2020 Dems: Iowa (how it works and what to look for)

[Mo Horn 8807]

1 minute ago, WBT said:

I just flipped to CNN for a few minutes and the combination of this system and Wolf Blitzer is an overload of dumb

And they don't have Katy Tur.... mmmm

[GSU&UT 1798]

5 minutes ago, longhornmatt said:

I’ve followed Iowa caucus coverage before, but I’ve never watched all the mechanics of how it actually works like this before.  This is the dumbest system ever, and I feel bad for watching it.

It's insane this is allowed and that they get to go first and set the trend (at least for most Democratic nomination cycles).

[Zonahorn 8079]

Anecdotally Biden is having issues staying viable in some places, but this is all twitter rumor, so take with the proper amount of salt.

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

So Biden is going to clean up in the rurals right?  Because it looks baaaad so far.

[Hank Kingsley 20676]

2 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

So Biden is going to clean up in the rurals right?  Because it looks baaaad so far.

Pete has campaigned hard in the rural areas. Klob as well.  Will be interesting. 

Edited February 4, 2020 by Hank Kingsley

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

I’d be happy with a Sanders 1 Warren 2 finish.  

[gmr548 16481]

7 minutes ago, Calihorn said:

Anecdotally Biden is having issues staying viable in some places, but this is all twitter rumor, so take with the proper amount of salt.

I know fuck all about Johnston, IA, but NYT reporters reporting he didn't make the cut there. Sanders eeked it out over Klobuchar 76-75, Pete at 70, Warren at 59. No one else viable.

Edit: Meant cut on the first alignment, not second. I guess it is a Des Moines suburb that flipped from GOP to D in 2018. That Biden couldn't even get top four there is a bad look. Sanders has to feel good about coming in first there.

Edited February 4, 2020 by gmr548

[F250 28674]

I am trying to understand this convoluted process but ...

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

 

[henrygandorf 29174]

6 minutes ago, longhornmatt said:

I believe it.  The old people need to leave to go to sleep or change their depends.  The Bernie Bros aren’t switching their support.  They’ll hold out all night.

well they can’t switch if they’re viable, right?  and if they’re not, they have to switch or bounce on round 2. i think. 

[bad_teammate 13132]

This is fun and everything, but this is fucking stupid.

[6th Street 6354]

15 minutes ago, longhornmatt said:

I’ve followed Iowa caucus coverage before, but I’ve never watched all the mechanics of how it actually works like this before.  This is the dumbest system ever, and I feel bad for watching it.

Who the fuck has time to sit around in a gym for hours with a bunch of randoms? The rest of the country mostly swings by on the way to work or on the way home - usually takes no longer than 5-10 mins. 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

 

[bad_teammate 13132]

 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

 

[6th Street 6354]

This is the gayest thing I've seen in awhile. 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

These people had the right idea

 

[WBT 20411]

7 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

 

Uncommitted is a choice?  Are there really people that would show up just to hang out?

[sachick 1189]

This shit is stupid. You want me to spend an hour or two on a Monday evening standing around with a bunch of strangers?

 

Are grills and beer allowed?

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

Iowa people love being undecided as long as possible 

[bad_teammate 13132]

2 minutes ago, 6th Street said:

This is the gayest thing I've seen in awhile. 

With what I know of your browser history, that's saying something!

[Anastasis 23390]

I think I would like to go to one of these with a flask and a good sense of humor. 

[BradInATX 9208]

 

2 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

These people had the right idea

 

 

The 2008 Texas caucus was at the church across the street from my old apartment complex. A few of us pre-gamed and walked over to it fairly wasted. The caucus itself was pretty stupid, but it was pretty interesting and unique to witness and participate in. Was just Hillary and Obama and went much faster and less dramatically than these on TV though. Went to Doc's afterwards and continued drinking. Cool story bro. 

