Super Tuesday - 1,357 Delegates at Stake

[EMAWesome 101]

This result is being critically underappreciated around here.

 

[EMAWesome 101]

1 minute ago, JimmyJames said:

That’s a very specific reference. I’ll have to google that later to figure it out. 

I'll make it easy for you.  Start with Francois Cevert.

[JimmyJames 12271]

4 minutes ago, EMAWesome said:

I'll make it easy for you.  Start with Francois Cevert.

Got it. I’ll google that later, but I’m sensing a bad joke. 

[J.R. Juniors Junior Jr. 1084]

3 hours ago, EMAWesome said:

I don't think he ever tuned in and he damn sure never turned on.

It would be much cooler if he did.

[mchookem 16212]

re: Joe with 'early onset alzheimers'...well, i mean...didn't the Republican hero (at lease before Trump) have that issue? didn't seem to hurt him at the time. 

also, whoever said 'Google is a bigger threat to Trump' than Biden or Bernie was right!

if you Google 'idiot Trump' you get "About 24,500,000 results". daaaamn Google, that's harsh!

[NotActuallyALonghorn 4968]

54 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

so here was my experience voting in person last night. 

for at least the last couple cycles, i've voted by mail, so i haven't had to worry about polling places.  after all the chatter and seeing the lines around the country, i was curious and a little nervous to go in person, but the wife wanted me to wait for her.  we went down around 7:15pm (the place closed at 8pm).  it was the auditorium in a neighborhood school in weho.

the line was fucking long.  probably a few hundred people.  which didn't much bother me.  the part that bothered me was how slow it was moving.  any organized line that long should/would be moving faster assuming there were more than 2-3 voting booths inside (which there were).  in any case, we expected it to take 45 min to an hour.

about 8:45, the volunteers were going around letting everyone know about the "poll pass" you could fill out on your phone, so that you could get a qr code generated, which would speed things up once you got inside.  our part of the line was pleased about this (there were also about 100 people behind us, and they never really "cut" the line).  we all did our poll pass, which takes about 5 minutes if you have a general sense of who you're voting for (i think there were 19 total including 3 yes/no props and 3-4 unopposed races).

finally, around 9:20pm, we get to the front of the line, which doesn't take you to a booth, but instead to a small table with 3 volunteers.  1 of which was either on a break, or just decided to hang out and yap, so there were essentially 2 functioning "check-in" stations, which seemed a little counter-intuitive, considering there were 20 voting booths. 

i walk up to a volunteer with my id in my hand.  she didn't ask for it, just my name.  last, then first, then rotated her ipad and said "is this you?"  it was my full name, address, and voting preference.  i said yes, then she printed out my ballot, told me how the booths worked, when to show my poll pass qr code, then what to do with the ballot.

i get to the booth, tried to scan my qr code, and the machine said "the poll pass you're scanning doesn't match your voter registration".  ok.  i did it manually and went through the 19 questions again.  there were a couple of volunteers helping answer questions, and dealing with 5-6 booths that were having issues (paper jams mostly). 

i saw several people walking around with their paper ballots not sure where to put them.  and at no point did anyone verify my identity.  this was a democratic primary in what could only be called a democratic stranglehold of a neighborhood.  but when the shit gets real in november, if other polling places are run this way, this would be a fucking disaster.  i can't imagine what it would be like in michigan, pennsylvania, ohio, wisconsin, etc.

and i didn't even mention the 15-20 people we personally saw bail on the line in 2 hours.  this was no-doubt caused by the confusion and procedure inside, which obviously was causing the super-long wait time.  i know there were long lines in other places.  were they all kinda like this, or was this some random exception?  i would say we need more volunteers (we do) but this table was only set up to have 3 check-ins, so it's not like they would've been quicker with 2-3x the staff.

ahh, democracy. 

I pulled up 15 minutes before the polls closed and there was no line. They did check my ID and said I'd have to get a new one pretty soon because it doesn't have the star on it. This was a rural polling location in Texas.

