m no scientist. Are you saying that the virus has mutated or what?

Yes,  it seems to have mutated to a weaker strain therefore less deadly according to a medical journal out of Jerusalem.  People are living in fantasy land if they didn’t think a total shitload of people weren’t going to get Covid.  Question is is it still as deadly?   

https://m.jpost.com/health-science/covid-19-is-weakening-could-die-out-without-vaccine-specialist-claims-632324

Edited by stork642
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DDD Dad

DDD Dad 14347

Posted
Posted

There are a lot of shitty outcomes between “asymptomatic” and “dead”.

Also, I’m not sure “weaker strain” is what you actually mean, but I’m no scientist. Are you saying that the virus has mutated or what?

I mean if it’s not deadly you should just go ahead and catch it, right?
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MNLonghornFUKM

MNLonghornFUKM 8817

Posted
Posted
So with cases going up if deaths don’t go up significantly is that proof that we are dealing with a weaker strain of Covid?   And if it is weakening doesn’t that change how we will treat this pandemic going forward?  

That’s what I thought, and then I started reading this guys twitter and he sounds smart





He thinks that the US will bottom out in deaths on Sunday and begin to rise again next week. The death lag was 7 days early on in the pandemic and now it’s 27 days according to him. Guess we’ll see, something to look at in this saga
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ChiTownDoc

ChiTownDoc 21154

Posted
Posted
48 minutes ago, stork642 said:

So with cases going up if deaths don’t go up significantly is that proof that we are dealing with a weaker strain of Covid?   And if it is weakening doesn’t that change how we will treat this pandemic going forward?  

No because there’s plenty of evidence it should get stronger in the fall.  So maybe that’s a yes for the short term in places like Chicago and the NE - but in places like Texas it sure as shit isn’t time to relax even further.  You guys have your hands pretty full.  There’s still capacity in ICU’s but the trend is moving the wrong way...

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bolverk

bolverk 29716

Posted
Posted
36 minutes ago, stork642 said:

So with cases going up if deaths don’t go up significantly is that proof that we are dealing with a weaker strain of Covid?   And if it is weakening doesn’t that change how we will treat this pandemic going forward?  

 

23 minutes ago, stork642 said:

Yes,  it seems to have mutated to a weaker strain therefore less deadly according to a medical journal out of Jerusalem.  People are living in fantasy land if they didn’t think a total shitload of people weren’t going to get Covid.  Question is is it still as deadly?   

https://m.jpost.com/health-science/covid-19-is-weakening-could-die-out-without-vaccine-specialist-claims-632324

We simply don't know yet. No one does. It may well have mutated to something less severe. It may be primarily hitting younger people now for whom it's not so fatal. The heat might be causing lower viral loads floating in the air. No one can say with any confidence.

What we do know is that the increase in cases among a younger cohort is still resulting in a higher number of people being admitted to the hospital and also a higher number in ICU beds. We also know that there is some evidence, in at least one study, that even some asymptomatic cases show signs of ground glass, which puts into question the issue of permanent lung damage. Finally, we have some indications that the benefits of antibodies against the virus might well be a fleetingly temporary status.

There are still a fuckton of questions about this thing. Go ahead and knock yourself out to see what your personal experiences are, but also know you have zero right to fuck over other people with your infested breath and finger germs.

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stork642

stork642 4498

Posted
Posted (edited)
17 minutes ago, ChiTownDoc said:

No because there’s plenty of evidence it should get stronger in the fall.  So maybe that’s a yes for the short term in places like Chicago and the NE - but in places like Texas it sure as shit isn’t time to relax even further.  You guys have your hands pretty full.  There’s still capacity in ICU’s but the trend is moving the wrong way...

Good point.  No one should relax but it is interesting where this is headed and I don’t think anyone really knows anything for sure at this point. 