Edited February 4, 2020 by BradInATX

[heso 2748]

Just now, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Iowa people love being undecided as long as possible 

Those mother fuckers just want some attention so they sit in the uncommitted stands so people will make them feel wanted. 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

Good lord Biden

[bad_teammate 13132]

Liz and Bernie as 1/2 or 2/1 makes me very very very very happy.

[InkaUtexas 25486]

4 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Good lord Biden

Yeah, so far he is getting pummeled. Who was the last person to win the Caucus and the nomination? 

[Hank Kingsley 20676]

Thank god for bourbon while trying to follow this shit. 

 

 

[Doc Sam Beckett 5782]

Iowa sucks and has no business going first, or even at all for that matter. 

[Message Board User 12389]

1 minute ago, longhornmatt said:

Lol, they’re just now starting to count in the place where Tapper is?   It’s been an hour and a half and they’re just starting?

This piece of shit state should be kicked out of the Union.

Democracy inaction!

[Laxtonto 11927]

Biden already down $0.08 on predict today... got a feeling that he may be more toast with the Midwest electorate than people suspect.

[heso 2748]

1 minute ago, longhornmatt said:

Lol, they’re just now starting to count in the place where Tapper is?   It’s been an hour and a half and they’re just starting?

This piece of shit state should be kicked out of the Union.

He said earlier that they didn’t have enough cards for the number of people that showed up. So they had to wait for more. Then they tried to count the total number of people attending, but somehow they failed at that the first time around so they had to do it again. 

[Hank Kingsley 20676]

lmao 

 

[bad_teammate 13132]

2 minutes ago, heso said:

He said earlier that they didn’t have enough cards for the number of people that showed up. So they had to wait for more. Then they tried to count the total number of people attending, but somehow they failed at that the first time around so they had to do it again. 

Sorry guys, we ran out of toner.

No democracy for you!

[Dbeasy 14961]

Question - if Biden is unviable in the first round in a precinct, he is out for that precinct right? One guy is saying they can make Biden viable after the first round. I didn’t think it worked that way.

[gmr548 16481]

4 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Yeah, so far he is getting pummeled. Who was the last person to win the Caucus and the nomination? 

As a Democrat? Iowa winner has won pretty much every recent nomination. Someone named the last year they didn't earlier in the thread I think, but it was a while back. Of course, that includes some sitting Presidents and a VP, as well as what was essentially a tie in 2016, so that streak as as tenuous as one that long can be.

[Pasken 1309]

13 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Iowa people love being undecided as long as possible 

 

[gmr548 16481]

1 minute ago, Hank Kingsley said:

lmao 

 

This is very aggy

[6th Street 6354]

Imagine trying to do this in the hood like in South Side Chicago 

[heso 2748]

Some of these locations Biden is coming 6th. 

[Anastasis 23390]

Does butti have a chance. Asked for predictit. 

[bad_teammate 13132]

Earlier Claire McCaskill said that the Satellite caucuses were just people who "showed up early". No one knows what's going on, including me.

lol AMERICA

[Laxtonto 11927]

1 minute ago, 6th Street said:

Imagine trying to do this in the hood like in South Side Chicago 

Or even South Oak Cliff

[Hank Kingsley 20676]

Just now, Anastasis said:

Does butti have a chance. Asked for predictit. 

Yes, assuming rural areas are not coming in as quickly. 

[Dbeasy 14961]

In round two, can all the rejects get together for 15% and pick a candidate that was unviable in round 1?

[Zonahorn 8079]

Biden is having a terrible night so far.

[WBT 20411]

CNN just showed a precint where uncommitted just barely made viable at 15.4%.  Lulz, why?  Presumably they still have to join a viable group for the 2nd round right?

[Hank Kingsley 20676]

Waiting to see any good news for Biden but it hasn't shown up yet. 

 

[Zonahorn 8079]

Ah, John King is back. That's how you know shit is getting real

[Doc Sam Beckett 5782]

2 minutes ago, bad_teammate said:

Earlier Claire McCaskill said that the Satellite caucuses were just people who "showed up early". No one knows what's going on, including me.

lol AMERICA

Why are we the way we are?