[elfenix 34171]

20 minutes ago, JimmyJames said:

Got it. I’ll google that later, but I’m sensing a bad joke. 

it's a fucking horrible reference.  cevert's race car flipped upside down onto the barrier ("armco") killing him instantly. 

[Nice Guy Eddie 13412]

Bernie looks to have also underperformed in CA.  Has 33.6% to Biden's 24.9%. I thought Bernie was supposed to north of 40 or 50% but there are still votes to be counted. Just for curiosity, I added 70% of Bloomberg's, Pete's and Amy's CA votes to Biden and gave Bernie the remaining 30%:  Bernie 1.22m, Biden 1.24m for CA based on the current totals on Washpo. 

Obviously if Warren dropped out and a decent pct went to Bernie, he would jump ahead in my count. But I don't think it's a given she would endorse him.

[Ghost of LL 15491]

49 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Bernie looks to have also underperformed in CA.  Has 33.6% to Biden's 24.9%. I thought Bernie was supposed to north of 40 or 50% but there are still votes to be counted. Just for curiosity, I added 70% of Bloomberg's, Pete's and Amy's CA votes to Biden and gave Bernie the remaining 30%:  Bernie 1.22m, Biden 1.24m for CA based on the current totals on Washpo. 

Obviously if Warren dropped out and a decent pct went to Bernie, he would jump ahead in my count. But I don't think it's a given she would endorse him.

This is why this thing is fucking over, and anybody who is paying attention knows it.  When you add Bloomberg's totals to Biden, Biden has an outright majority in most states.

[mdmost 42865]

I'm sure there's still a path for Bernie if he can win Florida, NY and Illinois but I'm not sure he can pull all 3 of those. Especially as Biden picks up momentum and more line up behind him in support. 

[G650 14106]

1 minute ago, mdmost said:

I'm sure there's still a path for Bernie if he can win Florida, NY and Illinois but I'm not sure he can pull all 3 of those. Especially as Biden picks up momentum and more line up behind him in support. 

Florida is gonna be a hard get after the Castro shit.

[Tuco 5076]

2 hours ago, Post Oak said:

I honestly don't know if Emaw is Russian or not.

 

Russians are usually better at math. 

[Ghost of LL 15491]

I'm sure there's still a path for Bernie if he can win Florida, NY and Illinois but I'm not sure he can pull all 3 of those. Especially as Biden picks up momentum and more line up behind him in support. 

He’s not going to get any one of those. He may not even be viable in Florida. The polls there were terrible for him before Super Tuesday.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Prepuce of Doom 20985]

2 hours ago, EMAWesome said:

The last time anything was in somebody's head as much as I am in yours was the Armco barrier during qualifying for the 1973 U.S. Grand Prix at Watkins Glen.

Pretty smooth repartee, Dennis Miller. 

[Voldemort86 2259]

34 minutes ago, mdmost said:

I'm sure there's still a path for Bernie if he can win Florida, NY and Illinois but I'm not sure he can pull all 3 of those. Especially as Biden picks up momentum and more line up behind him in support. 

The only one I see Bernie being competitive in is New York. I bet he cleans up in AOC’s district.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13412]

59 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

This is why this thing is fucking over, and anybody who is paying attention knows it.  When you add Bloomberg's totals to Biden, Biden has an outright majority in most states.

Many people were counting Biden out a week ago. Biden could have a disastrous debate while Bernie shines. Then the media will talk about Bernie's great comeback.

Next Tuesday we have Michigan, Missouri and Washington plus a few others. I'm interested in seeing how Biden performs in MI especially given that it went red in 2016. Whether MI wants to go with Bernie or Biden is important.  Same with Arizona, Florida  and Ohio a week after that. (3 swing states in 1 day)

Regardless of the above, I agree this is Biden's to lose now. The most telling reason for that is how he won in states last night, in which he didn't even attempt to win. Not because he thought he had it in the bag but rather that he didn't have the funds to compete. He was hoping for 15% to get delegates and came away with victories. 

 

Edited March 4, 2020 by Nice Guy Eddie

[Ghost of LL 15491]

27 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Many people were counting Biden out a week ago. Biden could have a disastrous debate while Bernie shines. Then the media will talk about Bernie's great comeback.