Edited by stork642
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dcar00

dcar00 14347

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:


That’s what I thought, and then I started reading this guys twitter and he sounds smart

 

 

 

 

 


He thinks that the US will bottom out in deaths on Sunday and begin to rise again next week. The death lag was 7 days early on in the pandemic and now it’s 27 days according to him. Guess we’ll see, something to look at in this saga

 

 

 

2 Italys!!!

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stork642

stork642 4498

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, bolverk said:

 

We simply don't know yet. No one does. It may well have mutated to something less severe. It may be primarily hitting younger people now for whom it's not so fatal. The heat might be causing lower viral loads floating in the air. No one can say with any confidence.

What we do know is that the increase in cases among a younger cohort is still resulting in a higher number of people being admitted to the hospital and also a higher number in ICU beds. We also know that there is some evidence, in at least one study, that even some asymptomatic cases show signs of ground glass, which puts into question the issue of permanent lung damage. Finally, we have some indications that the benefits of antibodies against the virus might well be a fleetingly temporary status.

There are still a fuckton of questions about this thing. Go ahead and knock yourself out to see what your personal experiences are, but also know you have zero right to fuck over other people with your infested breath and finger germs.

I agree with most of your post.  I don’t think anyone should be fucking other people over by not wearing masks, etc.  I keep hearing possible lung damage but the experts thought asymptomatic Pts were just as infectious as other that displayed symptoms but that has changed so no one knows shit.  Like you said we still don’t know anything about where this is headed.  

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stork642

stork642 4498

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:


That’s what I thought, and then I started reading this guys twitter and he sounds smart

 

 

 

 

 


He thinks that the US will bottom out in deaths on Sunday and begin to rise again next week. The death lag was 7 days early on in the pandemic and now it’s 27 days according to him. Guess we’ll see, something to look at in this saga

 

 

 

What is his reason for 27 days?

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dcar00

dcar00 14347

Posted
Posted
46 minutes ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:

 

 

So I guess I don't really need to bother with Dave Blake, PhD's other tweets....have to admire his attempt to push out the "stay tuned for more details" to 27 days in case the death spike doesn't come.  the guy should get into marketing.

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Okie State

Okie State 3845

Posted
Posted

 

Explain. I have zero idea what your post is referring to.

He posted something saying to type in any three digit number followed by new cases into Google. I took the bait and tried various random numbers and all came back as a new case count in some location on some date throughout the world. I don't know what the probability of that is, but it seems unlikely to me. Then again it's a big world with a lot of people so maybe it's legit. Pretty much everything he posts is easily debunked so that's why I assume it's just bullshit.

 

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BradInATX

BradInATX 9208

Posted
Posted
He posted something saying to type in any three digit number followed by new cases into Google. I took the bait and tried various random numbers and all came back as a new case count in some location on some date throughout the world. I don't know what the probability of that is, but it seems unlikely to me. Then again it's a big world with a lot of people so maybe it's legit. Pretty much everything he posts is easily debunked so that's why I assume it's just bullshit. 

There are tens of thousands of cities, states and countries in the world. We've been in Covid times for about 100 days. So there are a million plus reporting days on record by now. You're asking if it's a conspiracy that out of those million reporting days we've covered most of the numbers between 100 and 999?
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Okie State

Okie State 3845

Posted
Posted

There are tens of thousands of cities, states and countries in the world. We've been in Covid times for about 100 days. So there are a million plus reporting days on record by now. You're asking if it's a conspiracy that out of those million reporting days we've covered most of the numbers between 100 and 999?
All I needed to hear.
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BradInATX

BradInATX 9208

Posted
Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, Okie State said:
13 minutes ago, BradInATX said:

There are tens of thousands of cities, states and countries in the world. We've been in Covid times for about 100 days. So there are a million plus reporting days on record by now. You're asking if it's a conspiracy that out of those million reporting days we've covered most of the numbers between 100 and 999?

All I needed to hear.

Saw the same thing on my Facebook BTW, they got the 30 day snooze. 

Edited by BradInATX
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ChickenSandwich

ChickenSandwich 9849

Posted
Posted

Update 6/22/20

May 1, 2020 - Beginning on May 1, 2020 (Friday), retail stores, restaurants, places of worship, movie theaters and malls will be allowed to operate at 25% capacity. The Travis County Fire Marshal's Office has provided a business reopening guidance.