Next Tuesday we have Michigan, Missouri and Washington plus a few others. I'm interested in seeing how Biden performs in MI especially given that it went red in 2016. Whether MI wants to go with Bernie or Biden is important.  Same with Arizona, Florida  and Ohio a week after that. (3 swing states in 1 day)

Regardless of the above, I agree this is Biden's to lose now. The most telling reason for that is how he won in states last night, in which he didn't even attempt to win. Not because he thought he had it in the bag but rather that he didn't have the funds to compete. He was hoping for 15% to get delegates and came away with victories. 

 

Well, there's a Detroit News poll out that says that Bernie is down 20 points among voters who have already cast early ballots in Michigan.  And that was before the party coalesced around Biden over the past 72 hours.

I mean--I'm with you.  Michigan is important.  Bernie won it four years ago.  And I think he's going to demonstrate next week just how much of his vote in 2016 was an anti-Hillary vote.

As to Arizona and Florida, I don't know what would lead you to think that states with high retiree populations would be favorable for Sanders.  The Hispanic community will help him in Arizona, no doubt.  But the Cubans in Florida are going to kill him--those Castro comments were disastrous.  

[Irieguy 1059]

By definition early onset Alzheimer’s requires a diagnosis by age 65. Biden is 77. @immortal13 can’t even get his insults right. 

[kevwun 15647]

Jennifer Granholm endorsed Biden this morning.  She's a former governor of Michigan.

[Beantown Express 2.0 6554]

13 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

Well, there's a Detroit News poll out that says that Bernie is down 20 points among voters who have already cast early ballots in Michigan.  And that was before the party coalesced around Biden over the past 72 hours.

I mean--I'm with you.  Michigan is important.  Bernie won it four years ago.  And I think he's going to demonstrate next week just how much of his vote in 2016 was an anti-Hillary vote.

As to Arizona and Florida, I don't know what would lead you to think that states with high retiree populations would be favorable for Sanders.  The Hispanic community will help him in Arizona, no doubt.  But the Cubans in Florida are going to kill him--those Castro comments were disastrous.  

Unfortunately most of those Cubans vote Republican anyway so it won't hurt Sanders.  That being said, Sanders will most likely lose FL to Biden.  I am guessing MI and PA will go Biden also and many of the states that are left will go Biden meaning Bernie, whether right or wrong, won't be getting the nomination.  

[seven 1366]

25 minutes ago, Irieguy said:

By definition early onset Alzheimer’s requires a diagnosis by age 65. Biden is 77. @immortal13 can’t even get his insults right. 

Thank you, this was bothering me as well 

[DanTheHorn 4901]

6 hours ago, mdmost said:

I'm sure there's still a path for Bernie if he can win Florida, NY and Illinois but I'm not sure he can pull all 3 of those. Especially as Biden picks up momentum and more line up behind him in support. 

Florida? Castro says hi.

[washparkhorn 9935]

28 minutes ago, DanTheHorn said:

Florida? Castro says hi.

Florida is gonna Florida. Remember when they could follow a line on the ballot and had hanging chads?  

And by the way - those voters wanted to vote for Buchanan. Hate to tell you. 

Edited March 5, 2020 by washparkhorn

[DanTheHorn 4901]

Cuban immigrants and old folks that lived through the missile crises will only remember their experience and all that stuff she says won't matter. Also, that video is a tad to long to serve as a sound bite.

[EMAWesome 101]

Steyer and Bloomberg were even worse at wasting money than the federal government is.

['stache 21772]

31 minutes ago, EMAWesome said:

Steyer and Bloomberg were even worse at wasting money than the federal government is.

They earned that money though. They each work 4,689 times harder than you do.

[sidis 9749]

4 minutes ago, EMAWesome said:

Steyer and Bloomberg were even worse at wasting money than the federal government is.

These little rimshots sound clever and shit in your head before you post them, don’t they?

[bad_teammate 13132]

3 hours ago, EMAWesome said:

Steyer and Bloomberg were even worse at wasting money than the federal government is.

You're very close to learning something here.

So close.