Travis County Kung Flu Deaths - Cumulative total

3/27: 1 death

6/13: 104 deaths

6/14: 104 deaths

6/15: 104 deaths

6/16: 106 deaths

6/17:  108 deaths

6/18:  108 deaths

6/19: 108 deaths

6/20: 109 deaths

6/21: 110 deaths

6/22: 112 deaths

Last 10 Days: +8

 

Travis County Health Care Stats: Current numbers

6/13: Hp - 111, ICU - -48, Vent - 24

6/14: Hp - 129, ICU - 52, Vent - 29

6/15: Hp - 142, ICU - 52, Vent - 31

6/16: HP - 158, ICU - 59, Vent - 28

6/17: Hp - 173, ICU - 63, Vent - 26

6/18: Hp - 173, ICU - 63, Vent - 26

6/19: Hp - 173, ICU - 64, Vent - 27

6/20: Hp - 173, ICU- 64, Vent - 27

6/21: Hp - 173, ICU - 64, Vent - 27

6/22: Hp - 173, ICU - 64, Vent - 27

Last 10 Days: Hp: +62, ICU: +16,Vent: +3

Ten Day Average HP (rolling): 157.8   

10 Day Avg on 6/11 - 91.5

https://austin.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/39e4f8d4acb0433baae6d15a931fa984

 

 

US Death Total 6/18/20

Nursing Home/Extended Care Deaths: 59,652 (54.3%)

Remaining Population (all ages):           50,141

Total:                                                         109,793

Top 5: Highest State Death Totals:

NY: 24,661

NJ: 12,800

Mass: 7,770

Pennsylvania: 6,361

Illinois: 6,260

 

Total: 56,426 (52.7% of total deaths)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1ETm51GayRjlnoaRVtUOWfkolEeAQZ-zPhXkCbVe4_ik/htmlview#gid=43566737

 

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B00M

B00M 6460

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, ChickenSandwich said:

Update 6/22/20

May 1, 2020 - Beginning on May 1, 2020 (Friday), retail stores, restaurants, places of worship, movie theaters and malls will be allowed to operate at 25% capacity. The Travis County Fire Marshal's Office has provided a business reopening guidance.

Travis County Kung Flu Deaths - Cumulative total

3/27: 1 death

6/13: 104 deaths

6/14: 104 deaths

6/15: 104 deaths

6/16: 106 deaths

6/17:  108 deaths

6/18:  108 deaths

6/19: 108 deaths

6/20: 109 deaths

6/21: 110 deaths

6/22: 112 deaths

Last 10 Days: +8

 

Travis County Health Care Stats: Current numbers

6/13: Hp - 111, ICU - -48, Vent - 24

6/14: Hp - 129, ICU - 52, Vent - 29

6/15: Hp - 142, ICU - 52, Vent - 31

6/16: HP - 158, ICU - 59, Vent - 28

6/17: Hp - 173, ICU - 63, Vent - 26

6/18: Hp - 173, ICU - 63, Vent - 26

6/19: Hp - 173, ICU - 64, Vent - 27

6/20: Hp - 173, ICU- 64, Vent - 27

6/21: Hp - 173, ICU - 64, Vent - 27

6/22: Hp - 173, ICU - 64, Vent - 27

Last 10 Days: Hp: +62, ICU: +16,Vent: +3

Ten Day Average HP (rolling): 157.8   

10 Day Avg on 6/11 - 91.5

https://austin.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/39e4f8d4acb0433baae6d15a931fa984

 

 

US Death Total 6/18/20

Nursing Home/Extended Care Deaths: 59,652 (54.3%)

Remaining Population (all ages):           50,141

Total:                                                         109,793

Top 5: Highest State Death Totals:

NY: 24,661

NJ: 12,800

Mass: 7,770

Pennsylvania: 6,361

Illinois: 6,260

 

Total: 56,426 (52.7% of total deaths)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1ETm51GayRjlnoaRVtUOWfkolEeAQZ-zPhXkCbVe4_ik/htmlview#gid=43566737

 

So, what? Our hospital staff is too slammed to keep up with the dashboard data? 

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Js1

Js1 85538

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Captain Ron said:

Thanks Barbara. That MIGHT cover the last two weeks, can you comment on the fact that your case counts in California have been climbing constantly with zero signs of slowing down since mid-March?

Sounds like what my mom just told me. 

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gmr548

gmr548 16610

Posted
Posted
anyone have a good link to the number of Hospital beds and ICU capacity in Travis County? Best I can find says 4,817 beds.
https://www.austinchamber.com/economic-development/austin-profile/quality-of-life/healthcare
 
Nothing on ICU capacity
I don't know about Travis in particular, but DHHS lists the number of available ICU beds in the Austin TSA as 93. Total staffed beds at 3,195 with 742 available. 205 confirmed COVID patients in hospital. I'd imagine the majority of all of those are on Travis County, vast majority in Travis/Williamson/Hays.

Houston TSA is... yikes.
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ChickenSandwich

ChickenSandwich 9849

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

I don't know about Travis in particular, but DHHS lists the number of available ICU beds in the Austin TSA as 93. Total staffed beds at 3,195 with 742 available. 205 confirmed COVID patients in hospital. I'd imagine the majority of all of those are on Travis County, vast majority in Travis/Williamson/Hays.

Houston TSA is... yikes.

Can’t add anymore rep today. Thank you

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utee94

utee94 15855

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, B00M said:

So, what? Our hospital staff is too slammed to keep up with the dashboard data? 

 

8 minutes ago, ChickenSandwich said:

Deaths were updated but the other data seems that way 

chickensandwich's update for yesterday:

Deaths 112

6/22: Hp - 173, ICU - 64, Vent - 27

As of right now on the Travis County website:

Deaths: 112

HP-181; ICU-86; Vent-32

So it looks like it's now been updated, and the trend continues the wrong way

 

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Coelenterate Fuccboi

Coelenterate Fuccboi 13119

Posted
Posted
On 4/9/2020 at 5:50 PM, Js1 said:

If you're telling me I have to wait until fucking June 1 for a haircut, I'm going to kill someone. 

 

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I don't live in Texas anymore.  My state's numbers aren't exploding. 

Texas numbers weren’t exploding at the time either. Based on your passion for haircuts, as noted above, I was a little surprised by you calling out others for the same “need”. I’m not sure your location would have mattered.

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Viper

Viper 12112

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Posted
44 minutes ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:

Hmm.. as the epicenter of protests, Minnesota’s numbers have all gone noticeably downward: Deaths, cases, hospitalizations, icu, positivity rate

 

Testing has gone up some days, as seen after the unrest event. This is from yesterday

 

2e8dd565082e81cd1c673ff419b7ffd1.jpg

so there's no correlation between opening up and positive rate? What's the takeaway here? Did they "open up" differently than Texas, or is it just random whether cases increase or not? 

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Js1

Js1 85538

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Posted
49 minutes ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:

Hmm.. as the epicenter of protests, Minnesota’s numbers have all gone noticeably downward: Deaths, cases, hospitalizations, icu, positivity rate

 

So morons can't blame the protests everywhere else anymore? 

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MNLonghornFUKM

MNLonghornFUKM 8817

Posted
Posted
so there's no correlation between opening up and positive rate? What's the takeaway here? Did they "open up" differently than Texas, or is it just random whether cases increase or not? 

We weren’t as open as Texas was. Hell June 1 was our first day of out door seating at restaurants.. 2 weeks ago we finally opened up indoor restaurants, bars, gyms etc with capacity restrictions .

 

Texas kinda went full throttle reopen in early May didn’t they?

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NotActuallyALonghorn

NotActuallyALonghorn 4977

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:

Hmm.. as the epicenter of protests, Minnesota’s numbers have all gone noticeably downward: Deaths, cases, hospitalizations, icu, positivity rate

 

Testing has gone up some days, as seen after the unrest event. This is from yesterday

 

2e8dd565082e81cd1c673ff419b7ffd1.jpg

This obviously means that all the protestors came from out of state and then returned home.

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